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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunkturtheorie 5,707 Business cycle theory 5,530 Konjunktur 2,247 Business cycle 2,215 Theorie 2,025 Theory 2,019 Schock 608 Shock 608 USA 467 United States 457 Estimation 398 Schätzung 397 Real business cycle model 357 Real-Business-Cycle-Theorie 357 Geldpolitik 331 Monetary policy 319 Ökonomische Ideengeschichte 289 History of economic thought 288 Wachstumstheorie 284 Dynamic equilibrium 268 Dynamisches Gleichgewicht 268 Growth theory 254 Austrian economics 249 Österreichische Schule 248 Geldtheorie 233 Preisrigidität 230 Price stickiness 230 Keynesian economics 227 Keynesianismus 227 Finanzkrise 226 Financial crisis 224 Macroeconomics 224 Makroökonomik 224 Monetary theory 222 Neoclassical synthesis 215 Neoklassische Synthese 214 Investition 188 Investment 182 Business cycle synchronization 173 Konjunkturzusammenhang 173
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Online availability
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Free 1,578 Undetermined 745 CC license 23
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 3,180 Article 2,573 Journal 2
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 2,095 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 2,095 Graue Literatur 1,238 Non-commercial literature 1,238 Working Paper 1,210 Arbeitspapier 1,202 Aufsatz im Buch 357 Book section 357 Hochschulschrift 214 Thesis 163 Collection of articles of several authors 95 Sammelwerk 95 Rezension 63 Aufsatzsammlung 59 Collection of articles written by one author 50 Sammlung 50 Bibliografie enthalten 47 Bibliography included 47 Konferenzschrift 47 Lehrbuch 42 Systematic review 35 Übersichtsarbeit 35 Textbook 30 Conference proceedings 26 Conference paper 23 Konferenzbeitrag 23 Reprint 15 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 12 Festschrift 11 Bibliografie 8 Mehrbändiges Werk 7 Multi-volume publication 7 Quelle 5 Einführung 4 Mikroform 4 Interview 3 Amtsdruckschrift 2 Government document 2 Guidebook 2 Handbook 2
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Language
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English 4,992 German 393 French 142 Italian 62 Spanish 61 Undetermined 45 Russian 25 Polish 18 Portuguese 16 Dutch 8 Danish 4 Swedish 2 Croatian 1 Norwegian 1 Serbian 1 Ukrainian 1
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Author
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Christiano, Lawrence J. 59 Kehoe, Patrick J. 42 King, Robert G. 37 Basu, Susanto 36 Evans, George W. 35 Caballero, Ricardo J. 31 Eichenbaum, Martin S. 31 Flaschel, Peter 30 Portier, Franck 30 Woodford, Michael 29 Cooper, Russell W. 28 Weder, Mark 28 Gallegati, Mauro 27 McGrattan, Ellen R. 27 Beaudry, Paul 26 Honkapohja, Seppo 26 Puu, Tönu 26 Chari, Varadarajan V. 25 Hall, Robert E. 25 Benhabib, Jess 24 Besomi, Daniele 24 Hagemann, Harald 24 Prescott, Edward C. 23 Bernanke, Ben 22 Boianovsky, Mauro 21 Kydland, Finn E. 21 Farmer, Roger E. A. 20 Fisher, Jonas D. M. 20 Schumpeter, Joseph A. 20 Zanetti, Francesco 20 Chiarella, Carl 19 Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús 19 Grandmont, Jean-Michel 19 Johri, Alok 19 Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie 19 Barro, Robert J. 18 Galizia, Dana 18 Rebelo, Sérgio 18 Zarnowitz, Victor 18 Assenmacher, Walter 17
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 181 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 7 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 5 American Economic Association 4 Edward Elgar Publishing 4 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 4 McMaster University / Department of Economics 4 EconWPA 3 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 3 Landbouwuniversiteit Wageningen / Faculty of Economics 3 Metropolis-Verlag für Ökonomie Gesellschaft und Politik GmbH 3 Center for Economic Analysis <Boulder, Colo.> 2 Center for Economic Research <Tilburg> 2 Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys 2 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel 2 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 2 Federal Reserve System / Board of Governors 2 HAL 2 Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva <Nowosibirsk> 2 Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz / Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften 2 Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München / Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät 2 Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research 2 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 2 Springer Gabler <Firma> 2 University of Oxford / Institute of Economics and Statistics 2 Universität Erfurt <1994-> 2 Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Seminar 2 Akademie für Politische Bildung <Tutzing> 1 Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg / Wirtschafts- und Verhaltenswissenschaftliche Fakultät 1 American Economic Association <Evanston> 1 Austrian Institute for Trade Cycle Research 1 Barnard College / Economics Department 1 Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional 1 Centre for International Economics <Canberra> 1 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 1 Conference New Keynesian Approaches for Business Cycle Research <1999, Berlin> 1 Conference on Dynamic Economic Theory <1987, Bielefeld> 1 Conference on Growth and Business Cycles in Theory and Practice <2000,Manchester, Manchester> 1 Deutschland / Statistisches Bundesamt 1
