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home countries. The political preferences of migrants as manifested by their voting behavior are strikingly different from … those of their home-country counterparts. In addition, there are important differences in voting patterns across migrants … living in different countries. We examine three explanations of migrant voting behavior: adaptive learning; economic self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301270
While vote-buying is common, little is known about how politicians determine who to target. We argue that vote-buying can be sustained by an internalized norm of reciprocity. Receiving money engenders feelings of obligation. Combining survey data on vote-buying with an experiment-based measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286272
This paper provides evidence that daughters make people more left-wing. Having sons, by contrast, makes them more right-wing. Parents, politicians and voters are probably not aware of this phenomenon - nor are social scientists. The paper discusses its economic and evolutionary roots. It also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267532
candidate to win an election, even though his main agenda item (i.e., postal privatization) is strongly opposed by special …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369525
On the night of November 8th 2016 Donald Trump won the US presidential election with 306 electoral votes (vs. 232 for … Hilary Clinton). Most notably, all of the numerous election forecasts failed to predict Trump's victory. It was preceded by … voting shares. The regression analyses show that a larger proportion of White Americans leads to an increasing share of votes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641509
. While the evidence for economic voting has historically been weak for Australia, the 2004 election suggests an increasingly … basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267283
This paper investigates the merits of different democratic institutions when politics is uni-dimensional, there is uncertainty both about the preferences of the future electorate and the future polarization of political parties, and politicians have better information about the state of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320914
We model the decision problems faced by the members of societies whose new members are determined by vote. We adopt a number of simplifying assumptions: the founders and the candidates are fixed; the society operates for a fixed number of periods and holds elections at the beginning of each period;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608403
The paper presents a model where public pensions are determined by majority voting. Voters differ by age and income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260696
his paper surveys models of voting on redistribution. Under reasonable assumptions, the baseline model produces an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260861