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  • Search: subject_exact:"Business cycle transmission"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunkturzusammenhang 4,432 Business cycle synchronization 4,427 Konjunktur 1,500 Business cycle 1,490 Welt 983 World 983 Theorie 950 Theory 949 EU countries 869 EU-Staaten 869 Schock 838 Shock 838 Eurozone 661 Euro area 659 Schätzung 633 Estimation 632 USA 563 United States 558 Geldpolitik 360 Monetary policy 357 VAR model 357 VAR-Modell 357 International financial market 336 Internationaler Finanzmarkt 336 Finanzkrise 308 Financial crisis 307 OECD countries 286 OECD-Staaten 286 International economy 270 Internationale Wirtschaft 270 Spillover effect 263 Spillover-Effekt 263 Deutschland 241 Germany 241 Globalization 237 Globalisierung 235 Time series analysis 234 Währungsunion 234 Zeitreihenanalyse 234 Monetary union 222
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Online availability
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Free 1,883 Undetermined 608 CC license 46
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 2,551 Article 1,885 Journal 2
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 1,656 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,656 Graue Literatur 1,397 Non-commercial literature 1,397 Working Paper 1,334 Arbeitspapier 1,332 Aufsatz im Buch 217 Book section 217 Hochschulschrift 104 Thesis 95 Collection of articles of several authors 44 Sammelwerk 44 Collection of articles written by one author 28 Sammlung 28 Amtsdruckschrift 26 Government document 26 Konferenzschrift 23 Conference paper 18 Konferenzbeitrag 18 Conference proceedings 17 Bibliografie enthalten 12 Bibliography included 12 Rezension 10 Aufsatzsammlung 9 Advisory report 5 Country report 5 Gutachten 5 Länderbericht 5 Systematic review 5 Übersichtsarbeit 5 Case study 4 Fallstudie 4 Monografische Reihe 2 Bibliografie 1 Interview 1 Mehrbändiges Werk 1 Multi-volume publication 1 Tabelle 1
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Language
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English 4,063 German 159 French 106 Spanish 55 Polish 15 Italian 8 Dutch 6 Hungarian 5 Portuguese 4 Undetermined 3 Danish 2 Croatian 2 Russian 2 Slovak 2 Slovenian 2 Swedish 2 Czech 1 Estonian 1 Finnish 1 Norwegian 1
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Author
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Kose, M. Ayhan 130 Prasad, Eswar S. 58 Otrok, Christopher M. 47 Terrones, Marco E. 44 Levchenko, Andrei A. 42 Artis, Michael J. 39 Canova, Fabio 36 Fidrmuc, Jarko 36 Pesaran, M. Hashem 36 Perri, Fabrizio 34 Baxter, Marianne 33 Korhonen, Iikka 31 Eickmeier, Sandra 28 Mohaddes, Kamiar 26 Di Giovanni, Julian 25 Ohnsorge, Franziska 24 Raissi, Mehdi 24 Antonakakis, Nikolaos 23 Haan, Jakob de 23 Wohltmann, Hans-Werner 23 Dées, Stéphane 22 Rebucci, Alessandro 22 Servén, Luis 22 Camacho, Maximo 21 Caporale, Guglielmo Maria 21 Hirata, Hideaki 21 Crucini, Mario J. 20 Rose, Andrew 20 Aizenman, Joshua 19 Kollmann, Robert 19 Kouparitsas, Michael A. 19 Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel 19 Belke, Ansgar 18 Cheung, Yin-Wong 18 Imbs, Jean 18 Clausen, Volker 17 Devereux, Michael B. 17 Frankel, Jeffrey A. 17 Ha, Jongrim 17 Loayza, Norman 17
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 96 European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs 13 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 12 European University Institute / Department of Economics 9 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 5 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 4 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 4 International Monetary Fund 4 Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich> 4 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 4 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 4 Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 3 European Commission / Statistical Office of the European Union 3 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 3 Institut für Höhere Studien 3 Internationaler Währungsfonds 3 Research Conference on Business Cycles and Growth in Europe <1, 2004, Brüssel> 3 Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 3 American Economic Association 2 Brookings Institution 2 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre 2 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 2 European Central Bank 2 European Commission / Statistical Office of the European Communities 2 Europäische Kommission 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 2 Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas 2 Internationaler Währungsfonds / Research Department 2 Kieler Konjunkturgespräch <58, 1998, Kiel> 2 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 2 University of Cambridge / Department of Applied Economics 2 University of Cambridge / Faculty of Economics 2 Université de Genève / Institut de hautes études internationales 2 Asian Development Bank 1 BRE Bank 1 Banca d'Italia 1 Bank of Canada 1 Boston College / Department of Economics 1 Caisse des dépôts et consignations <Frankreich> / Service des étude économiques et financières 1
