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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunktur 42,578 Business cycle 42,444 Theorie 9,771 Theory 9,742 USA 5,775 United States 5,656 Schätzung 4,789 Estimation 4,754 Schock 4,539 Shock 4,525 Welt 3,907 World 3,894 Wirtschaftskrise 3,881 Finanzkrise 3,846 Financial crisis 3,834 Economic crisis 3,807 Deutschland 3,385 Germany 3,220 Geldpolitik 3,109 Monetary policy 3,106 Wirtschaftswachstum 2,566 Economic growth 2,552 Wirkungsanalyse 2,397 Impact assessment 2,395 Konjunkturtheorie 2,300 business cycle 2,278 Business cycle theory 2,214 Unemployment 2,172 Arbeitslosigkeit 2,150 Zeitreihenanalyse 2,147 EU-Staaten 2,137 Time series analysis 2,125 EU countries 2,124 Volatility 2,023 Volatilität 2,017 Leading indicator 1,992 Frühindikator 1,991 Finanzpolitik 1,811 Fiscal policy 1,797 VAR-Modell 1,621
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Online availability
All
Free 19,108 Undetermined 7,278 CC license 485
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 25,730 Article 18,725 Journal 507 Other 24
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 16,112 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 16,112 Graue Literatur 11,325 Non-commercial literature 11,325 Working Paper 10,323 Arbeitspapier 9,842 Aufsatz im Buch 1,818 Book section 1,818 Hochschulschrift 688 Collection of articles of several authors 610 Sammelwerk 610 Thesis 471 Country report 382 Länderbericht 382 Konferenzschrift 346 Statistik 289 Amtsdruckschrift 268 Government document 268 Aufsatzsammlung 225 Conference proceedings 208 Collection of articles written by one author 206 Sammlung 206 Conference paper 171 Konferenzbeitrag 171 No longer published / No longer aquired 154 Bibliografie enthalten 141 Bibliography included 141 Rezension 138 Statistics 138 Article 104 Advisory report 87 Gutachten 87 Systematic review 50 Übersichtsarbeit 50 Market information 40 Marktinformation 40 research-article 33 Case study 32 Fallstudie 32 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 31
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Language
All
English 37,813 German 4,099 Undetermined 1,299 French 530 Spanish 510 Italian 142 Polish 126 Russian 92 Portuguese 85 Dutch 81 Hungarian 57 Croatian 53 Czech 52 Swedish 44 Danish 21 Norwegian 15 Slovak 15 Bulgarian 14 Slovenian 13 Romanian 10 Finnish 5 Serbian 4 Turkish 4 Ukrainian 4 Lithuanian 3 Arabic 1 Valencian 1 Estonian 1 Galician 1 Kazakh 1 Latvian 1 Albanian 1 Chinese 1
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Author
All
Scheide, Joachim 197 Kose, M. Ayhan 194 Gern, Klaus-Jürgen 122 Boss, Alfred 103 Taylor, Alan M. 103 Kuntze, Oscar-Erich 99 Christiano, Lawrence J. 96 Hall, Robert E. 95 Döpke, Jörg 94 Meier, Carsten-Patrick 94 Beaudry, Paul 92 Bordo, Michael D. 91 Portier, Franck 85 Castelnuovo, Efrem 83 Terrones, Marco E. 81 Jordà, Òscar 80 Nierhaus, Wolfgang 79 Ludwig, Udo 78 Jannsen, Nils 76 Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús 75 Kehoe, Patrick J. 75 Gertler, Mark 74 Caballero, Ricardo J. 73 Gupta, Rangan 71 Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel 70 Diebold, Francis X. 69 Flaschel, Peter 69 Gorodnichenko, Yuriy 69 Eichengreen, Barry 68 Schularick, Moritz 68 Zanetti, Francesco 68 Canova, Fabio 67 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 66 Rebucci, Alessandro 66 Merkl, Christian 65 Langfeldt, Enno 64 Uribe, Martín 64 Abberger, Klaus 63 Ohnsorge, Franziska 63 Berg, Gerard J. van den 62
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Institution
All
National Bureau of Economic Research 1,122 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 149 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 119 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 107 World Bank 79 World Bank Group 79 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 74 European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs 62 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 56 International Monetary Fund 53 Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 52 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 51 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Konjunktur 47 European Central Bank 42 Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH 34 EconWPA 33 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 32 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 32 Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 30 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 28 Europäische Kommission / Statistisches Amt 27 Internationaler Währungsfonds 24 Banca d'Italia 23 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 23 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 22 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 International Monetary Fund / Research Dept 19 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 18 Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich> 18 University of Michigan / Department of Economics 18 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 18 Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv 17 European University Institute / Department of Economics 16 Institut für Weltwirtschaft / Abteilung Konjunktur 15 OECD 15 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung 15 Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 14 Banco de España 13 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 13 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 13
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Published in...
