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Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio

Chang, Tsangyao; Gupta, Rangan; Majumdar, Anandamayee; … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 59 (2019), pp. 458-467

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203261

Animal spirits, the stock market, and the unemployment rate : some evidence for German data

Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2016 - First version: January 2016

Models recently studied by Farmer (2012, 2013, 2015) predict that, due to labor-market frictions and "animal spirits", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger-causality tests on more than half a century of data of German...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821

Stock market volatility - has it increased and should we care?

Döpke, Jörg; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: IFO-Studien : Zeitschrift für empirische … 46 (2000) 3, pp. 301-314

Es wird untersucht, ob die Volatilität der Aktienmärkte im Zeitablauf zugenommen hat. Im Gegensatz zu oft geäußerten Vermutungen ergibt die Schätzung und die Prüfung von Modellen bedingter Varianzen lediglich sehr schwache Hinweise auf eine gestiegene Variabilität der Kurse. Probit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001543582

Brokers and business cycles: does financial market volatility cause real fluctuations?

Döpke, Jörg; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: Kredit und Kapital 34 (2001) 3, pp. 327-355

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001623779

Do banks' buy and sell recommendations influence stock market volatility? : evidence from the German DAX30

Hendriks, Torben W.; Kempa, Bernd; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: The European journal of finance 18 (2012) 1/2, pp. 29-39

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009565257

Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time

Döpke, Jörg (contributor); Hartmann, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is …