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The extreme risk problem for monetary policies of the Euro-candidates
Gabrisch, Hubert; Orłowski, Lucjan T. - 2010
. -- Regeln der Geldpolitik ; Tail-Risks ; Euro-Konvergenz ; weltweite Finanzkrise ; Vermögensrisiko ; Zinsrisiko …Wir argumentieren, dass die Geldpolitik in den Euro-Kandidatenländern darauf abzielen sollte, die exzessive … Instabilität in den zentralen Ziel- und Instrumentenvariablen der Geldpolitik zu mildern, insbesondere in Phasen turbulenter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969864
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The Extreme Risk Problem for Monetary Policies of the Euro-Candidates
Gabrisch, Hubert; Orlowski, Lucjan T. - Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) - 2010
We argue that monetary policies in euro-candidate countries should also aim at mitigating excessive instability of the key target and instrument variables of monetary policy during turbulent market periods. Our empirical tests show a significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503606
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Monetary policy after the crisis : a joint publication with the National Bank of Poland
Gnan, Ernest (ed.); Kokoszcynski, Ryszard (ed.);  … - Conference Monetary Policy after the Crisis <2011, Warschau>; … - 2011
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723
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The Forward Premium Bias, Carry Trade Return and the Risks of Volatility and Liquidity
Shehadeh, Ali - 2016
In this paper, we analyse the relationship between the currency carry return and volatility and liquidity risk factors. We find that both categories of risk factors are relevant to understanding and explaining carry return, with an outperformance for volatility ones especially the global FX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989965
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Interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets in selected European countries
Islami, Mevlud - 2008
In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291121
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Interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets in selected European countries
Islami, Mevlud - 2008
In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003836940
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When carry goes bad : the magnitude, causes, and duration of currency carry unwinds
Melvin, Michael; Shand, Duncan - 2016
We analyze the worst currency carry loss episodes in recent decades, including causes, attribution by currency, timing, and the duration of carry drawdowns. To explore the determinants of the length of carry losses, a model of carry drawdown duration is estimated. We find evidence that drawdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568722
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Systematic consumption risk in currency returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - 2013
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
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Systematic consumption risk in currency returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - 2013
We sort currencies into portfolios by countries' consumption growth over the past year. The excess return of the highest-consumption-growth currency portfolio over the portfolio of lowest-consumption-growth currencies is positive on average, compensating investors for large negative returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761800
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The Carry Trade and Implied Moment Risk
Broll, Michael - 2016
The carry trade is a zero net investment strategy that borrows in low yielding currencies and subsequently invests in high yielding currencies. It has been identified as highly profitable FX strategy delivering significantly excess returns with high Sharpe ratios. This paper shows that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992882