All
NBER working paper series 1,104 NBER Working Paper 964 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 874 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 451 Ifo-Schnelldienst 343 Discussion paper series / IZA 337 IMF working papers 309 Working paper 308 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 289 CESifo working papers 281 Economics letters 274 DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 270 Economic modelling 268 Journal of monetary economics 262 Journal of economic dynamics & control 256 Discussion papers / CEPR 252 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 221 Applied economics 218 IZA Discussion Paper 211 Journal of macroeconomics 198 Working paper series / European Central Bank 189 Macroeconomic dynamics 182 ECB Working Paper 178 The American economic review 165 European economic review : EER 159 Applied economics letters 157 Die Weltwirtschaft : Vierteljahresschrift des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel 156 Wirtschaft im Wandel 156 PlanEcon report : developments in the economies of central Europe and Russia 152 Discussion paper 146 IMF Working Papers 146 Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 145 Review of economic dynamics 145 Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 137 Finance and economics discussion series 135 IZA Discussion Papers 133 IMF Working Paper 127 IMF working paper 127 CESifo Working Paper Series 125 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 123
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Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW) 42,391 RePEc 1,669 EconStor 599 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 215 BASE 55 Other ZBW resources 36 USB Cologne (business full texts) 16 ArchiDok 5
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Showing 1 - 50 of 44,986
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Product variety and quality in trade dynamics
Hamano, Masashige - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015210739
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Economic expectations remain subdued at the beginning of the year : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of January 2025
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2025
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Economic forecasting with German newspaper articles
Berger, Tino; Wintter, Simon - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 2, pp. 497-512
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Forecasting Markov switching vector autoregressions : evidence from simulation and application
Cavicchioli, Maddalena - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 1, pp. 136-152
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Moderation in higher-order earnings risk? : evidence from German cohorts
Isaak, Niklas; Jessen, Robin - 2024
Women born later experience greater earnings growth volatility at given ages than the next older cohort. This alone would imply a welfare loss due to increased earnings risk. However, using German registry data for the years 2001-2016, we document a moderation in higher-order earnings risk: Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015196287
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Spatial dependence in the cyclical sensitivity of labour supply : an analysis at the regional level in Ecuador
Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel; Martín-Román, Ángel - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 12, pp. 1-28
The labour supply has historically been subject to influence from the economic cycle. On the other hand, there is a paucity of research in the Latin American region examining the impact of social factors on labour participation in diverse contexts. This study examines the spatial dependence of...
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The boosted Hodrick-Prescott filter is more general than you might think
Mei, Ziwei; Phillips, Peter C. B.; Shi, Zhentao - In: Journal of applied econometrics 39 (2024) 7, pp. 1260-1281
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Moderation in higher-order earnings risk? : evidence from German cohorts
Isaak, Niklas; Jessen, Robin - 2024
Women born later experience greater earnings growth volatility at given ages than older cohorts. This implies a welfare loss due to increased earnings risk. However, German registry data for the years 2001-2016 reveal a moderation in higher-order earnings risk: Men and women born later face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015162770
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The macroeconomic impact of asymmetric uncertainty shocks
Müller, Henrik; Blagov, Boris; Schmidt, Torsten; … - 2024
We present an Uncertainty Perception Indicator (UPI) for Germany based on the dynamic topic modelling technique RollingLDA. In contrast to conventional LDA, where all data is processed in one go, the recursive structure of RollingLDA ensures that data is made available for modeling as soon as it...
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Dynamic factor models and fractional integration : with an application to US real economic activity
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - In: Econometrics : open access journal 12 (2024) 4, pp. 1-13
This paper makes a twofold contribution. First, it develops the dynamic factor model of by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup provides valuable information on the degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015272692
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Business cycle sentiment subdued at start of the year : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of January 2024
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2024
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Demand regimes and the business-cycle : feedback effects between capacity utilization and income distribution taking into account overhead labor : SVAR-estimates for Germany (2007 - 2021)
Hansen, Mads R. - 2024
In this paper, Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) models of quarterly data between 2007 and 2021 are estimated to assess short-term regimes of aggregate demand and distribution in Germany. The obtained Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) of the conventional neo-Goodwinian baseline case, with...
