Using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) on sovereign bonds, we investigate whether US sovereign default risk is a greater driving factor of domestic interbank funding risk than domestic sovereign default risk across the five Libor counties including Canada and Australia. We use equivalent-country...

This paper employs predictive regressions to explore the predictability of sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) spread dynamics of relevant oil-producing countries. By incorporating oil prices and additional control variables, we predict the rate of CDS spread changes for Brazil, the UK,...

The COVID-19 pandemic was a health, economic, and financial crisis. The aviation sector was one of the most severely hit. Despite the extensive literature on this, COVID-Finance has been focused on stock returns, neglecting what could be learnt from the spreads of airlines' credit default swaps...

This research highlights the asymmetric interdependence structure among the sovereign risks of Brazil, Russia, India, China, Indonesia, and Türkiye (BRICIT) nations, challenging the traditional view that bilateral trade is the main channel for cross-border spillover effects. Despite their...

Using the panel-data approach with a sample of emerging countries, this study examines the relationship between exchange-rate movements from 2011 to 2022, on the one hand, and sovereign debt credit default swap (CDS) premiums and market volatility, on the other. To capture the short- and...

We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...

This paper evaluates the efficacy of the Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, a program designed to stabilize the U.S. corporate bond market during the COVID-19 pandemic. The program announcements on March 23 and April 9, 2020, significantly reduced investment-grade credit spreads across...

This study analyzes the impact of the information environment (IE) and credit default swap (CDS) transaction costs on information transmission between the stock and CDS markets. Using the daily regression analysis on the Korean firm's stock and CDS data from 2004 to 2023, the results show that...

Assessing the dynamics of risk premium measures and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals is essential for macroeconomic policymakers and market practitioners. This study analyzes the main determinants of sovereign credit default swaps (SCDS) in Latin America at different tenures,...

This paper aims to investigate the volatility spillovers among selected emerging economies' sovereign credit default swaps (SCDSs), including those of Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Indonesia, South Africa, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. Using data from January 2010 to July 2023, we apply the...

Carbon risk, a type of climate risk, is expected to have a crucial impact, especially on high-carbon-emitting, "polluting" firms as opposed to less carbon-intensive, "clean" ones. With a rising number of actions and policies being continuously proposed to mitigate these concerns and an...

Acknowledging the potential detrimental impact that twin-deficits may have on sovereign risk, this study uses a two-step approach to assess the impact of fiscal and external sustainability on sovereign risk dynamics for a panel of 27 European Economies between 2001Q4 and 2022Q3. To do so, we...

We address the problem of regulating the size of banks' macroprudential capital buffers by using market-based estimates of systemic risk and by developing a modeling mechanism through which capital buffers can be allocated efficiently across systemic banks. First, a Distance-to-Default type...

This paper proposes the volatility of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) as a measurement of economic uncertainty. Sovereign CDS provide protection against losses from sovereign defaults and are traded for almost all countries by the world’s largest financial institutions. The premium for...

The following paper addresses the question of whether the risk premium and the risk-free interest rate on the capital market tend to develop in the same or opposite direction or are to be understood as independent of each other. This fundamental consideration is not new, but has gained...

Can banks trade credit default swaps (CDSs) referenced on their current corporate clients at competitive prices, or are banks penalized for potentially holding private information? To answer this question we merge CDS trades reported under the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR)...

In this article, we test performance persistence and measure the historical, the implied volatility, the credit spread volatility and the value at risk,VaR, of the credit derivatives swaptions contracts. We examine contracts of US leveraged loans, mortgage backed securities, high grade corporate...

We introduce a novel model for pricing CDS tranches based on beta-distributed losses, offering a range of advantages over existing market standards, such as enhanced speed, heightened robustness, and a more intuitive interpretation of parameters. The proposed model significantly increases...

We investigate the link between sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) and currency carry trades. We demonstrate that the term structure of sovereign CDS exhibits a significant explanatory power for crash risk and currency risk. We show that global uncertainty shocks in developed economies have a...

As the debt ceiling episode unfolds, we highlight a sharp increase in trading activity and liquidity in the U.S. credit default swaps (CDS) market, as well as a spike in U.S. CDS premiums. Compared with the periods leading up to the 2011 and 2013 debt ceiling episodes, we show that elevated CDS...

The frequent occurrence of major emergencies causes credit default and its contagion among counterparties in the financial market, which is of great importance to the study of counterparty credit risk contagion control under the impact of major emergencies. In view of this background, this study...

We empirically investigated the impact of regulatory risk retention methods on credit ratings and pricing at issuance using a sample of European securitization tranches issued in the period 2011-2021. European regulation is based on the assumption that all risk retention methods homogenously...

ow do credit default swaps (CDS) affect sovereign debt markets? The answer depends crucially on trading frictions, risk-sharing, arbitrage violations, and spillovers from secondary to primary markets. We propose a sovereign default model where investors trade bonds and CDS over the counter via...