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 93 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 83 NBER Working Paper 80 IMF working papers 73 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 68 Journal of international economics 57 IMF working paper 53 Economic modelling 47 Journal of international money and finance 46 CESifo working papers 45 Journal of monetary economics 39 Working paper 36 Applied economics 35 Working paper series / European Central Bank 32 Journal of economic dynamics & control 30 Discussion papers / CEPR 26 International finance discussion papers 24 Open economies review 24 ECB Working Paper 22 European economic review : EER 22 IMF Working Paper 21 International review of economics & finance : IREF 21 Journal of macroeconomics 20 Discussion paper 19 CAMA working paper series 18 Economics letters 18 Journal of Asian economics 18 CESifo working papers : the international platform of Ludwig-Maximilians University's Center for Economic Studies and the Ifo Institute 17 Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the Society for the Study of Emerging Markets 17 Empirica : journal of european economics 17 The Canadian journal of economics 17 The world economy : the leading journal on international economic relations 17 CESifo Working Paper Series 16 The American economic review 16 FIW working paper 15 Koç University - TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum working paper series 15 Policy research working paper : WPS 15 BOFIT Discussion Paper 14 Working papers 14 Documentos de trabajo / Banco de España 13
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 4,427 RePEc 5 ArchiDok 4 EconStor 2
Showing 1 - 50 of 4,438
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Monitoring business cycle fluctuations in Asia
Pundit, Madhavi; Ramayandi, Arief; Simba, Patrick Jaime A. - 2025
Timely updates of business cycle fluctuations-commonly represented by movements in the output gap-help policymakers make informed decisions on the appropriate course of action. Unfortunately, business cycle assessments often suffer from lags in actual gross domestic product data releases. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015191532
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Revisiting the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic performance : an international perspective
Shen, Yifan; Gu, Ziping; Abeysinghe, Tilak; Shi, Xunpeng - In: Economic modelling 144 (2025), pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193846
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Resolving the trade comovement puzzle at the margin of global value chains
Choi, Bongseok - In: International trade, politics and development 9 (2025) 1, pp. 25-35
Purpose - This paper investigates the crucial role that the trade of intermediate goods plays in elucidating trade-output synchronization. We specifically highlight the significance of incorporating intermediate trade, particularly concerning the dominance of forward linkages in the global value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015397275
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Inflation synchronization and shock transmission between the eurozone and the non-euro CEE Economies : a wavelet quantile VAR approach
Alqaralleh, Huthaifa; Canepa, Alessandra; Muchova, Eva - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371761
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Development of Slovenian macroeconomic imbalances and their synchronization with EU countries
Bednářová, Pavla; Valentová, Vladimíra Hovorková - 2025
Slovenia and other EU member states are subject to the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure. This article aims to evaluate the macroeconomic imbalances of the Slovenian economy and its synchronisation with other EU countries from 2013 to 2022. Eleven Scoreboard indicators are used to monitor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015395700
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How Phillips curve dynamics enhance business cycle synchronization analysis in Central and Eastern Europe
Petz, Nico; Zörner, Thomas - 2025
This paper analyzes business cycle synchronization and the Phillips curve (PC) relationship in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European (CESEE) economies relative to the euro area. We find an overall increase in business cycle synchronicity, particularly among Euro adoption candidates, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402052
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The endogeneity of optimum currency areas in light of pan-European intra-industry trade patterns and business cycle synchronicity
Steinert, Frank Niklas; Althammer, Wilhelm - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 52 (2025) 1, pp. 121-142
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How costly are business cycle volatility and inflation? : a vox populi approach
Georgarakos, Dimitris; Kim, Kwang Hwan; Coibion, Olivier; … - 2025
Using surveys of households across thirteen countries, we study how much individuals would be willing to pay to eliminate business cycles. These direct estimates are much higher than traditional measures following Lucas (2003): on average, households would be prepared to sacrifice around 5-6% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015196921
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International spillovers of fiscal news shocks
Turgut, Mehmet Burak; Wesołowski, Grzegorz - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373328
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US macroeconomic shocks and international business cycle
Wesołowski, Grzegorz; Gurshev, Oleg - 2025
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Business cycle synchronization and asymmetry in the European Union
Arčabić, Vladimir; Panovska, Irina; Tica, Josip - In: Economic modelling 139 (2024), pp. 1-24
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European business cycle indicators : 3rd quarter 2024
European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic … - 2024
This special topic investigates the extent to which selling price expectations (SPE) from the harmonised EU programme of business surveys contain leading information for forecasting short-term developments in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The analysis is based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015320823
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Business and financial cycle across regimes : does financial stress matter?
