It is well established that financial development and innovation promote economic growth through improving the allocation of capital, enhancing risk management, contributing to price discovery, and increasing market efficiencies. While a vast empirical literature is devoted to the nexus between...

The term "volatility" applies to changeability: both that which can be measured, such as temperatures and stock prices, and that which cannot be easily measured, such as affects and emotions. Quantitative financial volatility has typically been studied quite separately from art, culture, and...

This paper presents a novel 5-factor model for agricultural commodity risk premiums, an approach not explored in previous research. The model is applied to the specific cases of corn, soybeans, and wheat. Calibration is achieved using a Kalman filter and maximum likelihood, with data from...

We study the implications of deviations from covered interest rate parity for international capital flows using novel data covering euro-area derivatives and securities holdings. Consistent with a dynamic model of currency risk hedging, we document that investors' holdings of USD bonds decrease...

Purpose - In futures markets, margin trading not only relaxes leverage constraints but also entails the risk of margin calls. Therefore, existing studies provide inconsistent evidence on low-risk anomalies, raising challenges in understanding leverage constraints in futures markets. This study...

This Live Wire focuses on safety concerns associated with hydrogen and its main derivatives: ammonia and methanol. After an exhaustive review of the literature and measures on hydrogen safety, the study summarized here found robust, well-established standards developed by reputable institutions....

Croatia faces two key labor market challenges: a shortage of labor and the inadequate skills of its existing workforce. These challenges are being shaped by global megatrends, namely, demographic, green, and digital transitions. To address these key challenges, actions are needed on several...

The combination of stochastic derivative pricing models and downside risk measures often leads to the paradox (risk, return) = (−infinity, +infinity) in a portfolio choice problem. The construction of a portfolio of derivatives with high expected returns and very negative downside risk...

Financial data are expensive and highly sensitive with limited access. We aim to generate abundant datasets given the original prices while preserving the original statistical features. We introduce the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty (WGAN-GP) into the field of...

Arbitrage and liquidity are interrelated. Liquidity facilitates arbitrageurs’ trading on deviations from the law of one price. However, whether arbitrage opportunity leads to an increase or decrease in liquidity depends on the cause of the deviation. A demand shock leads to greater liquidity,...

Government bond markets play a critical role in the smooth functioning of the financial system, in the conduct and transmission of monetary policy and in the economy as a whole. Maintaining resilient government bond markets is fundamental for policymakers and authorities. This note examines the...

Government bond markets play a critical role in the smooth functioning of the financial system, in the conduct and transmission of monetary policy and in the economy as a whole. Maintaining resilient government bond markets is fundamental for policymakers and authorities. This note examines the...

In conducting an extensive examination, we scrutinize the efficacy of algorithmic trading strategies applied to Futures CopperMainContinuous in the Shanghai Futures Exchange, utilizing a comprehensive data set spanning from January 2020 to December 2022. To mitigate the potential risk of...

Sequels, reboots, franchises, and songs that remake old songs—does it feel like everything new in popular culture is just derivative of something old? Contrary to popular belief, the reason is not audiences or marketing, but Wall Street. In this book, Andrew deWaard shows how the financial...

This study develops a novel method for mitigating credit risk through the use of structured derivatives, focusing in particular on the use of European put options as a strategic hedging tool. Inspired by the work of Merton (1974), our approach introduces the concept of default triggered by the...

We analyze the transmission of monetary policy to the costs of hedging using options order book data. Monetary policy transmits to hedging costs both by changing the relevant state variables, such as the value of the underlying, its volatility and tail risk, and by affecting option market...

We use dynamic programming, finite elements, and parallel computing to design and evaluate two-dimensional financial derivatives. Our dynamic program is flexible, as it divides the evaluation process into two components: one related to the dynamics of the underlying process and the other to the...

We analyze the transmission of monetary policy to the costs of hedging using options order book data. Monetary policy transmits to hedging costs both by changing the relevant state variables, such as the value of the underlying, its volatility and tail risk, and by affecting option market...

Accurate forecasting of solar PV generation is critical for integrating renewable energy into power systems. This paper presents a multivariate probabilistic forecasting model that addresses the challenges posed by imbalanced data resulting from day and night-time periods in solar photovoltaic...

In this paper, we develop an equilibrium framework to explain the characteristics of volatility index (VIX) futures prices and returns across maturities. In the framework, the investors prefer VIX futures with specific maturities, and the arbitrageurs optimize portfolios based on mean-variance...