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 172 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 163 NBER Working Paper 154 Journal of economic dynamics & control 77 Journal of monetary economics 72 Journal of macroeconomics 54 Macroeconomic dynamics 49 The American economic review 48 Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 47 The review of Austrian economics 44 Economics letters 42 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 39 Review of economic dynamics 37 Journal of economic theory 36 Economic modelling 35 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 33 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 32 The economic journal : the journal of the Royal Economic Society 32 CESifo working papers 30 European economic review : EER 29 History of political economy 29 Discussion papers / CEPR 27 Working paper 27 Review of political economy 26 Cambridge journal of economics 25 Review of radical political economics 25 Structural change and economic dynamics : SC+ED 23 Staff report / Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 22 The European journal of the history of economic thought 22 The quarterly journal of Austrian economics : the official journal of the Ludwig von Mises Institute 22 Journal of economic issues : jei 20 Journal of post-Keynesian economics : JPKE 20 Journal of the history of economic thought 20 Revue d'économie politique 20 The quarterly journal of economics 19 History of economic ideas : HEI 18 Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 18 Metroeconomica : international review of economics 18 Southern economic journal 18 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 17
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 5,637 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 75 RePEc 35 EconStor 8
Showing 1 - 50 of 5,755
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Review essay : the young Hayek
Maes, Ivo - 2023
Friedrich Hayek has been one of the dominating intellectual figures of the 20th century. Hayek, together with Gunnar Myrdal, received the 1974 Nobel Memorial Prize in economics, for "their pioneering work in the theory of money and economic fluctuations and for their penetrating analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014343108
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Monitoring business cycle fluctuations in Asia
Pundit, Madhavi; Ramayandi, Arief; Simba, Patrick Jaime A. - 2025
Timely updates of business cycle fluctuations-commonly represented by movements in the output gap-help policymakers make informed decisions on the appropriate course of action. Unfortunately, business cycle assessments often suffer from lags in actual gross domestic product data releases. This...
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Relative risk aversion and business fluctuations
Hashimoto, Ken'ichi; Im, Ryonghun; Kunieda, Takuma; … - 2025
By applying a simple dynamic general equilibrium model without exogenous shocks inhabited by infinitely lived capitalists and workers, we show that a higher degree of relative risk aversion can destabilize an economy. In traditional real business cycle (RBC) theory, a higher degree of relative...
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Green ambiguity
Carli, Marco - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326344
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Relative risk aversion and business fluctuations
Hashimoto, Ken'ichi; Im, Ryonghun; Kunieda, Takuma; … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015183131
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Relative risk aversion and business fluctuations
Hashimoto, Ken'ichi; Im, Ryonghun; Kunieda, Takuma; … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015187362
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Differentiable, filter free Bayesian estimation of DSGE models using mixture density networks
Naubert, Christopher - 2025 - Last updated: January 16, 2025
I develop a methodology for Bayesian estimation of globally solved, non-linear macroeconomic models. A novel feature of my method is the use of a mixture density network to approximate the distribution of initial states. I use the methodology to estimate a medium-scale, two-agent New Keynesian...
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Dynamic perturbation
Mennuni, Alessandro; Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco; … - 2025
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Economic dynamics may be different than it seems : multiplicity of relevant economic cycles
Chudziak, Szymon - 2025
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News shocks, consumer confidence, and business cycles
Hussain, Syed M.; Liaqat, Zara - 2025
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Labor markets and modern economic cycles: The growing role of the sixth Schumpeter-Kontratiev wave
Runiewicz-Wardyn, Ma±gorzata; Rutkowski, Jakub; … - 2024
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Superstar firms and aggregate fluctuations
Haque, Qazi; Pavlov, Oscar; Weder, Mark - 2024
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Faraway, so close : business cycle effect of long-run ambiguity
Biadetti, Sara; Carbonari, Lorenzo; Maurici, Filippo - 2024
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The macroeconomic impact of asymmetric uncertainty shocks
Müller, Henrik; Blagov, Boris; Schmidt, Torsten; … - 2024
We present an Uncertainty Perception Indicator (UPI) for Germany based on the dynamic topic modelling technique RollingLDA. In contrast to conventional LDA, where all data is processed in one go, the recursive structure of RollingLDA ensures that data is made available for modeling as soon as it...
