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Year of publication
Subject
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Prognose 19,566 Forecast 18,397 Prognoseverfahren 7,622 Forecasting model 7,587 Theorie 3,870 Theory 3,860 World 2,166 Welt 2,165 Finanzanalyse 1,831 Financial analysis 1,822 USA 1,709 United States 1,640 Deutschland 1,597 Wirtschaftsprognose 1,593 Economic forecast 1,583 Germany 1,491 Capital income 1,323 Kapitaleinkommen 1,323 Schätzung 1,304 Estimation 1,298 Zeitreihenanalyse 1,129 Time series analysis 1,105 Börsenkurs 994 Share price 992 Gewinn 937 Profit 931 EU-Staaten 863 EU countries 859 Inflation 841 Earnings announcement 809 Gewinnprognose 809 Frühindikator 681 Leading indicator 681 Anlageberatung 640 Financial advisors 639 Volatility 635 Volatilität 634 Wechselkurs 607 Exchange rate 591 China 581
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Online availability
All
Free 6,066 Undetermined 3,775 CC license 274
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 10,562 Article 9,535 Journal 229 Other 4
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 7,950 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 7,950 Graue Literatur 4,366 Non-commercial literature 4,366 Working Paper 2,853 Arbeitspapier 2,803 Aufsatz im Buch 1,192 Book section 1,192 Amtsdruckschrift 484 Government document 484 Collection of articles of several authors 445 Sammelwerk 445 Hochschulschrift 411 Thesis 291 Konferenzschrift 270 Aufsatzsammlung 231 Statistik 203 Conference proceedings 168 Advisory report 154 Gutachten 154 Statistics 145 Bibliografie enthalten 116 Bibliography included 116 Market information 103 Marktinformation 103 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 99 Forschungsbericht 86 Conference paper 63 Konferenzbeitrag 63 Collection of articles written by one author 44 Sammlung 44 Mehrbändiges Werk 40 Multi-volume publication 40 No longer published / No longer aquired 39 Bibliografie 28 Article 25 Lehrbuch 22 Case study 21 Fallstudie 21 Bericht 19
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Language
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English 16,292 German 2,363 Undetermined 581 French 389 Russian 235 Spanish 116 Polish 114 Dutch 69 Hungarian 42 Italian 39 Portuguese 26 Czech 23 Croatian 19 Swedish 17 Slovak 16 Danish 10 Ukrainian 10 Finnish 8 Lithuanian 8 Norwegian 8 Bulgarian 7 Romanian 7 Slovenian 7 Arabic 3 Afrikaans 2 Modern Greek (1453-) 2 Macedonian 2 Estonian 1 Galician 1 Kazakh 1 Serbian 1 Urdu 1 Vietnamese 1
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Author
All
Pierdzioch, Christian 71 Gupta, Rangan 70 Clements, Michael P. 58 Leeper, Eric M. 51 Outlaw, Joe L. 51 Baumeister, Christiane 48 Knapek, George M. 47 Raulston, J. Marc 47 Armstrong, J. Scott 46 Diebold, Francis X. 46 Richardson, James W. 44 Franses, Philip Hans 40 Herbst, Brian K. 39 Hyndman, Rob J. 38 Ruelke, Jan-Christoph 38 Kilian, Lutz 37 Timmermann, Allan 37 Ma, Feng 36 Rossi, Barbara 36 Hendry, David F. 35 Börsch-Supan, Axel 33 Deschamps, Robert 33 Walker, Todd B. 29 Bratu, Mihaela 28 Lahiri, Kajal 28 Spiwoks, Markus 28 Wang, Yudong 28 Stadtmann, Georg 26 Athanasopoulos, George 25 Marcellino, Massimiliano 25 Rußig, Volker 25 Baghestani, Hamid 24 Bloom, David E. 24 Makridakis, Spyros G. 24 Graefe, Andreas 23 Ravazzolo, Francesco 23 Rudebusch, Glenn D. 23 Zhang, Yaojie 23 Schorfheide, Frank 22 Wang, Shouyang 22
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Institution
All
National Bureau of Economic Research 213 OECD 76 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 38 Internationale Energieagentur 34 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 23 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 22 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations 22 Schweiz / Bundesamt für Statistik 22 European Commission / Joint Research Centre 20 Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung 20 International Labour Organization (ILO), United Nations 19 World Tourism Organization 17 European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training 16 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Landwirtschaft 16 Travel Industry Association of America 16 Asian Development Bank 14 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes 14 Berenberg-Bank 14 Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut 14 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes / Working Group on Commodity Prices 13 Edward Elgar Publishing 13 International Food Policy Research Institute 12 Schweiz 12 FAO 10 HAL 10 Prognos AG 10 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 10 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 9 European Central Bank 9 European Commission / Directorate-General for Research 9 Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle 9 Fraunhofer-Institut für Systemtechnik und Innovationsforschung 9 Kanada / Department of Industry <1993-> 9 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 9 USA / Congress / Budget Office 9 USA / General Accounting Office 9 Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung 8 European Environment Agency 8 European University Institute / Department of Economics 8 Europäische Kommission 8
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Published in...
