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increasingly featured, along with linear counterparts, in the forecasting literature. In this study, we focus on forecasting South … competing model consistently and significantly beats the LoLiMoT's performance in forecasting South African inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095462
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Competition models. Their relative merits in explaining and forecasting inflation are investigated theoretically and empirically … successful inflation forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764088
Competition models. Their relative merits in explaining and forecasting inflation are investigated theoretically and empirically … successful inflation forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143568
, which should be manifested, possibly with a lag, in both producer and consumer prices. We build a forecasting model based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702549
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604318
This paper introduces a exible local projection that generalises the model by Jordà (2005) to a non-parametric setting using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Monte Carlo experiments show that our BART-LP model is able to capture non-linearities in the impulse responses. Our first application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480365
This paper introduces a exible local projection that generalises the model by Jordà (2005) to a non-parametric setting using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Monte Carlo experiments show that our BART-LP model is able to capture non-linearities in the impulse responses. Our first application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179339
deflator, it provides a root mean square forecasting error (RMFSE) of 1.0% at a four-year horizon for the period between 1971 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
obtained for the USA is characterized by A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a root mean square forecasting error … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models … relation between macroeconomic and population variables, to a practical one - an accurate out-of-sample inflation forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836346