Showing 1 - 10 of 36
This paper develops and estimates a macro-finance model that combines a canonical affine no-arbitrage finance specification of the term structure with standard macroeconomic aggregate relationships for output and inflation. From this new empirical formulation, we obtain several important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702130
expectations in the economy and in the conduct of monetary policy. Agents are assumed to have imperfect knowledge of the precise … structure of the economy and the policymakers' preferences. Expectations are governed by a perpetual learning technology. With …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702134
This paper investigates the role that imperfect knowledge about the structure of the economy plays in the formation of … learning technology to form expectations and continuously update their beliefs regarding the dynamic structure of the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702135
Economic outcomes in dynamic economies with forward-looking agents depend crucially on whether or not the central bank can precommit, even in the absence of the traditional "inflation bias." This paper quantifies the welfare differential between precommitment and discretionary policy in both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702151
Nominal income rules for monetary policy have long been debated, but two issues are of particular recent interest. First, there are questions about the performance of such rules over a range of plausible empirical models-especially models with and without rational inflation expectations. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702167
reference model while the true economy lies within a specified neighborhood of the reference model. In this paper, we show that … economy. We find that a robust outcome is attainable only in cases where the objective function places substantial weight on … tolerance of each model economy with respect to deviations from optimal policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702172
economy's evolution over time. The paper derives conditions under which the parameters in a policymaker's policy objective …-price model of the US economy, estimating jointly all of the model's behavioral parameters and the policy regime parameters. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702194
algorithm allows them to gradually discover the truth as the economy evolves over time. Under a Taylor-type rule, the model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702233
This paper derives a closed-form solution for the optimal discretionary monetary policy in a small macroeconomic model that allows for varying degrees of forward-looking behavior. We show that a more forward-looking aggregate demand equation serves to attenuate the response to inflation and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702239
economy. We compare the properties and outcomes of explicit "instrument rules" as well as "targeting rules." The latter, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702303