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  • Search: subject_exact:"Phillips curve"
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Subject
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Phillips curve 6,142 Phillips-Kurve 5,360 Theorie 2,318 Inflation 2,306 Theory 2,285 Monetary policy 1,281 Geldpolitik 1,255 Schätzung 1,199 Estimation 1,163 USA 780 United States 760 Unemployment 759 Arbeitslosigkeit 712 Neoklassische Synthese 523 Neoclassical synthesis 522 Inflation expectations 468 Inflationserwartung 461 Natural rate of unemployment 443 Natürliche Arbeitslosenquote 443 Price stickiness 439 Preisrigidität 437 EU-Staaten 401 EU countries 390 Euro area 335 Eurozone 335 inflation 319 Phillips Curve 318 Inflation targeting 313 Bruttoinlandsprodukt 307 Gross domestic product 306 Inflationssteuerung 305 Inflationsrate 273 Inflation rate 267 Konjunktur 264 Business cycle 263 Lohnrigidität 256 Wage rigidity 251 Prognoseverfahren 236 Forecasting model 230 VAR-Modell 227
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Online availability
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Free 3,265 Undetermined 810 CC license 47
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 4,030 Article 2,372 Other 12
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Working Paper 2,027 Article in journal 1,848 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,848 Arbeitspapier 1,790 Graue Literatur 1,774 Non-commercial literature 1,774 Aufsatz im Buch 223 Book section 223 Hochschulschrift 84 Thesis 64 Article 39 Collection of articles written by one author 39 Sammlung 39 Conference paper 25 Konferenzbeitrag 25 Collection of articles of several authors 24 Sammelwerk 24 Amtsdruckschrift 22 Government document 22 Bibliografie enthalten 18 Bibliography included 18 Konferenzschrift 17 Systematic review 16 Übersichtsarbeit 16 Aufsatzsammlung 13 Rezension 12 Festschrift 11 Conference proceedings 9 research-article 8 Research Report 6 Bibliografie 5 Forschungsbericht 4 Reprint 4 Conference Paper 3 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 3 Mikroform 3 Amtliche Publikation 1 Bibliography 1 Biografie 1 Biography 1
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Language
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English 5,598 Undetermined 512 German 126 Spanish 69 French 39 Portuguese 26 Italian 16 Russian 7 Danish 5 Polish 5 Czech 3 Croatian 3 Slovak 3 Romanian 2 Swedish 2 Bulgarian 1 Finnish 1 Hungarian 1 Korean 1 Dutch 1 Slovenian 1 Serbian 1 Turkish 1
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Author
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Snower, Dennis J. 112 Galí, Jordi 77 Karanassou, Marika 76 Paloviita, Maritta 69 Sala, Hector 58 Whelan, Karl 49 Mazumder, Sandeep 43 Blanchard, Olivier 42 Leeson, Robert 42 Ball, Laurence M. 41 Sbordone, Argia M. 38 Ascari, Guido 37 Gertler, Mark 37 López-Salido, José David 36 Nymoen, Ragnar 36 Forder, James 33 Graham, Liam 32 Flaschel, Peter 30 Watson, Mark W. 30 Wieland, Volker 28 Vaona, Andrea 27 Benigno, Pierpaolo 26 Farmer, Roger E. A. 26 Koop, Gary 26 Christiano, Lawrence J. 25 Smith, Ron 25 Gordon, Robert J. 24 Reis, Ricardo 24 Semmler, Willi 24 Stock, James H. 24 Nelson, Edward 23 Sargent, Thomas J. 23 Gerlach, Stefan 22 Russell, Bill 22 Fuhrer, Jeffrey C. 21 Logeay, Camille 21 Rumler, Fabio 21 Guender, Alfred V. 20 Khan, Hashmat 20 Kurozumi, Takushi 20
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 118 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 39 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 38 Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) 20 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 18 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 18 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 15 European Central Bank 14 Suomen Pankki 13 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 School of Economics, University College Dublin 10 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 9 Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) 9 Department of Economics, Oxford University 7 EconWPA 7 Reserve Bank of Australia 7 Sveriges Riksbank 7 Banque de France 6 CESifo 6 Econometric Society 6 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 6 Federal Reserve Bank of New York 6 School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary 6 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 5 Bank of Japan 5 Department of Economics Studies, University of Dundee 5 Department of Economics, Rutgers University-New Brunswick 5 Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Économiques (OCDE) 5 Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) 5 Center for Financial Studies 4 Centre de recherche en Économie (OFCE), Sciences économiques 4 DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) 4 Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Facoltà di Economia 4 Economics Department, Queen's University 4 European Parliament / Directorate-General for Internal Policies of the Union 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 4 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 4 Internationaler Währungsfonds / Research Department 4