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From buzz to bust: how fake news shapes the business cycle
Assenza, Tiziana; Collard, Fabrice; Fève, Patrick; … - 2024
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Optimal unemployment insurance with behavioral agents
Yeung, Hon Chung - 2024
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Germany's macroeconomic drivers through the COVID-19 pandemic and recovery period
Hohberger, Stefan - 2024
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The role of diversification in stabilizing bank credit over the business cycle
Mirzet Šeho; Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous - In: International review of finance : the official journal … 24 (2024) 4, pp. 793-813
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Unlucky migrants : scarring effect of recessions on the assimilation of the foreign born
Lucchetti, Gabriele; Ruggieri, Alessandro - 2024
This paper studies how aggregate labor market conditions affect the intragenerational assimilation of immigrants in the hosting country. Using data from the American Community Survey, we leverage variation in the forecast errors for national and local unemployment rates in the US at the time of...
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The beige book and the business cycle: using beige book anecdotes to construct recession probabilities
Gascon, Charles S.; Martorana, Joseph - 2024
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Whither inflation targeting as a global monetary standard?
Borio, Claudio E. V. - 2024
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Economic assessments remain weak : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of October 2024
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2024
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Hard times, hard attitudes? : the effect of economic downturns on gender norms
Berniell, Inés; Gasparini, Leonardo; Marchionni, Mariana; … - 2024
This paper examines the impact of economic fluctuations on social norms, specifically exploring the link between changes in unemployment and shifts in attitudes toward gender roles in the labor market. The results are not immediately obvious, as the literature suggests several potential...
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Mergers and acquisitions over the cycle : an empirical investigation
Ding, Ziran; Hemingway, Benjamin - 2024
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Big news : climate change and the business cycle
Dietrich, Alexander M.; Schoenle, Raphael; Müller, … - 2024
News - anticipated changes of an economy's fundamentals - drive the business cycle. Climate change is big news: it will impact the economy profoundly, but its full effect will take time to materialize. To better understand the transmission of news, this paper focuses on climate-change...
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The demand for trade protection over the business cycle
Auray, Stéphane; Devereux, Michael B.; Eyquem, Aurélien - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 56 (2024) 4, pp. 865-898
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Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece
Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014546439
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From buzz to bust : how fake news shapes the business cycle
Assenza, Tiziana; Collard, Fabrice; Fève, Patrick; … - 2024
The proliferation of fake news poses significant challenges for policymakers and raises concerns about its potential impact on economic stability. This paper explores this question, focusing on the macroeconomic effects of technology related fake news in the US for the period 2007-2022....
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Sectorgap: an R package for consistent economic trend cycle decomposition
Streicher, Sina - 2024
Determining potential output and the output gap-two inherently unobservable variables-is a major challenge for macroeconomists. This paper presents the R package sectorgap, which features a flexible modeling and estimation framework for a multivariate Bayesian state space model identifying...
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Two main business cycle shocks are better than one
Granese, Antonio - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014516175
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Using data on biomarkers and siblings to study early-life economic determinants of type-2 diabetes
Alessie, Rob; Angelini, Viola; Berg, Gerard J. van den; … - In: Health economics 33 (2024) 6, pp. 1266-1283
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Economic assessments begin to stabilise : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of April 2024
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2024
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Endogenous credit, business cycle, and portfolio selection
Choi, Kyoung Jin; Koo, Hyeng-keun; Lim, Byung Hwa; Yoo, Jane - In: Operations research 72 (2024) 3, pp. 871-884
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Using data on biomarkers and siblings to study early‐life economic determinants of type‐2 diabetes
Alessie, Rob; Angelini, Viola; Berg, Gerard J. van den; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015079898
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Fiscal management of aggregate demand : the effectiveness of labor tax credits
Ferrière, Axelle; Navarro, Gaston - 2024
We use a quantitative heterogeneous agent model with nominal rigidities and unemployment risk to analyze the effectiveness of several fiscal policies in stabilizing a demand-driven recession. The model delivers empirically realistic distributions of marginal propensities to consume (mpc) and...
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Job tenure in Western Europe, 1993-2021 : decline or stability?
