Foreign exchange (FX) trading volume is a key factor in exchange rate volatility. Given the important role of volatility in economic growth and stability, this paper investigates the dynamic nature of exchange trading volume on exchange rate volatility using hourly high-frequency data. The...

This report provides an overview of the technical assistance provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the Banco de la República to support the authorities in reviewing the regulatory framework and formulating development strategies for the foreign exchange market

The economic literature has long attributed non-zero expected excess returns in currency markets to time-varying risk premiums demanded by risk-averse investors. This paper, building on Bacchetta and van Wincoop's (2021) portfolio balance framework, shows that such returns can also arise when...

We perform a quantitative synthesis of 807 estimates of the effect of macroeconomic news announcements on exchange rates, as reported in 25 studies. Estimates are tested for publication selection using visual examination of funnel plots, linear asymmetry tests, and recent non-linear testing...

Using novel methods, we comprehensively analyze volatility connectedness among most traded currencies using high-frequency data from 2009 to 2023. Our study presents the first empirical evidence of a statistically significant association between increases in connectedness and endogenously...

We formulate a measure of information efficiency in a general, no-arbitrage semimartingale model of the price process. The market quality measure is applied to a high-frequency dataset from the interdealer FX market to identify changes in market efficiency after a decimalization of tick size.

This study aims to evaluate the impact of major and minor changes in the Euro Zone and US interest rates on the EUR/USD exchange rate between 1 January 1999 and 31 December 2020. Therefore, twelve events are analyzed in this period, five related to changes in the US interest rate, six related to...

This paper examines the relationship between India's Stock Market, Forex Market, Oil Market, and Gold Market to capture interdependencies addressing both direct and indirect market linkages. The study provides new insights into the interdependencies of key markets within India, an emerging...

We investigate portfolio selection performance as in Markowitz by evaluating variance matrix estimation criteria in the currency market. This study challenges theoretically rigorous shrinkage covariance estimators using multiple evaluation metrics: systematic loss function, risk profile of...

The objectives of this paper are to analyse the presence of multifractality in daily exchange rates of the US dollar (USD), British Pound (GBP), Euro (EUR), and Japanese Yen (JPY) relative to the Indian Rupee (INR) for a specific period (1999-2018) and to investigate the source of the observed...

We empirically test Gabaix and Maggiori (2015)’s prediction that currencies are repriced by the country’s external capital dependence when financial constraints of FX intermediaries change. Using solvency indicators, we develop a novel intermediary constraints index capturing riskbearing...

This study estimates value-at-risk (VaR) to measure foreign exchange risk in Indonesia's banking industry using quantile regression (QR) approach. Four large banks whose capital and assets were the biggest were observed, and their selection was based on their market share in the industry. To...

This paper examines how carry trade activity affects the transmission of monetary policy in currency markets. It analyzes a set of developed and emerging market currencies against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar appreciates in response to a conventional monetary policy shock but depreciates to...

We leverage supervisory microdata to uncover the role of global banks' risk limits in driving exchange rate dynamics. Consistent with a model of currency intermediation under risk constraints, shocks to dealers' risk limits lead to price and quantity adjustments in the foreign exchange market....

This paper investigates the nonlinear risk transmission from the oil and natural gas markets to the foreign exchange markets of five energy importers and one major energy exporter. We separate conditional volatility into the transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) parts, and then these...

This study examines the co-movement and time-varying integration between equity, exchange rate, and international market volatility indices across different time-frequency domains using - bi-partial wavelet, - supplemented by dynamic conditional correlation-generalised autoregressive conditional...

The objective of this paper is to examine whether terror attacks that took place in the Eurozone in the 21st century had a significant effect on the price of the Euro. Its novelty is twofold: it is the first study that assesses the impact of such events on the price of the Euro and employs a...

Frontier markets have become increasingly investible, providing diversification opportunities; however, there is very little research (with conflicting results) on the relationship between Foreign Exchange (FX) and frontier stock markets. Understanding this relationship is important for both...

The study of the effectiveness of the currency market is one of the most important research problems in the field of finance. The paper aims to assess the efficiency of the Polish zloty exchange rate market. We test the market efficiency by applying two independent approaches, one based on the...

In this paper, we investigate the "static and dynamic" return and volatility spillovers’ transmission across developed and developing countries. Quoted against the US dollar, we study twenty-three global currencies over the time period 2005-2016. Focusing on the spillover index methodology,...

We investigate the impacts of geopolitical risks (GPRs) on financial stress (FS) in major emerging economies from 1985 to 2019. Applying a recently developed panel quantile estimation method, we show that GPRs pose serious risks to the stability of the financial condition in emerging economies....