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 118 NBER Working Paper 100 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 94 Economics letters 69 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 69 Journal of macroeconomics 67 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 65 ECB Working Paper 58 Working paper series / European Central Bank 58 Economic modelling 57 Journal of monetary economics 55 Working paper 55 Journal of economic dynamics & control 51 Kiel working paper 50 Discussion papers / CEPR 48 IMF working papers 48 Finance and economics discussion series 42 CEPR Discussion Papers 39 MPRA Paper 38 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 36 Discussion paper 31 CESifo working papers 30 Working Paper 30 IZA Discussion Papers 29 IMF working paper 28 Discussion paper series / IZA 27 Macroeconomic dynamics 27 Applied economics 25 Applied economics letters 25 European economic review : EER 25 Bank of Finland research discussion papers 23 CAMA working paper series 20 CESifo Working Paper 20 Review of Keynesian economics 20 Discussion paper series 19 IMF Working Paper 18 Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 18 IMF Working Papers 17 Kiel Working Paper 17 Working papers / Murdoch University, Department of Economics 17
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 5,305 RePEc 784 EconStor 286 BASE 18 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 11 Other ZBW resources 8 ArchiDok 2
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Showing 1 - 50 of 6,414
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Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy
Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025
We study optimal monetary policy in an analytically tractable New Key-nesian DSGE-model with an emission externality. Empirically, emissions are strongly pro-cyclical and output in the flexible price equilibrium overreacts to productivity shocks, relative to the efficient allocation. At the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015324814
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Understanding the international rise & fall of inflation since 2020
Dao, Mai; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Haytin, Daniel L.; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015051370
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Credit condition, inflation and unemployment
Gu, Chao; Jiang, Janet Hua; Wang, Liang - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014464300
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From waves to rates: Enhancing inflation forecasts through combinations of frequency-domain models
Verona, Fabio - 2025
This paper addresses the challenge of inflation forecasting by adopting a thick modeling approach that integrates forecasts from time- and frequency-domain models. Frequency-domain models excel at capturing long-term trends while also accounting for short-term fluctuations. Combining these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015166825
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State-dependent Phillips Curve
Kim, Hyun Hak; Lee, Na Kyeong - In: Economies : open access journal 13 (2025) 1, pp. 1-14
We propose a state-dependent Phillips curve (PC) where the regime has changed endogenously. Using this framework, a free-standing PC is constructed. This study tests the robustness of the model, various types of inflation, slack measures, and various expectation measures. The PC is found to work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015206817
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A decomposition of the Phillips curve's flattening
Dupor, Bill; Hogan, Marie; Li, Jingchao - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015210581
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Search frictions in good markets and CPI inflation
Hamano, Masashige; Schnattinger, Philip; Wongkaew, Kongphop - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015210740
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From waves to rates : enhancing inflation forecasts through combinations of frequency-domain models
Verona, Fabio - 2025
This paper addresses the challenge of inflation forecasting by adopting a thick modeling approach that integrates forecasts from time- and frequency-domain models. Frequency-domain models excel at capturing long-term trends while also accounting for short-term fluctuations. Combining these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015164409
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Are new Keynesian models useful when trend inflation is not very low?
