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An exact form of the local Whittle likelihood is studied with the intent of developing a general purpose estimation procedure for the memory parameter (d) that applies throughout the stationary and nonstationary regions of d and which does not rely on tapering or differencing prefilters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116701
We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a histogram-type prior with piecewise constant realisations on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117474
We provide a solution to the open problem of bandwidth selection for the nonparametric estimation of potentially non-stationary regressions, a setting in which the popular method of cross-validation has not been justified theoretically. Our procedure is based on minimizing moment conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123167
This paper proposes efficient estimators of risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model defined through moment constraints. Moment constraints are often used to identify and estimate the mean and variance parameters and are however discarded when estimating error quantiles. In order to prevent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105447
We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on robust estimation of both long-run and short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084890
We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on robust estimation of both long-run and short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090408
This article proposes semi-parametric least squares estimation of parametric risk-return relationships, i.e. parametric restrictions between the conditional mean and the conditional variance of excess returns given a set of unobservable parametric factors. A distinctive feature of our estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076636
This paper introduces a new specification for the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model for the realized volatility of S&P500 index returns. In this new model, the coefficients of the HAR are allowed to be time-varying with unknown functional forms. We propose a local linear method for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076694
This paper considers estimation and inference for varying-coefficient models with nonstationary regressors. We propose a nonparametric estimation method using penalized splines, which achieves the same optimal convergence rate as kernel-based methods, but enjoys computation advantages. Utilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079708
A novel estimation method for two classes of semiparametric scalar diffusion models is proposed: In the first class, the diffusion term is parameterised and the drift is left unspecified, while in the second class only the drift term is specified. Under the assumption of stationarity, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156186