Showing 1 - 10 of 57
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to 'talk up' the euro have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001753630
In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro … seven developed countries, four of them Euro-area members. Second, we aggregate the European variables and estimate a model … for the Euro-dollar real exchange rate using time series techniques. After identification and model selection, the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001720384
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and comon cyclical features. While the presence of cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short-run dynamics. We distinguish between strong and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590471
The East Asian miracle was real. Prior to the 1997 economic and currency crises, Asian NICs - Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan - achieved remarkable annual GDP growth. In these countries the overall economic performance was significantly determined by the industrial development triggered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001652953
The ultimate object of research concerning the Euro is to answer the following questions: (#1) What is the equilibrium … trajectory of the nominal euro, measured as dollars/euro? (#2) To what extent has the equilibrium nominal euro been determined by … transitory factors in affecting the value of the euro? (#4) Is the euro currently undervalued, and by what criteria? Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001610964
of the euro/dollar real exchange rate. Given this value, one could then give a precise meaning to the notion of … undervaluation or overvaluation of the euro, and calculate its misalignment. The problem however arises of how to assess the …. This of course is not (yet) possible for the euro, so that all the calculations of misalignment of the euro that have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001613664
The debate about Canadian-U.S. monetary integration is surveyed. The choice is among overall monetary orders,rather than exchange rate regimes and questions of policy credibility and political accountability are crucial. Canada's recent economic performance under inflation targets, and arguments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001703672
This paper models the links between financial fragility, asset markets and monetary policy. It is shown, that central bank's concern about the cost of financial disruption generates an asymmetric response, thus contributing to the creation of an asset price bubble in an economy with a highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460987
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970's vintage, including monetary and portfolio balance models. In this paper we re-assess the in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of a wider set of models that have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001753593
In this paper we study the link between elections, fiscal policy and economic growth/fluctuations. The set-up is a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of growth and endogenously chosen fiscal policy, in which two political parties can alternate in power. The party in office chooses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001900202