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This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following...
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consumer sentiment feature prominently, with the purchasing managers index, housing variables and leverage also represented …
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This paper examines the predictive ability of several stock price ratios, stock return dispersion and distribution for individual firm level stock returns. Analysis typically focusses on market level returns, however, for the asset pricing model that underlies predictability to hold, firm-level...
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This paper examines the relationship between stock prices and commodity prices and whether this can be used to forecast stock returns. As both prices are linked to expected future economic performance they should exhibit a long-run relationship. Moreover, changes in sentiment towards commodity...
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ratio. Additionally, the purchasing managers index consistently provides a strong forecast performance. A broad view over …. The success of the term structure (and the purchasing managers index) reveals that investor (and firm) expectations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909692