Giampaoli, Noemi; Cucculelli, Marco; Sullo, Valerio - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 96 (2024) 2, pp. 1-23
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The transmission of trade shocks across countries : firm-level evidence from the Covid-19 crisis
Ben̜kovskis, Konstantins; Meriküll, Jaanika; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014501169
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Global value chain integration and business cycle synchronisation : evidence from selected ASEAN countries
Jangam, Bhushan Praveen; Rath, Badri Narayan - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015188191
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The changing nature of technology shocks
Görtz, Christoph; Gunn, Christopher M.; Lubik, Thomas A. - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015188263
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The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone
Barbieri, Claudio; Guerini, Mattia; Napoletano, Mauro - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 28 (2024) 8, pp. 1635-1672
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Inter-industry trade and business cycle dynamics
Lechthaler, Wolfgang; Mileva, Mariya - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 28 (2024) 8, pp. 1739-1767
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International monetary policy and cryptocurrency markets : dynamic and spillover effects
Elsayed, Ahmed; Sousa, Ricardo M. - In: The European journal of finance 30 (2024) 16, pp. 1855-1875
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Terms of trade and small open economies business cycles: the role of global shocks
Velasquez, Christian - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015165371
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Chinese macroeconomic surprises and the global financial cycle
Gutierrez, Camila; Turen, Javier; Vicondoa, Alejandro - 2024
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World economy winter 2024: Strong headwinds for global economic activity
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kooths, Stefan; Liu, Wan-hsin; … - 2024
The global economy is facing increased economic policy uncertainty in a phase of already moderate momentum. The announcements made by the incoming US administration are the main reason for this. However, it is unclear what measures will actually be taken. This forecast is based on the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329309
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US monetary policy spillovers to the euro area
Degasperi, Riccardo; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015183197
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Fiscal policy spillovers in the Euro Area : a new assessment
Afonso, António; Loureiro, Daniel - 2024
We compute a GVAR to estimate the fiscal spillovers on output, consumption, investment, employment, and income, from 2002Q1 to 2021Q4, with 16 Euro Area (EA) countries. We found that a budget balance expansionary shock in Germany would generate positive spillovers on output and employment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015077839
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Financial cycles synchronisation in South Africa : a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) Approach
Magubane, Khwazi - In: Cogent economics & finance 12 (2024) 1, pp. 1-22
The study analyzed the extent of financial cycle synchronization, as represented by the Aggregate Financial Cycle and the Credit and Housing Cycle, in South Africa from 1975q1 to 2023q4 using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation model and the Vector Erro Correction Mechanism. Financial cycles are...
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The global financial cycle and international monetary policy cooperation
Li, Shangshang - 2024
This paper evaluates gains from international monetary policy cooperation between the financial center and periphery countries in a two-country open economy model consistent with global financial cycles. Compared to the non-cooperative Nash equilibrium, the optimal cooperative equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402022
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International transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty in China : a time-varying Bayesian global SVAR approach
Kim, Wongi - In: East Asian economic review 28 (2024) 1, pp. 95-140
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Inflation synchronization and shock transmission between the eurozone and the non-Euro CEE economies : a wavelet quantile var approach
Alqaralleh, Huthaifa; Canepa, Alessandra; Muchova, Eva - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014546177
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Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece
Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George; … - 2024
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Explaining long-term bond yields synchronization dynamics in Europe
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Fernandez, Oscar - In: Economic modelling 133 (2024), pp. 1-12
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Global political ties and the global financial cycle
Ambrocio, Gene; Hasan, Iftekhar; Li, Xiang - 2024 - This Version: December 20, 2023
We study the implications of forging stronger political ties with the US on the sensitivities of stock returns around the world to a global common factor - the global financial cycle. Using voting patterns at the United Nations as a measure of political ties with the US along with various...
