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Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough to Help Prevent It
Heller, Sara B.; Jakubowski, Benjamin; Jelveh, Zubin; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable. Using arrest and victimization records for almost 644,000 people from the Chicago Police Department, we train a machine learning model to predict the risk of being shot in the next 18 months. We address central concerns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334389
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Bayesian variable selection for nowcasting economic time series
Scott, Steven L.; Varian, Hal R. - In: Economic analysis of the digital economy, (pp. 119-135). 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529437
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Bayesian variable selection for nowcasting economic time series
Scott, Steven L.; Varian, Hal R. - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205275
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Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series
Scott, Steven L. - 2013
We consider the problem of short-term time series forecasting (nowcasting) when there are more possible predictors than observations. Our approach combines three Bayesian techniques: Kalman filtering, spike-and-slab regression, and model averaging. We illustrate this approach using search engine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459094
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Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series
Scott, Steven L. - 2014
We consider the problem of short-term time series forecasting (nowcasting) when there are more possible predictors than observations. Our approach combines three Bayesian techniques: Kalman filtering, spike-and-slab regression, and model averaging. We illustrate this approach using search engine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062413
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Casinonomics : the socioeconomic impacts of the casino industry
Walker, Douglas M. - 2013
revenues, as well as gambling disorders, crime rates, and the impact on other businesses. Readers will come away with a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488613
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Casinonomics : The Socioeconomic Impacts of the Casino Industry
Walker, Douglas M. - 2013
Part I -- PART II: Disordered gambling and related behaviors -- Casinos and drunk driving fatalities -- Gambling, crime … analysis -- Is gambling an “unproductive” activity? -- Casinos and crime: A review of the literature -- Casinos and commercial … revenues, as well as gambling disorders, crime rates, and the impact on other businesses. Readers will come away with a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014016733
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The dynamic relationship between crime and economic growth in Nigeria
Adenuga Fabian Adekoya; Nor Azam Abdul Razak - In: International journal of management and economics 53 (2017) 1, pp. 47-64
Crime is a major impediment to economic growth and development in Nigeria despite measures taken to reduce it. There is …, however, currently no major statistical analysis of how crime affects economic growth in that country. This study examines the … link between crime and growth based on the theory of rational choice and empirical data. Exogenous and endogenous growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026427
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Re-evaluating the economic costs of conflicts
Fonseca, Mariana Lopes da; Baskaran, Thushyanthan - 2015
This paper studies the economic costs of conflicts at the country and ethnic group settlement level with light output data as measured by orbital satellites and conflict data spatially mapped to latitude and longitude coordinates. Using a worldwide dataset of 7,704 individual ethnic group...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532572
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The costs of (sub)sovereign default risk : evidence from Puerto Rico
Chari, Anusha; Leary, Ryan; Phan, Toan - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784760