This study is the first to establish a chronology of food crises in Germany from the sixteenth century to their disappearance in the late 1860s based on a standard methodology to detect cycles in commodity prices. To this end, we develop an aggregate rye price series, deflate it by a consumer...

Background Currently, food price inflation is a widespread issue in Bangladesh as well as the rest of the world. Malnutrition is a common issue among children that can have long-lasting effects on their development and overall health. There have been lots of studies conducted to identify the...

Food price inflation in Laos has surged into double digits since mid-2022, surpassing global and regional trends. High food prices impact the welfare of both consumers and agricultural producers. Holding all other factors constant, increasing food prices diminishes households' purchasing power....

Establishing a clear link between prices of conventional and niche product versions can help address challenges associated with anticipating these prices and attenuate concerns related to thin market conditions. In that regard, we analyze the price dynamics, differentiating between agri-product...

This study examines the effectiveness of using webscraped data to predict price developments in the Austrian food retail sector. We calculate monthly nowcasts of price changes based on daily price data collected by the OeNB since mid-2020, using Eurostat methodology for price index calculation,...

This research examines spatial integration in Mexican regional-food markets, with an emphasis on the degree of processing. The analysis employs a pairwise approach to evaluate the convergence of price differentials for each item across city pairs. Additionally, it examines the influence of...

This study investigates the disconnect between falling agricultural commodity prices and persistent food inflation by applying a Heterogeneous Vector Autoregression (VAR) model to a panel of 203 countries using data from 1961 to 2022. It analyzes the impact of global crops, fertilizer, and oil...

We empirically investigate the economic impact of natural disasters on food prices and production. We address the key issues of data aggregation and counterfactual biases. Our data set consists of regional information on prices and production for fourteen food products in Peru. This granularity...

This paper studies the effects of country-specific energy prices on food consumer price inflation (CPI) within a cross-country Phillips curve framework. It considers a panel of 36 OECD member and candidate economies using quarterly data from the start of 1994 to the end of 2021. We find that...

Understanding global food production and productivity patterns is crucial for policy and in-vestment decisions aimed at addressing poverty, food insecurity, and climate change. This paper develops comprehensive calorific-based production and yield indexes for 144 crops, covering 98 percent of...

The world has faced an increasing number of global shocks that have resulted in large and unpredictable changes in global prices, particularly of food. These increases, coupled with the negative impacts of shocks to economic growth, have had damaging effects on welfare, hunger, and diets. Future...

This study investigates the factors influencing food inflation in Turkey, employing both endogenous and exogenous models and integrating major literature findings. Utilizing monthly data from February 2007 to November 2023, standardized for analysis, it explores the relationship between food...

This paper uses the endogenous regime switching model with dynamic feedback and interactions developed by Chang et al. (2023) to estimate global food price mean and volatility indicators, the latter measuring uncertainty and risk in the global food market. Both are then included in structural...

During the global recession of 2020 food insecurity increased substantially in many countries around the world. Fortunately, the surge in food insecurity quickly came to a halt as the world economy returned to its positive growth path, despite double-digit domestic food inflation in most...

High-frequency monitoring of food commodity prices is important for assessing and responding to shocks, especially in fragile contexts where timely and targeted interventions for food security are critical. However, national price surveys are typically limited in temporal and spatial...

The European Union is discussing the introduction of a mandatory front-of-pack label to address the rise in nutrition-related diseases. The Nutri-Score (NS) is the most supported candidate in the EU, despite some controversies exist. Specifically, the policy behind the NS system (i.e., the Farm...

The possible effect of the financialization of agricultural commodities on food security has become an evolving worry in recent years. This study seeks to empirically investigate this complicated problem and influence policy choices to ensure a more stable and secure food system by analyzing the...

This paper reports the estimation and simulation of the Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) model on Belgian data. The model offers a consistent framework that ties together wage growth, inflation expectations and price inflation. It is used to study the surge and persistence of inflation in the...

This study assesses the impact of increased fertilizer prices under different scenarios on rice production, consumption, trade and prices. Using a global rice model based on a partial equilibrium framework, the simulation results show that a 30% to 100% increase in fertilizer prices would reduce...

We present the largest homogenous dataset of grain prices for four major types of grain for pre-industrial Germany covering 70 cities with a total of 259 time series. This article describes the sources and the methodology followed to create calendar-year-based price series in grams of silver per...

The inflation surge in recent years is having profound social, economic, and political consequences. With food price changes being an integral part of inflation, low income segments of the population are strongly impacted. What makes this period so unusual is the breadth of price pressures that...

This study investigates how consumers make decisions when using online food delivery services in Thailand, with a particular focus on the price-related factors that influence their choices. The research adopts a mixed-method approach, combining quantitative and qualitative data collection and...

The study investigates the effects of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the COVID-19 pandemic, and exchange rate fluctuations on the average return, contagion dynamics, and persistence of risks associated with three staples in Türkiye: wheat, sunflower oil, and corn. The pandemic and the war disrupted...