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A note on international spillovers of economic policy uncertainty across business cycles : evidence from OECD countries
Popp, Aaron; Zhang, Fang - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 28 (2024) 1, pp. 99-111
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Two main business cycle shocks are better than one
Granese, Antonio - 2024
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Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies
Juhro, Solikin M.; Iyke, Bernard Njindan; Narayan, … - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 92 (2024), pp. 1-27
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Transmission channels of the cohesion policy : direct and indirect effects on EA synchronicity
Štiblárová, Ľubica - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 51 (2024) 2, pp. 379-402
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Financial frictions and asymmetric international risk sharing
Asdrubali, Pierfederico; Kim, So-yŏng; Park, Haerang - 2024
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The performance of emerging markets during the fed's easing and tightening cycles : a resilience analysis across economies
Aizenman, Joshua; Park, Donghyun; Qureshi, Irfan A.; … - 2024
We investigate the determinants of the performance of emerging markets (EMs) during five United States (US) Federal Reserve monetary tightening and easing cycles from 2004 to 2023. We study how macroeconomic and institutional conditions of an EM at the beginning of a cycle explain EM resilience...
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The euro area business cycle and its drivers
Rodriguez Palenzuela, Diego; Grigoraș, Veaceslav; … - 2024
The monitoring and analysis of the business cycle is a central element of inputs to monetary policy decision-making. This report contributes to the analysis of business cycles in the euro area in three dimensions. First, in terms of business cycle dating, it proposes automated procedures to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634620
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Global risk and the dollar
Georgiadis, Georgios; Müller, Gernot J.; Schumann, Ben - In: Journal of monetary economics 144 (2024), pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015071244
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Cross-country unemployment insurance, transfers, and trade-offs in international risk sharing
Enders, Zeno; Vespermann, David - In: Journal of monetary economics 147 (2024), pp. 1-16
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The changing nature of technology shocks
Görtz, Christoph; Gunn, Christopher M.; Lubik, Thomas A. - 2024
We document changes to the pattern of technology shocks and their propagation in post-war U.S. data. Using an agnostic identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news shock and that shock transmission has changed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015075006
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Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece
Delis, Panagiotis; Degiannakis, Stavros; Filis, George; … - In: Scottish journal of political economy : the journal of … 71 (2024) 5, pp. 685-704
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015121012
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U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to Middle East and Central Asia: Shocks, Fundamentals, and Propagations
Ugazio, Giovanni - 2024
We empirically examine U.S. monetary policy spillovers to the Middle East and Central Asia (ME & CA) region by decomposing U.S. interest rates changes into two orthogonal shocks: the pure monetary policy shock and the information news shock. Using a sample of 16 ME & CA countries, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015058845
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Economic knock-on effects of Russia's geopolitical risk on advanced economies : a global VAR approach
Blagov, Boris; Dirks, Maximilian; Funke, Michael - 2024
Using Russia as a case study and a global VAR model as a methodological tool, we analyze how heightened geopolitical risk shocks propagate across advanced economies and quantify the economic effects of these events. The global VAR impulse response functions in response to the skyrocketing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014466941
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The transmission of trade shocks across countries: firm-level evidence from the Covid-19 crisis
Bȩnkovskis, Konstantins; Meriküll, Jaanika; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014469908
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Energy and international business cycles
Kim, Myunghyun - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 28 (2024) 2, pp. 325-344
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014485305
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Economic knock-on effects of Russia's geopolitical risk on advanced economies : a global VAR approach
Blagov, Boris; Dirks, Maximilian; Funke, Michael - 2024
Using Russia as a case study and a global VAR model as a methodological tool, we analyze how heightened geopolitical risk shocks propagate across advanced economies and quantify the economic effects of these events. The global VAR impulse response functions in response to the skyrocketing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014452016
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Role of central bank independence on monetary integration and business cycle synchronization in the Economic Community of West African States
Diendere, Louis-Joel Basneouinde; Diendere, Achille Augustin - In: Cogent economics & finance 12 (2024) 1, pp. 1-22
This article examines the effects of monetary integration on the synchronization of the business cycle within ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) and contributes to the economic literature dealing with these aspects. First, the indicators of de facto and de jure central bank...
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Time-heterogeneous impacts of global temperature cycle on world business cycle
Nam, Kyungsik - 2024
We study the statistical relationship between the world business cycle and the global temperature cycle. To amplify the signal-to-noise ratio, we estimate a two-state latent dynamic process from the original data using the endogenous regime-switching methodology. Subsequently, we apply a...
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International co-movements of inflation : 1851-1913
Gerlach, Stefan; Stuart, Rebecca - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015357223
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