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. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249287
This note considers the treatment of risk and uncertainty in the recently established "social cost of carbon" (SCC) for … discounting, it mis-estimated climate risk, possibly hugely. Given the uncertainty about estimating the SCC, the note concludes by … carbon ; uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009544394
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the 'fat tail', on the formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690831
This note considers the treatment of risk and uncertainty in the recently established "social cost of carbon" (SCC) for … discounting, it mis-estimated climate risk, possibly hugely. Given the uncertainty about estimating the SCC, the note concludes by … carbon ; uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238751
This paper reviews the empirical literature on the economic impacts of natural disasters to inform both climate adaptation policy and the estimation of potential climate damages. It covers papers that estimate the short- and long-run economic impacts of weather-related extreme events as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168177
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the ‘fat tail’, on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315816
, clean technological progress, as well as uncertainty about climatic and economic factors, lead to lower emissions and … relative to a 'straw man' model with perfect capital mobility, fixed abatement costs and no uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472310
-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic social discount rate and points out the … importance of even thin tailed uncertainty for climate change evaluation. It discusses combinations of uncertainty and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122022
In 2010, the U.S. government adopted its first consistent estimates of the social cost of carbon (SCC) for government-wide use in regulatory cost-benefit analysis. Here, we examine a number of the limitations of the estimates identified in the U.S. government report and elsewhere and review...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304808
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions not only lowers expected damages from climate change but also reduces the risk of catastrophic impacts. However, estimates of the social cost of carbon, which measures the marginal value of carbon dioxide abatement, often do not capture this risk reduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305850