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Recent empirical studies document that the distribution of earnings changes displays substantial deviations from lognormality: in particular, earnings changes are negatively skewed with extremely high kurtosis (long and thick tails), and these non-Gaussian features vary substantially both over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528338
Over 20 percent of prison and jail inmates in the United States are currently awaiting trial, but little is known about the impact of pre-trial detention on defendants. This paper uses the detention tendencies of quasi-randomly assigned bail judges to estimate the causal effects of pre-trial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578513
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436979
This paper accounts for the observed increase in unemployment duration relative to the unemployment rate in the U ….S. over the past thirty years, typified by the record low level of short-term unemployment. We show that part of the increase … remaining increase in unemployment duration relative to the unemployment rate is concentrated among women, whose unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470205
This paper investigates the relationship between macroeconomic conditions, alcohol use, and drinking problems using individual-level data from the 1987-1999 years of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We confirm the procyclical variation in overall drinking identified in previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470207
unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470298
We explore the response of employment (unemployment) skill differentials to skill-biased shifts in demand touched off … by the new and spreading technologies. We find that skill differentials in unemployment follow at least in part the same … differences defined by technology. In the aggregate time series relative unemployment is defined by educational unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470933
Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
This paper starts from two sets of facts about Continental Europe.The first is the steady increase in unemployment … larger increase since the mid-1980s. The paper then develops a model of capital accumulation, unemployment and factor prices …. Using this model to look at the data, it reaches two main conclusions: The initial increase in unemployment, from the mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472243
A search-theoretic general equilibrium model of frictional unemployment is shown to be consistent with some of the key … regularities of unemployment over the business cycle. In the model the return to a job moves stochastically. Agents can choose … unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472902