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The paper discusses the question if the global economy already entered a phase of a global recession. This is based on the IMF definition that a global recession occurs if global real GDP growth falls below 3%. Taking actual GDP numbers for the Chinese economy published by the Conference Board...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980647
After a strong second quarter, the global upturn appears to remain intact, economic and political turmoils notwithstanding, especially in the United States and the euro area. Therefore, DIW Berlin is slightly raising its forecast for the global economy this year to 4.2 percent. Over the course...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899230
Economists around the world rely in addition to official statistics on business (and consumer) surveys, which are more up-to-date. However, for many emerging and developing countries there is a lack of such surveys. This gap can, at least partly, be filled by the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547810
Debt overhang of the non-financial private sector has been one of the main reasons for the ongoing global stagnation, and recent data released by the International Monetary Fund, International Institute of Finance, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and others indicate that debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846595
The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422052
Thomas Friedman's book the world is flat has been a bestseller since it appeared in 2005. The remarkable success of the book reflects to a certain extent the present fears with respect to increasing globalization. Using many examples, Friedman argues that distance (however defined) is no longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275796
The global business revolution since the 1980s has witnessed an unprecedented degree of industrial consolidation and concentration of business power at a global level. Firms with powerful, globally recognised technologies and/or brands constitute the systems integrators at the apex of extended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012716396
After a decade of implementation, SAPs policies had horrific economic and social consequences. The policy framework was successful only at its neoliberal goals to diminish government size and to integrate developing countries into the liberal global economy. The notion of good governance was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029247
I show that the evolution of cross-country incomes is characterized by global divergence. To do this, the sample of non-mainly-petroleum-exporting countries having market economies during the period 1960-1997 is divided into five clusters of countries by a regression clustering algorithm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107508
During the last decades of the 20th century, after the end of the Cold War, a process of increasing rates of globalisation has developed in the world leading to, among other effects, the intensification of economic, ideological, political, cultural and multiple social consequences (Kacowiks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051917