Showing 1 - 10 of 13,784
We present an econometric method for estimating the parameters of a diffusion model from discretely sampled data. The estimator is transparent, adaptive, and inherits the asymptotic properties of the generally unattainable maximum likelihood estimator. We use this method to estimate a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470313
We develop and implement a new method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models … unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by the implied … volatility of a short dated at-the-money option. We find that the approximation results in a negligible loss of accuracy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468114
Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476221
econometric performance of regime-switching models for interest rate data from the US, Germany and the UK. There is strong … shocks on economic aggregates. Moreover, the implied volatility and drift functions are rich enough to resemble those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472295
This paper analyzes optimal portfolio choice and consumption with stochastic volatility in incomplete markets. Using … for stocks under stochastic volatility varies strongly with the investor's coefficient of relative risk aversion, but only … preference parameters. This paper also shows that stochastic variation in volatility produces an optimal intertemporal hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471407
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate Lagrange Multiplier and Distance Metric tests which require estimation … under the non-linear constraints of the null hypotheses. Estimation under the null is achieved by iterating on approximate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471161
We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474508
Exchange rates depreciate by the difference between the domestic and foreign marginal utility growths. Exchange rates vary a lot , as much as 10% per year. However, equity premia imply that marginal utility growths vary much more, by at least 50% per year. This means that marginal utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470316
We develop new procedures for maximum likelihood estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned … stochastic volatility. Our approach uses linear regression to reduce the dimension of the numerical optimization problem yet it … produces the same estimator as maximizing the likelihood. It improves the numerical behavior of estimation by eliminating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458545