All
International journal of forecasting 456 NBER working paper series 212 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 192 Journal of forecasting 189 NBER Working Paper 184 Energy economics 164 Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal 138 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 100 Applied economics 88 Applied economics letters 88 Finance research letters 88 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 86 Working paper 84 Ifo-Schnelldienst 81 Review of accounting studies 79 The accounting review : a publication of the American Accounting Association 79 Economic modelling 76 International review of financial analysis 73 International review of economics & finance : IREF 66 Review of quantitative finance and accounting 58 Economics letters 57 Consumer goods Europe 55 CESifo working papers 54 AFPC briefing paper / Agricultural and Food Policy Center 53 Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 53 SpringerLink / Bücher 53 IMF working papers 50 Journal of banking & finance 48 Journal of empirical finance 48 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 44 Journal of international money and finance 44 Working paper series / European Central Bank 43 International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 42 European journal of operational research : EJOR 41 Journal of accounting & economics 41 Journal of business finance & accounting : JBFA 41 Discussion papers / CEPR 40 Discussion paper 38 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 38 MPRA Paper 38
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 19,188 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 578 RePEc 428 EconStor 92 BASE 21 Other ZBW resources 15 ArchiDok 8
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Showing 1 - 50 of 20,330
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Fiscal consolidation hampered by sluggish GDP growth : economic outlook for 2025 and 2026
Ederer, Stefan; Schiman-Vukan, Stefan - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015211739
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Cross-learning with panel data modeling for stacking and forecast time series employment in Europe
Lovaglio, Pietro Giorgio - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 2, pp. 753-780
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Can effects of weather variation predict future economic downturn? : Evidence from systemic risk in Indian financial markets
Thakkar, Pratik - 2025
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Recession in Austria persists stubbornly : economic outlook for 2024 and 2025
Schiman-Vukan, Stefan; Ederer, Stefan - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015083882
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Predicting irregular migration : high hopes, meagre results
Angenendt, Steffen; Koch, Anne; Tjaden, Jasper Dag - Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik - 2023
German and European migration policy operates in permanent crisis mode. Sudden increases in irregular immigration create a sense of loss of control, which is instrumentalised by populist forces. This has generated great interest in quantitative migration predictions. High expectations are placed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014380525
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Colombian inflation forecast using long short-term memory approach
Cárdenas-Cárdenas, Julián Alonso; Cristiano-Botia, … - 2023
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Forecasting the volatility of energy transition metals
Bastianin, Andrea; Li, Xiao; Shamsudin, Luqman - 2025
The transition to a cleaner energy mix, essential for achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, will significantly increase demand for metals critical to renewable energy technologies. Energy Transition Metals (ETMs), including copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earth elements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015190309
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Forecasting with the help of survey information
Brenna, Federica; Budrys, Žymantas - 2025
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Implicațiile revizuirilor de date în formularea prognozelor pe termen scurt pentru PIB al României
Pleșa, Georgiana; Sîrbu, Dragoș; Tănase, Andrei - 2025
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Fee-oriented strategies, ownership structure and analyst forecast accuracy in the hospitality industry
Poretti, Cedric; Aoun, Adam; Singal, Manisha - In: Journal of hospitality & tourism research : JHTR ; the … 49 (2025) 2, pp. 282-297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193304
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Predicting cryptocurrency volatility : the power of model clustering
Qiu, Yue; Qu, Shaoguang; Shi, Zhentao; Xie, Tian - In: Economic modelling 144 (2025), pp. 1-15
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Forecasting the daily exchange rate of the UK pound sterling against the US dollar
Darvas, Zsolt M.; Schepp, Zoltán - In: Finance research letters 71 (2025), pp. 1-7
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Nowcasting and forecasting average weekly earnings in the United Kingdom
Tulloch, Meg - 2025
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Instantaneous inflation as a predictor of inflation
Martínez-Rivera, Wilmer; Caicedo-García, Edgar; … - 2025
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Development of the near-term forecast of inflation for Uzbekistan : application of FAVAR and BVAR models
Boymirzaev, Temurbek - 2025
This study investigates the application of Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression (FAVAR) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models for inflation forecasting. FAVAR models deal with high-dimensional data by extracting latent factors from extensive macroeconomic indicators, while BVAR...
