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We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) using data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data based identification approach of the structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977494
This paper investigates the propagation of instability through key asset markets of the US financial system - equity, real estate, banking and treasury - between 1/3/2000 and 12/26/2014. For this purpose, we develop an identification method to uncover characteristic financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903210
We estimate the marginal effects of identified components of global liquidity on 43 real economies. To this end, we employ global public and private credit components of Herwartz, Ochsner, and Rohloff (2021) in factor-augmented vector-autoregressions to trace credit shocks through the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543597
This paper investigates if the euro's effect on euro-area trade differs across trade sectors and across country pairs …, and to what degree heterogeneity matters for estimating the aggregate euro effect. Time-varying latent variables, which …, aggregate exports within the euro area increase between 2000 and 2002 by 15 to 25 percent compared with aggregate exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003976871
In this paper we examine changes on investment decisions induced by the introduction of the Euro. There are two … potential sources of portfolio reallocation. First, the introduction of the Euro diminished exchange rate risks within the EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003182391
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
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