This is the first comprehensive study on the forecasting of the realized volatility of non-ferrous metal futures. Based on 8.5 years of intraday data on copper, zinc, nickel, lead and aluminum, we explore a variety of extensions of the univariate heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model and seek...

This paper expands the emerging literature on volatility forecasting for China’s oil market by exploring the predictive ability of higher-order moments (skewness, kurtosis, hyperskewness, and hyperkurtosis) based on high-frequency data. Our investigation is originally based on the...