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From waves to rates : enhancing inflation forecasts through combinations of frequency-domain models
Verona, Fabio - 2025
This paper addresses the challenge of inflation forecasting by adopting a thick modeling approach that integrates forecasts from time- and frequency-domain models. Frequency-domain models excel at capturing long-term trends while also accounting for short-term fluctuations. Combining these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015164409
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Using futures prices and analysts' forecasts to estimate agricultural commodity risk premiums
Cortazar, Gonzalo; Ortega, Hector; Pérez, José Antonio - In: Risks : open access journal 13 (2025) 1, pp. 1-21
This paper presents a novel 5-factor model for agricultural commodity risk premiums, an approach not explored in previous research. The model is applied to the specific cases of corn, soybeans, and wheat. Calibration is achieved using a Kalman filter and maximum likelihood, with data from...
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What 200 years of data tell us about the predictive variance of long-term bonds?
Della Corte, Pasquale; Gao, Can; Preve, Daniel P.A.; … - 2025
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Earnings informativeness, debt financing, and managerial characteristics
Chen, Li-Yu; Chen, Jing-Chi; Li, Chun-Ming - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 98 (2025), pp. 1-22
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Predicting financial market stress with machine learning
Aldasoro, Iñaki; Hördahl, Peter; Schrimpf, Andreas; … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330909
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Can digital transformation of enterprise improve the information environment of the capital market? : evidence from Analyst's perspective
Li, Shu; Zhang, Xiaoyun - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 97 (2025), pp. 1-16
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"Revealing the future" : an ARIMA model analysis for predicting remittance inflows
Khan, Imran; Gunwant, Darshita Fulara - In: Journal of business and socio-economic development 5 (2025) 2, pp. 155-170
Purpose - The purpose of this research is to develop a predictive model that can estimate the volume of remittances channeled toward Yemen's economic reconstruction efforts. Design/methodology/approach - This study utilized a time-series dataset encompassing remittance inflows into Yemen's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015397368
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Earnings optimism heuristics and long-term stock returns
Hameed, Allaudeen; Massa, Massimo; Ni, Zhenghui - 2025 - Revised version of 2024/17/FIN
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Return trajectory and the forecastability of bitcoin returns
Rudkin, Simon; Qiu, Wanling; Dłotko, Paweł - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015396504
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Mandatory IFRS adoption and the usefulness of accounting information in predicting future earnings and cash flows
Li, Siyi; Sougiannis, Theodore; Wang, Sophia I. - In: The international journal of accounting 60 (2025) 1, pp. 1-51
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015399616
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Principle-based standards and analyst forecasts : evidence from China
Wang, Ruzhou; Ma, Chensong; Wang, Xuanli - In: The international journal of accounting 60 (2025) 1, pp. 1-48
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Top management team incentive dispersion and management earnings forecasts
Kalelkar, Rachana; Shi, Yuan; Xu, Hongkang - In: Journal of business finance & accounting : JBFA 52 (2025) 2, pp. 963-990
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Forecasting population in an uncertain world : approaches, new uses, and troubling limitations
Lee, Ronald Demos - In: Population and development review 51 (2025) 1, pp. 491-518
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015394772
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4FutureLabs im Rahmen der Future Skills Journey : Ermittlung der Bedarfe an Future Skills
Twiesselmann-Steigerwald, Kathrin; Kühn, Paul; Peters, Luis - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015183139
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Improving disaggregated short-term food inflation forecasts with webscraped data
Beer, Christian; Ferstl, Robert; Graf, Bernhard - 2025 - This version: January 10, 2025
This study examines the effectiveness of using webscraped data to predict price developments in the Austrian food retail sector. We calculate monthly nowcasts of price changes based on daily price data collected by the OeNB since mid-2020, using Eurostat methodology for price index calculation,...
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World GDP, anthropogenic emissions, and global temperatures, sea level, and ice cover
Benati, Luca - 2025
I use Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility to forecast global temperatures and sea level and ice cover in the Northerin emisphere until 2010, by exploiting (i) their long-run equilibrium relationship with climate change drivers (CCDs) and (ii) the relationship between world GDP and...
