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Long-term unemployment and labor force participation : a decomposition of unemployment to test for the discouragement and added worker hypotheses

Fuchs, Johann; Weber, Enzo - 2015

unemployment rate - into a short-term and a long-term component. While short-term unemployment might not result in additional … workers on a large scale, long-term unemployment reduces household income more, increasing the need for additional income. On … are available, distinguishing between short-term and long-term unemployment reveals discouragement effects. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387803

Modeling migration dynamics in stochastic labor supply forecasting

Hellwagner, Timon; Söhnlein, Doris; Weber, Enzo - 2023

Population size and structure in conjunction with the participation behavior are the determinants of labor supply. Thereby, among the demographic components, migration is the one shaping both the size and the structure of a population the strongest in the short to medium term while...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282754

Forecasting labour supply and population : an integrated stochastic model

Fuchs, Johann; Söhnlein, Doris; Weber, Brigitte; … - 2017 - Aktualisierte Fassung vom 17. Mai 2017

This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534

The effects of skill-biased technical change on productivity flattening and hours worked

Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - 2017

In a structural macroeconometric analysis based on comprehensive micro data, we examine the role of skill-biased technical change for the flattening of productivity growth and effects on hours worked. The results show that more than 60 percent of the slowdown in productivity growth in Germany...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011752244

Labour market effects of supply chain bottlenecks

Hummel, Markus; Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - 2022

unemployment that are noticeable but still relatively limited. The effect on short-time work, on the other hand, is revealed to be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191894