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We assess financial theory-based and machine learning-implied measurements of stock risk premia by comparing the … preferable to rely on a theory-based approach instead of engaging in the computerintensive hyper-parameter tuning of statistical … models. The theory-based approach also delivers a solid performance at the one year horizon, at which only one machine …
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Many complex systems display fluctuations between alternative states in correspondence to tipping points. These critical shifts are usually associated with generic empirical phenomena such as strengthening correlations between entities composing the system. In finance, for instance, market...
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