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consensus values. Strategic coordination can consequently explain poor performances of prediction markets as resulting from the … robustness of coordination in a forecasting setting implementing contradictory incentives for accurate forecasts and coordination …. Forecasts are shown to be inaccurate and biased toward current values. This in turn has subjects aiming at coordination benefits …
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What will it take to put you in this car today? -- Game theory 101 -- Game theory 102 -- Bombs away -- Napkins for …
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Prior research and recent anecdotes during the financial crisis demonstrate that lack of creditor coordination can … exacerbate distress thereby illustrating the economic importance of creditor coordination effects. This study develops and … incorporates empirical ex ante measures, or predictors, of creditor coordination effects in distress prediction. Using a …
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It is divided into four substantive parts, as follows: Part 1, Stochastic Models and their Forecasting, is an introduction to linear stationary models with finite numbers of parameters, in particular ARMA (mixed autoregressive-moving average) processes, their probabilistic and forecasting...
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