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Labor markets and modern economic cycles : the growing role of the sixth Schumpeter-Kontratiev wave
Runiewicz-Wardyn, Małgorzata; Rutkowski, Jakub; … - 2024
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Business cycle sentiment subdued at start of the year : results of the WIFO-Konjunkturtest quarterly survey of January 2024
Hölzl, Werner; Bierbaumer, Jürgen; Klien, Michael; … - 2024
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Influenza pandemics and macroeconomic fluctuations 1871-2016
Summerfield, Fraser; Di Matteo, Livio - In: Cliometrica : journal of historical economics and … 18 (2024) 2, pp. 405-451
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Transmission mechanisms in HANK : an application to Chile
García, Benjamín; Giarda, Mario; Lizama, Carlos; … - In: Latin American journal of central banking : LAJCB 5 (2024) 3, pp. 1-19
Households in emerging economies are subject to significant income risk and have low access to financial markets. Leveraging multiple administrative microdata sources, this paper documents significant heterogeneity in asset holdings, income, and income cyclicality across the distribution of...
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Rational sentiments and financial frictions
Khorrami, Paymon; Mendo, Fernando - 2024
We discover sentiment-driven equilibria in popular models of imperfect risk sharing. In these equilibria, sentiment dynamics behave like uncertainty shocks, in the sense that self-fulfilled beliefs about volatility drive aggregate fluctuations. Because such fluctuations can decouple from the...
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Systemic cycles of accumulation and chaos in the world capitalist system : a missing link
Galanis, Giorgos; Koutny, Christian; Weber, Isabella - 2024
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Granular sentiments
Jamilov, Rustam; Kohlhas, Alexandre; Talavera, Oleksandr; … - 2024
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Granular sentiments
Jamilov, Rustam; Kohlhas, Alexandre; Talavera, Oleksandr; … - 2024
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Forecasting recessions in Canada : an autoregressive probit model approach
Poulin-Moore, Antoine; Tuzcuoglu, Kerem - 2024 - Last updated: May 27, 2024
We forecast recessions in Canada using an autoregressive (AR) probit model. In this model, the presence of the lagged latent variable, which captures the autocorrelation in the recession binary variable, results in an intractable likelihood with a high dimensional integral. Therefore, we employ...
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Superstar firms and aggregate fluctuations
Haque, Qazi; Pavlov, Oscar; Weder, Mark - 2024
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Bad luck or bad decisions? : macroeconomic implications of persistent heterogeneity in cognitive skills and overconfidence
Pfäuti, Oliver; Seyrich, Fabian; Zinman, Jonathan - 2024
Business cycle models often abstract from persistent household heterogeneity, despite its potentially significant implications for macroeconomic fluctuations and policy. We show empirically that the likelihood of being persistently financially constrained decreases with cognitive skills and...
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Two main business cycle shocks are better than one
Granese, Antonio - 2024
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Endogenous credibility and wage-price spirals
Kostyshyna, Olena; Özden, Tolga; Zhang, Yang - 2024 - Last updated: May 14, 2024
Elevated inflation can threaten the credibility of central banks and increase the risk that inflation expectations do not remain anchored. Wage-price spirals might develop in such an environment, and high inflation could become entrenched. We quantitively assess the risks of a wage-price spiral...
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Attention-driven sentiment and the business cycle
Kamdar, Rupal; Ray, Walker - 2024
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Gender and Business Cycles
Gomes, Diego - 2024
This note reviews the literature on the complex relationship between gender and business cycles. It focuses on nuanced patterns that challenge the notion of gender neutrality in economic fluctuations. The note also analyzes dimensions, such as unemployment, income risk, hours worked, and...
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Financial intermediation and efficient risk sharing in two-period lived OLG models
Ritschel, Paul; Wenzelburger, Jan - In: Economic theory bulletin 12 (2024) 1, pp. 57-78
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Do we need firm data to understand macroeconomic dynamics?
Lenza, Michele; Savoia, Ettore - 2024
We study the role of heterogeneity in the revenues of individual firms for euro area macroeconomic dynamics. To this end, we specify two models: a standard aggregate vector autoregressive model (VAR) and an "heterogeneous VAR" (HVAR). The VAR model includes only aggregate data, while the HVAR...
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Granular cities
Esquierro, Leon; Silva, Sergio da - In: Economies : open access journal 12 (2024) 7, pp. 1-34
This study extends the concept of granularity from firms to cities, examining how large cities influence national economic dynamics beyond their relative size. By applying Zipf's law, which describes the power law distribution of city sizes, we investigate the interplay between granularity and...
