We examine the impact of introducing a digital euro, as currently conceptualized in the proposal by the European Commission, on the liquidity situation of banks in Germany. The analyses are the basis for assessing the effects of a digital euro on banks' liquidity, as presented in the 11th Annual...

We develop a quantitative macroeconomic framework with heterogeneous financial intermediaries and active liquidity management. In the model, banks manage uninsured, idiosyncratic deposit withdrawal risk through an iterative over-the-counter interbank market with endogenous intensive and...

Forecasting banking system liquidity is crucial for the effective monetary policy implementation. This study investigates the effectiveness of various econometric and machine learning models in predicting the autonomous factors of banking system liquidity. The research compares widely used...

Banks are reluctant to tap central bank backup liquidity facilities and use the borrowed funds for loans to the real economy. We show that excessively parsimonious borrowing and lending can arise in a stigma-free model where the banking sector has an incentive to overissue deposits. Banks don't...

The proposed revision of the Swiss Banking Act introduces a public liquidity backstop (PLB) for distressed systemically important banks (SIBs), in part to facilitate resolution. We examine the impact of the PLB on fiscal balances, societal welfare, and the incentives of bank shareholders and...

This paper explores the impact of the regulatory leverage ratio (LR) on banks' demand for reserves and thus the pricing of overnight liquidity in the euro area money markets. We use daily transaction-level money market data during the period between January 2017 - February 2023 and examine the...

Conventional measures of bank solvency fail to account for the unique liquidity risks posed by deposits. Using public regulatory data, we develop a novel measure, economic capital, that jointly quantifies the impact of credit, liquidity, and market risk on bank solvency. We validate that...

Several countries now require banks or money market funds to impose state-contingent costs on shortterm creditors to absorb financial stress. We study these requirements as part of the broader prudential toolkit in a model with five key ingredients: banks may face an aggregate stress state with...

Using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) on sovereign bonds, we investigate whether US sovereign default risk is a greater driving factor of domestic interbank funding risk than domestic sovereign default risk across the five Libor counties including Canada and Australia. We use equivalent-country...

We study the effects of bank transparency on both banks' asset and liquidity risks, and ultimately, on banking sector stability and welfare. We show how enhanced bank transparency increases banks' vulnerability to excessive deposit outflows, but this threat of a liquidity crisis incentivizes...

This paper studies the effects of introducing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on economic output, bank intermediation and financial stability in a closed economy using an Agentbased Stock Flow Consistent (AB-SFC) Model. Thereby a digital bank run is simulated across various economic...

This study examines the liquidity dynamics of banks in emerging market economies. Using annual data of 91 commercial banks from 11 countries, the study established that banks in emerging markets have target liquidity ratios they pursue and partially adjust due to market frictions. Overall, risk...

Considered among of the main causes of the 2007 financial crisis, the credit risk transfer activities deserve nowadays particular attention. This study discusses the continuous effectiveness of the credit risk transfer activities by investigating their effects on the bank risk, liquidity and...

How does small-firm employment respond to exogenous labor productivity risk? We find that this depends on the capitalization of firms' local banks. The evidence comes from firms offering (quasi-) fixed employment to workers whose productivity depends on the weather. Weather risk reduces this...

We examine the impact of introducing a digital euro, as currently conceptualized in the proposal by the European Commission, on the liquidity situation of banks in Germany. The analyses are the basis for assessing the effects of a digital euro on banks' liquidity, as presented in the 11th Annual...

The study investigates the moderation effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) towards the relationship between excess liquidity and bank risk-taking as well as explores its stronger impact in countries severely affected by the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Using System Generalized...

This research used the Bayesian method and Gibbs sampling algorithm on an unbalanced database and examined the impacts of the liquidity creation (LC) on the financial stability (FS) of the banks in Southeast Asian countries from 2007 to 2021. With both 'Cat Fat' and 'Cat Nonfat' method, the...

We examine the issue of the appropriate selection of macroprudential instruments according to the vulnerabilities identified and the policymakers' objectives using a version of the 3D DSGE model following Mendicino et al. (2020) and Hinterschweiger et al. (2021) calibrated for the euro area. We...

Global liquidity flows are largely channeled through banks and nonbank financial institutions. The common drivers of global liquidity flows include monetary policy in advanced economies and risk conditions. At the same time, the sensitivities of liquidity flows to changes in these drivers differ...

In this paper, we propose a new framework to jointly calibrate cyclical and structural capital requirements. For this, we integrate a non-linear macroeconomic model and a stress test model. In the macroeconomic model, the severity of the scenarios depends on the level of cyclical risk....

We build a balance sheet-based model to capture run risk, i.e., a reduced potential to raise capital from liquidity buffers under stress, driven by depositor scrutiny and further fuelled by fire sales in response to withdrawals. The setup is inspired by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) meltdown in...

This study addresses the critical challenge of predicting liquidity risk in the banking sector, as emphasized by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Liquidity risk serves as a key metric for evaluating a bank's short-term resilience to liquidity shocks. Despite limited prior research,...

In this paper, we propose a new framework to jointly calibrate cyclical and structural capital requirements. For this, we integrate a non-linear macroeconomic model and a stress test model. In the macroeconomic model, the severity of the scenarios depends on the level of cyclical risk....

Central banks play a crucial role in promoting financial stability. They act as financial system stabilizers through their capacity to create liquidity and channel it to financial institutions and markets in times of stress - a role that has evolved and expanded substantially over the past 15...

Ensuring liquidity is critical for the functioning of banks. This study investigates the functional form of bank profitability and liquid asset holdings. We test for an inverted Kuznets curve-shaped quadratic polynomial relationship using generalized least square regression on an unbalanced...

We analyze the impact of introducing a central bank-issued digital currency (CBDC) on the operational framework of monetary policy and the macroeconomy as a whole. To this end, we develop a New Keynesian model with heterogeneous banks, a frictional interbank market, a central bank with deposit...