Goulart, Kimberly; Oesch, Daniel - In: European journal of industrial relations 30 (2024) 3, pp. 329-346
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Monetary and macroprudential policies with direct and indirect financing : implications for macroeconomic stability
Bruch, Jan; Seitz, Franz; Vollmer, Uwe - 2024
We assess the impact of macroprudential measures on macroeconomic stability using a DSGE model in which firms can access both direct and indirect financing. The model is calibrated with data from the euro area. We compare two different macroprudential rules (time-invariant and counter-cyclical)...
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Financial frictions and asymmetric international risk sharing
Asdrubali, Pierfederico; Kim, So-yŏng; Park, Haerang - 2024
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Government funding allocations to universities and the business cycle : an analysis of Canada's provincial governments
Rockerbie, Duane; Easton, Stephen T. - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 4, pp. 1-11
Canada's universities each receive an annual operating grant from their provincial government to partially finance operating expenses. This paper estimates the sensitivity of provincial operating grants to the business cycle by disentangling the effects of procyclical income on government...
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Should monetary policy in South Africa lean against the wind by targeting the financial cycle?
Nyati, Malibongwe Cyprian - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 6, pp. 1-20
Recently, several studies have argued about the interactions of the real economy and financial system, as well as the importance of financial cycles in business cycle fluctuations. To date, there exists near consensus among central bankers, economists, and other scholars that the financial cycle...
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Granular cities
Esquierro, Leon; Silva, Sergio da - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 7, pp. 1-34
This study extends the concept of granularity from firms to cities, examining how large cities influence national economic dynamics beyond their relative size. By applying Zipf's law, which describes the power law distribution of city sizes, we investigate the interplay between granularity and...
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Business cycles when consumers learn by shopping
Gutiérrez-Daza, Ángelo - 2024
Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other words, they "learn by shopping". I introduce this empirical observation as an informational friction in the New Keynesian model and use it to study its consequences for the...
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Bilateral remittance inflows to Asia and the Pacific : countercyclicality and motivations to remit
Kim, Kijin; Ardaniel, Zemma; Kikkawa, Aiko; Endriga, … - In: Asian development review : studies of Asian and pacific … 41 (2024) 2, pp. 257-300
This paper examines the cyclicality of remittance inflows to economies in Asia and the Pacific, aiming to identify major factors associated with remittances using gravity models of bilateral remittances. An analysis that assesses correlation coefficients between the cyclical factors of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015120804
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Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece
Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George; … - In: Scottish journal of political economy : the journal of … 71 (2024) 5, pp. 685-704
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015121012
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Dynamic factor models and fractional integration : with an application to US real economic activity
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2024
This paper makes a twofold contribution, First, it develops the dynamic factor model of Barigozzi et al. (2016) by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup provides valuable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015125374
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Economic assessments more sceptical again : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of July 2024
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015063359
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Loan supply shocks, prudential regulation, and the business cycle
Rudel, Paul - 2024
How do the business cycle effects of loan supply shocks depend on the state of prudential regulation in the euro area? To address this question, we first identify regulatory cycles from a cumulative prudential policy index that tracks the evolution of the regulatory stance in the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636947
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EU cohesion policy and inter-regional risk-sharing : first evidence and lessons learned
Giua, Mara; Pericoli, Filippo Maria; Pierucci, Eleonora - In: Journal of common market studies : JCMS 62 (2024) 1, pp. 142-167
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Investment timing and quantity under ambiguity and business cycles
Song, Wenhe; Chen, Shou - 2024
We extend a dynamic investment model that captures the conjoint effect of ambiguity and the business cycle on the investment threshold and endogenous investment quantity choice. This paper focuses on investment strategies under the combined effects of ambiguity and business cycles. We reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015196323
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The myth of business cycle sector rotation
Molchanov, Alexander; Stangl, Jeffrey - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015337801
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Analysing the effects of the business cycle on renewable energy consumption and sustainable development : evidence from EU countries
Staicu, Gabriel; Gheorghe, Mihai; Prinz, Enrico; … - In: Amfiteatru economic : an economic and business research … 26 (2024) S18, pp. 1048-1064
This article examines the relationship between business cycles and renewable energy consumption (REC/capita) in the European Union (EU) over the past two decades. Using a panel data regression model, the study identifies GDP growth, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, and political...
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The nature of long-term unemployment: predictability, heterogeneity and selection
Müller, Andreas; Spinnewijn, Johannes - 2023
This paper studies the predictability of long-term unemployment (LTU) and analyzes its main determinants using rich administrative data in Sweden. Compared to using standard socio-demographic variables, the predictive power more than doubles when leveraging the rich data environment. The largest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013547704
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