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Unusual shocks in our usual models
Ferroni, Filippo; Fisher, Jonas D. M.; Melosi, Leonardo - In: Journal of monetary economics 147 (2024), pp. 1-16
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Solving the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model : a hybrid perturbation approach
Hänsel, Matthias - In: Economics letters 236 (2024), pp. 1-5
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Dispersed information, nominal rigidities and monetary business cycles : a Hayekian perspective
Hellwig, Christian; Venkateswaran, Venky - 2024
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Effective demand, investment and dynamics : the relevance of Kalecki for macroeconomic theory
Possas, Mario Luiz - 2024
Mainstream Macroeconomics has withdrawn completely from its remote origins in Keynes and Kalecki, replacing the principle of effective demand (P.E.D.) with supply economics, investment with savings, and dynamics with equilibrium as a norm This article discusses, in the event of Kalecki’s...
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Investment timing and quantity under ambiguity and business cycles
Song, Wenhe; Chen, Shou - 2024
We extend a dynamic investment model that captures the conjoint effect of ambiguity and the business cycle on the investment threshold and endogenous investment quantity choice. This paper focuses on investment strategies under the combined effects of ambiguity and business cycles. We reveal...
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Hetereogeneous firms, growth and the long shadows of business cycles
Bendetti-Fasil, Cristiana; Impullitti, Giammario; … - 2024
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The young Robert Triffin’s criticism of purchasing power parity theory
Maes, Ivo; Pasotti, Ilaria - In: Revue d'histoire de la pensée économique (2024) 1, pp. 187-216
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Review essay: The young Hayek
Maes, Ivo - 2023
Friedrich Hayek has been one of the dominating intellectual figures of the 20th century. Hayek, together with Gunnar Myrdal, received the 1974 Nobel Memorial Prize in economics, for "their pioneering work in the theory of money and economic fluctuations and for their penetrating analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014550332
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Synchronization of endogenous business cycles
Pangallo, Marco - 2023
Business cycles tend to comove across countries. However, standard models that attribute comovement to propagation of exogenous shocks struggle to generate a level of co-movement that is as high as in the data. In this paper, we consider models that produce business cycles endogenously, through...
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A single monetary policy for heterogeneous labour markets : the case of the euro area
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Lozej, Matija - 2023
Differences in labour market institutions and regulations between countries of the monetary union can cause divergent responses even to a common shock. We augment a multi-country model of the euro area with search and matching framework that differs across Ricardian and hand-to-mouth households....
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A business-cycle model with money and banking : the case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)
Vasilev, Aleksandar - In: Post-communist economies 35 (2023) 2, pp. 122-133
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Schumpeter, J.A., 1934 (2008), The Theory of Economic Development : An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest and the Business Cycle, translated from the German by Redvers Opie, New Brunswick (U.S.A) and London (U.K.): Transaction Publishers
Croitoru, Alin - 2023
‘The Theory of Economic Development’ is still one of the most famous and influential books in the entire field of economics. This book was published when Joseph Schumpeter was only 28 years old and he considered it to be his seminal work. Since this book’s publication, Schumpeter’s...
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Equilibrium Unemployment and Self-Fulfilling Business Cycles
Dai, Wei; Weder, Mark; Zhang, Bo - 2023
We propose a model of business cycles for an economy that is characterized by involuntary unemployment and being dependent on energy imports. The presence of both factors increases aggregate volatility in a well-defined way: even in the absence of increasing returns to scale or high labor supply...
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CBDC and Business Cycle Dynamics in a New Monetarist New Keynesian Model
Assenmacher, Katrin; Bitter, Lea; Ristiniemi, Annukka - 2023
To study implications of an interest-bearing CBDC on the economy, we integrate a New Monetarist-type decentralised market that explicitly accounts for the means-of-exchange function of bank deposits and CBDC into a New Keynesian model with financial frictions. The central bank influences the...
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The origins and effects of macroeconomic uncertainty
Bianchi, Francesco; Kung, Howard; Tirskikh, Mikhail - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 3, pp. 855-896
We estimate a production‐based general equilibrium model featuring demand‐ and supply‐side uncertainty and an endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand‐ and...
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Rational inattention and the business cycle effects of productivity and news shocks
Maćkowiak, Bartosz; Wiederholt, Mirko - 2023
We solve a real business cycle model with rational inattention (an RI-RBC model). In the RI-RBC model, the growth rates of employment, investment, and output are about as persistent as in the data, with an amount of inattention consistent with survey data on expectations. Moreover, consumption,...
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A Behavioral Business Cycle Model : A Unified Framework Using Prospect Theory
Sato, Jun - 2023
Empirical and experimental findings in the literature indicate that the motives for saving, consumers’ anger, and employees’ morale affect economic decision-making. Prospect theory is used to incorporate these factors into a business cycle model. Nominal rigidity endogenously arises and the...
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Review of Roberto Baranzini and Daniele Besomi, eds., Metaphors in the History of Economic Thought – Crises, Business Cycles and Equilibrium
Boianovsky, Mauro - 2023
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