Background When pairwise comparisons are used to express preferences for alternatives or judgments on criteria's importance, several methods can be used to derive priorities in multi-criteria decision-making. In the case of inconsistency, different methods give different results. Objectives The...

We propose a data-based approximation of the effects of trade sanctions. We validate the approximation by comparing it with exact responses simulated from a canonical multi-country multi-sector model. The approximation is palatable for a broad range of elasticities of substitution, except for...

This paper argues that the typical practice of performing growth decompositions based on log-transformed productivity values induces fallacious conclusions: using logs may lead to an inaccurate aggregate growth rate, an inaccurate description of the microsources of aggregate growth, or both. We...

The exact distribution of a quadratic form in n standard normal variables, Q; say, (or, equivalently, a linear combination of independent chi-squared variates) is, except in special cases, quite complicated. This has led to many proposals for approximating the distribution by a more tractable...

Time-consistency is a key feature of many important policy problems, such as those relating to optimal fiscal policy and optimal monetary policy. It is also important for private-sector decision-making through mechanisms such as quasi-geometric discounting. These problems are generally solved...

This paper argues that the typical practice of performing growth decompositions based on log-transformed productivity values induces fallacious conclusions: using logs may lead to an inaccurate aggregate growth rate, an inaccurate description of the microsources of aggregate growth, or both. We...

In this paper, we derive new, nearly optimal bounds for the Gaussian approximation to scaled averages of n independent high-dimensional centered random vectors X1, . . . , Xn over the class of rectangles in the case when the covariance matrix of the scaled average is non-degenerate. In the case...

Rich data generating mechanisms are ubiquitous in this age of information and require complex statistical models to draw meaningful inference. While Bayesian analysis has seen enormous development in the last 30 years, benefitting from the impetus given by the successful application of Markov...

In this paper, I examine the welfare consequences of conventional approximation methods in business cycle analysis: the log-linear approximation of model dynamics and the second-order approximation of social welfare. In a canonical New Keynesian model, the approximation around the deterministic...

Time-consistency is a key feature of many important policy problems, such as those relating to optimal fiscal policy and optimal monetary policy. It is also important for private-sector decision-making through mechanisms such as quasi-hyperbolic discounting. These problems are generally solved...

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations, however convergence may be exponentially slow. We propose a...

Over the most recent couple of years, the Internet of Things and other empowering innovations have been logically utilized for digitizing the vegetable supply chain (VSC). Background: The unpredictable examples and complexity inserted in enormous data dimensions present a test for an orderly...

A principal distinction of neural network based methods of approximation from conventional methods is a hidden inside algorithmic function, which is defined by the neural network topology and is enough sophisticated to make appropriate fitting process. There is a new construction named...

We present an accurate and easy-to-compute approximation of the transition probabilities and the associated Arrow-Debreu (AD) prices for the Inhomogeneous Geometric Brownian Motion (IGBM) model for interest rates, default intensities or volatilities. Through this procedure, dubbed exponent...

This paper introduces a nonlinear certainty equivalent approximation method for dynamic stochastic problems. We first use a novel, stable and efficient method for computing the optimal policy functions for deterministic dynamic optimization problems, and then use them as certainty-equivalent...

Chapter 1. Retailer’s Optimal Ordering Policy under Supplier Credits when Demand is Fuzzy and Cloud Fuzzy -- Chapter 2. An Application of PSO to Study joint policies of an Inventory Model with Demand Sensitive to Trade credit and Selling price while Deterioration of item being controlled using...

This paper introduces a nonlinear certainty-equivalent approximation method for dynamic stochastic problems. We first introduce a novel, stable, and efficient method for computing the decision rules in deterministic dynamic economic problems. We use the results as nonlinear and global...

How accurate is a log-linear approximation of the New Keynesian model when the nominal interest rate is bounded by zero? This paper compares the solution of the exact non-linear model to the log-linear approximation. It finds that the difference is modest. This applies even for extreme events in...

How accurate is a log-linear approximation of the New Keynesian model when the nominal interest rate is bounded by zero? This paper compares the solution of the exact non-linear model to the log-linear approximation. It finds that the difference is modest. This applies even for extreme events in...

The Breslow (1974) and Efron (1977) approximations are two of the most widely-used methods for calculating the computationally-intensive partial likelihood function of continuous-time Cox (1972)-type proportional hazards regressions in the presence of tied data. This article develops analytical...

The use of American style equity options as hedging instrument has gained currency in recent times. This phenomenon devolves from the ever-expanding need by individuals, corporations and governments to hedge away their financial risks and the clarion call for derivative securities that give the...

This paper develops a new scheme for improving an approximation method of a probability density function, which is inspired by the idea in best approximation in an inner product space. Moreover, we applies “Dykstra's cyclic projections algorithm” for its implementation. Numerical examples...

The Shapley value (Shapley (1953)) is one of the most prominent one-point solution concepts in cooperative game theory that divides revenues (or cost, power) that can be obtained by cooperation of players in the game. The Shapley value is mathematically characterized by properties that have...

This paper proposes the use of analytical approximations to price an heterogeneous basket option combining commodity prices, foreign currencies and zero-coupon bonds. We examine the performance of three moment matching approximations: inverse gamma, Edgeworth expansion around the lognormal and...