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Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility : Do Industry Returns Have Predictive Value?

Demirer, Riza; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2021

bad) stock market volatility, we show that incorporating the information in lagged industry returns can help improve out …-of sample forecasts of aggregate stock market volatility. While the predictive contribution of industry level returns is not … crisis, highlighting the informational value of real economic activity on stock market volatility dynamics. Finally, we show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249490

Investor confidence and forecastability of US stock market realized volatility : evidence from machine learning

Gupta, Rangan; Nel, Jacobus; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: The journal of behavioral finance : a publication of … 24 (2023) 1, pp. 111-122

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547864

Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio

Chang, Tsangyao; Gupta, Rangan; Majumdar, Anandamayee; … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 59 (2019), pp. 458-467

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203261

Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility

Demirer, Rıza; Gillas, Konstantinos Gkillas; Gupta, Rangan - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 50 (2019) 101048, pp. 1-16

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204443

Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? : a quantile machine-learning approach

Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: Financial innovation : FIN 9 (2023), pp. 1-22

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288917

Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?

Bonato, Matteo; Çepni, Oğuzhan; Gupta, Rangan; … - In: Energy economics 104 (2021), pp. 1-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364407

Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility

Bonato, Matteo; Cepni, Oguzhan; Gupta, Rangan; … - In: Journal of financial markets 66 (2023), pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014473150

Business applications and state-level stock market realized volatility : a forecasting experiment

Bonato, Matteo; Cepni, Oguzhan; Gupta, Rangan; … - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 2, pp. 456-472

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475351

Forecasting realized volatility of bitcoin returns : tail events and asymmetric loss

Gillas, Konstantinos Gkillas; Gupta, Rangan; … - In: The European journal of finance 27 (2021) 16, pp. 1626-1644

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872908

Oil-price uncertainty and international stock returns : dissecting quantile-based predictability and spillover effects using more than a century of data

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166706

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