This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...

Der IMK Finanzmarktstabilitätsreport beschäftigt sich mit internationalen und nationalen Entwicklungen, die eine Bedrohung für die Stabilität des Finanzsystems darstellen. Aktuell gehören zu diesen Entwicklungen die hohe Verschuldung im chinesischen Unternehmenssektor und der hohe Anteil...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...

Die Weltwirtschaft setzte ihren Erholungskurs nach dem pandemiebedingten Einbruch bis in den Herbst hinein fort. Im Winterhalbjahr wird die Weltkonjunktur infolge gestiegener Infektionszahlen und damit einhergehender Kontakteinschränkungen einen Dämpfer erfahren. Für das Jahr 2021 ist im...

Der Ukraine-Krieg belastet durch das Emporschnellen der Energiepreise und den Produktionsstopp in wichtigen ukrainischen Zulieferbetrieben unmittelbar die wirtschaftliche Aktivität in Deutschland. Daher werden zwei Szenarien prognostiziert, die die kriegs- und sanktionsbedingten Unsicherheiten...

Potential output measures a country's attainable aggregate living standard and is thus one of the most important categories of economics. It is also a key indicator for monetary and fiscal policy. Despite its prominence, however, potential output is a difficult concept to pinpoint both...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the euro area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early 1970s. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In...

Potential output measures a country's attainable aggregate living standard and is thus one of the most important categories of economics. It is also a key indicator for monetary and fiscal policy. Despite its prominence, however, potential output is a difficult concept to pinpoint both...