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The growth rate of total factor productivity seems to have increased recently, at least in the United States. Higher US … productivity growth may justify higher stock market valuations than in the past and thus herald an emerging New Economy. However …, the size of the estimated growth rate of total factor productivity depends on an assumption about the factor …
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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
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