Showing 1 - 10 of 1,491
government may need to decrease the maturity of the debt as debt increases, in order to maintain the credibility of its anti-inflation … maturity. But at high levels of debt, a strong inverse relation emerges. We start the paper by documenting this inverse … of debt and maturity which can explain both sets of facts. It is based on the idea that, at high levels of debt, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475040
This paper studies the maturity and stream of payments of sovereign debt. Using Bloomberg bond data for eleven emerging … economies, we document that countries react to crises by issuing debt with shortened maturity but back-load payment schedules …. To account for this pattern, we develop a sovereign default model with an endogenous choice of debt maturity and payment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457770
maturity in the event of crises, and show that both necessarily improve ex ante welfare if they do not decrease expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457880
maturity management, as will typically be required to address rollover crisis risk, will be delayed until the end of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458946
We propose a clientele-based model of the yield curve and optimal maturity structure of government debt. Clienteles are … generations of agents at different lifecycle stages in an overlapping-generations economy. An optimal maturity structure exists in …--effects that we also confirm empirically in a panel of OECD countries. Moreover, under the optimal maturity structure, catering to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459739
We develop a theory of information spillovers in sovereign bond markets in which investors can acquire information about default risk before trading in primary and secondary markets. If primary markets are structured as multi-unit discriminatory-price auctions, an endogenous winner's curse leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334434
instead inflation is combined with financial repression that ex post extends the maturity of the debt, then the reduction in …-expected inflation can lower the real value of outstanding government debt. Looking forward, we derive a formula for the debt burden that … relies on detailed information about debt maturity and claimholders, and that uses option prices to construct risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458328
economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337810
This paper studies the patterns of inflation skewness in 56 countries. Monthly data suggests that inflation is … a developing country that uses inflation tax and external borrowing as the residual means for fiscal financing. The … model predicts a convex dependency of inflation on output, where inflation skewness depends positively on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474078
macroeconomic targets, such as output growth and the rate of inflation. The model centers around the government budget constraint … and can be used to either derive the financeable deficit given inflation targets, or to derive an equilibrium inflation … require more financing than is compatible with sustainable external and internal borrowing, and existing targets for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476329