Using a novel dataset on correlation swaps, we study the relation between correlation risk, hedge fund characteristics and their risk-return profile. We find that hedge funds' ability to create market neutral returns is often associated with a significant exposure to correlation risk, which...

Using a novel dataset on correlation swaps, we study the relation between correlation risk, hedge fund characteristics and their risk-return profile. We find that hedge funds' ability to create market neutral returns is often associated with a significant exposure to correlation risk, which...

Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which is consistent with nearly integrated regressors and...

Using a latent variables approach, we estimate the dynamics of dividends and returns in a tractable present-value model with time-varying risks. Expected returns imply a similar return predictability as under homoskedasticity, while expected dividend growth is more persistent and explains a...