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This paper applies a computable overlapping generations model (OLG) to Korea's population projection. While previous works feed into their models total factor productivity (TFP) recovered from growth accounting, or assume a fixed level of it, this study attempts to fit TFP growth to match...
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Japan’s government is heavily indebted, and the current net debt tends to increase. This paper uses an extended lifecycle general equilibrium model with endogenous fertility to investigate an optimal size of government debt from two viewpoints: individual welfare and future demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076802
We use an overlapping generations model to study the challenge in developing countries with a large informal sector and aging population. We use Thailand as a case study and incorporate its labor market structure and its public pension system into the calibrated model. Unlike developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513260
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Using an overlapping generations model, two new indicators of public pension system sustainability are proposed: the pension space, which measures the capacity to pay for pension expenditures out of labour taxation, and the pension space exhaustion probability reflecting demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292762
We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population … puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382196
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