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Commodity risk and forecastability of international stock returns : the role of oil returns skewness
Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan - 2025
This study examines the out-of-sample predictability of expected skewness of oil price returns, which serves as a metric for global future risks, as we show statistically through the association with crises of different nature, for stock returns of 10 (8 advanced plus two emerging) countries...
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Analyst forecasts, managerial learning, and corporate investment
Hu, Yaqin; Zhang, Yuan - 2025
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Overconfident investors, predictable returns, and optimal consumption-portfolio rules
Shuangling, Zhao; Yunmin, Wang; Guohua, Cao - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015338092
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Twitter-based market uncertainty and global stock volatility predictability
Ma, Yong; Li, Shuaibing; Zhou, Mingtao - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015337993
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Factors of predictive power for metal commodities
Papenfuß, Patric; Schischke, Amelie; Rathgeber, Andreas W. - 2025
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Hierarchical time series forecasting in emergency medical services
Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Hyndman, Rob J. - In: Journal of service research 28 (2025) 2, pp. 278-295
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How to improve quality investing
Otero-González, Luis; Durán Santomil, Pablo; Vieito, … - In: Business research quarterly : BRQ 28 (2025) 2, pp. 453-473
In this article, we evaluate the relationship between quality investing combined with Economic Moat, ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) and analyst opinions over the period 2014-2020 based on a data set comprising 803 US stocks. Performance is evaluated using several metrics (returns and...
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Identifying influential individuals and predicting future demand of chronic kidney disease patients
Nenova, Zlatana D.; Bartelt, Valerie L. - In: Decision sciences 56 (2025) 2, pp. 123-143
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Global and regional long-term climate forecasts : a heterogeneous future
Gadea, María Dolores; Gonzalo, Jesús - 2025
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How do we learn about the long run?
Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, Emanuel; … - 2025
Using a novel and unique panel dataset of individual-level professional forecasts at short, medium, and very-long horizons, we provide new stylized facts about survey forecasts. We present direct evidence that forecasters use multivariate models in an environment with imperfect information about...
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AFPC representative farm economic outlook for the 2025 FAPRI Baseline
Outlaw, Joe L.; Fischer, Bart L.; Knapek, George M.; … - 2025
The farm-level economic impacts of the FAPRI 2025 Baseline on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report, assuming provisions of the 2018 Farm Bill are in effect and continue throughout the 2025-2030 projection period. The current representative farm analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015357856
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Challenges in long-term care: modelling and quantifying future care needs, arrangements and gaps in ageing, low-fertility societies : a novel comparative approach applied in microsimulation projections for Austria and Italy
Warum, Philipp; Culotta, Fabrizio; Famira-Mühlberger, … - 2025
Population ageing will reshape economies around the world, with particular implications for longterm care (LTC) systems. As a result of past fertility decline, reflected in high levels of childlessness and smaller family networks, the growing demand for care is confronted by a declining supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015395588
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An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election
Fry, John; Hastings, Thomas; Binner, Jane M. - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 76 (2025) 1, pp. 167-179
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015188963
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Forecasting atmospheric ethane : application to the Jungfraujoch Measurement Station
Friedrich, Marina; Moussa, Karim; Shapovalova, Yuliya; … - 2025
Understanding the developments of atmospheric ethane is essential for better identifying the anthropogenic sources of methane, a major greenhouse gas with high global warming potential. While previous studies have focused on analyzing past trends in ethane and modeling the inter-annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373851
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Inflation forecasting in turbulent times
Ertl, Martin; Fortin, Ines; Hlouskova, Jaroslava; Koch, … - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 52 (2025) 1, pp. 5-37
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Which opinion is more trustworthy : an analysts’ earnings forecast quality assessment framework based on machine learning
Song, Yingying; Chen, Xinxin - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015359902
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Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction
Araujo, Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de; Bokan, Nikola; … - 2025
Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic similarity between the words in a corpus of text. We estimate the word embeddings of the European Central Bank's introductory statements at monetary policy press conferences by using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015340280
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Comparative study of forecasting methods to predict the energy demand for the market of Colombia
Vargas-Forero, Victor Manuel; Manotas-Duque, Diego Fernando - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 15 (2025) 1, pp. 65-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015333827
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Long-term forecasting of maritime economics index using time-series decomposition and two-stage attention
Kim, Dohee; Lee, Eunju; Kamal, Imam Mustafa; Bae, Hyerim - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 1, pp. 153-172
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