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all basic assumptions underlying the theory model should be formulated as a set of testable hypotheses on the long …-run structure of a CVAR model, a so called 'theory consistent hypothetical scenario'. The advantage of such a scenario is that it … forces us to formulate all testable implications of the basic hypotheses underlying a theory model. We demonstrate that most …
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The present value model of the current account has been very popular, as it provides an optimal benchmark to which actual current account series have often been compared. We show why persistence in observed current account data makes the estimated optimal series very sensitive to small-sample...
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