Lago Alves, Sergio; Khan, Hashmat - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015398585
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Employer-to-Employer Mobility and Wages in Europe and the United States
Borowczyk-Martins, Daniel - 2025
I produce novel evidence on worker reallocation across employers and between employment and nonemployment/unemployment for several European countries over the past two decades. I construct a dataset of monthly transition rates by developing a novel approach to measure them using cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015339037
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Analysing the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate, and the effect they have on gross domestic product in the United Kingdom (1990-2023)
Pavlov, Lachezar; Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2025
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate and economic output in Britain over 34 years. It utilizes a range of different time series techniques, including the ADF and PP unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration (ARDL model)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015202685
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Search frictions in good markets and CPI inflation
Hamano, Masashige; Schnattinger, Philip; Wongkaew, Kongphop - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015327668
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On the fragility of the nonlinear Phillips curve view of recent inflation
Beaudry, Paul; Hou, Chenyu; Portier, Franck - 2025 - This version February 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271928
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How Phillips curve dynamics enhance business cycle synchronization analysis in Central and Eastern Europe
Petz, Nico; Zörner, Thomas - 2025
This paper analyzes business cycle synchronization and the Phillips curve (PC) relationship in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European (CESEE) economies relative to the euro area. We find an overall increase in business cycle synchronicity, particularly among Euro adoption candidates, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402052
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Employer-to-employer mobility and wages in Europe and the United States
Borowczyk-Martins, Daniel - 2025
I produce novel evidence on worker reallocation across employers and between employment and nonemployment/unemployment for several European countries over the past two decades. I construct a dataset of monthly transition rates by developing a novel approach to measure them using cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015206800
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Belief distortions and disagreement about Iinflation
Pagano Giorgianni, Giuseppe; Patella, Valeria - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332461
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Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy
Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025
We study optimal monetary policy in an analytically tractable New Key-nesian DSGE-model with an emission externality. Empirically, emissions are strongly pro-cyclical and output in the flexible price equilibrium overreacts to productivity shocks, relative to the efficient allocation. At the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326418
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The devolution of Federal Reserve monetary policy strategy, 2012-24
Ireland, Peter N. - In: Southern economic journal 91 (2025) 4, pp. 1247-1264
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The relationship between inflation and unemployment in the USA in the surplus approach
Barros, Luciano Alencar - In: Atlantic review of economics : AROE 6 (2022) 2, pp. 1-25
This article aims to analyze the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the United States, in the 1960s and 2010, from the surplus approach. The objective is to compare this relationship in these two decades, which end with low unemployment rates, to understand the scenario of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013489772
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Structural change in the US Phillips curve, 1948-2021 : the role of power and institutions
Setterfield, Mark; Blecker, Robert A. - 2022
This paper provides an institutional-analytical account of changes in the structure of the US Phillips curve (PC) during the post-war period. It does so by restoring conflict and power to the forefront of macro theory and, in particular, the wage- and price-setting behaviour of workers and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013347209
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Beware of pitfalls in the European Central Bank's review of monetary policy strategy
Tamborini, Roberto - In: The Economists' voice 19 (2022) 1, pp. 15-23
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An organizational structure approach to price setting and monetary policy
Guillén, Diogo Abry; Monteiro, Victor - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013337503
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Macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Czech Republic in the period of 2020-2021
Zubíková, Adéla; Smolák, Pavel - In: International journal of economic sciences : IJES 11 (2022) 1, pp. 117-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013203968
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Dynamic identification using system projections and instrumental variables
Lewis, Daniel J.; Mertens, Karel - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013170554
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Anchored or not : how much information does 21st century data contain on inflation dynamics?
Kiley, Michael T. - 2022 - Version 2, February 22, 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013175609
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The possible unemployment cost of average inflation below a credible target : a replication study of Svensson (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2015)
Oraby, Ramy - In: Journal of comments and replications in economics 1 (2022), pp. 1-21
This paper replicates the main analysis of Svensson (2015) with some expansion to the original analysis, mainly for the United States. Overall, the replication exercise successfully confirms the conclusions of Svensson (2015). In both Sweden and the United States, empirical evidence sup- ports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013179358
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Nonlinear inflation dynamics in menu cost economies
Blanco, Andrés; Boar, Corina; Jones, Callum; Midrigan, … - 2024
Existing menu cost models, when parameterized to match the micro-price data, cannot reproduce the extent to which the fraction of price changes increases with inflation. In addition, in the presence of strategic complementarities, they predict implausibly large menu costs and misallocation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015189257
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The inflation accelerator
Blanco, Andrés; Boar, Corina; Jones, Callum; Midrigan, … - 2024
We develop a tractable sticky price model in which the fraction of price changes evolves endogenously over time and, consistent with the evidence, increases with inflation. Because we assume that firms sell multiple products and choose how many, but not which, prices to adjust in any given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015189310
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The slanted-L Phillips curve
Benigno, Pierpaolo; Eggertsson, Gauti B. - 2024
A slanted-L curve is well-suited to represent the non-linearity of the celebrated Phillips curve. We show this using cross-country data of major industrialized economies since 2009, including the inflationary surge of the 2020s. At high unemployment rates, an increase in demand reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014494995
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Sources of post-pandemic inflation in Germany and the euro area: An application of Bernanke and Blanchard (2023)
Menz, Jan-Oliver - 2024
We use a simple macroeconomic model proposed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to investigate the reasons for the recent sharp rise in inflation. Applied to Germany and the euro area, the model suggests that the surge in inflation has mainly been caused by commodity price shocks and supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014520285
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Rethinking conflict inflation: The hybrid Keynesian-NAIRU character of the conflict Phillips curve
Palley, Thomas - 2024
This paper presents a new formulation of conflict inflation labeled the "pass-through" approach, which contrasts with the existing "pressure balance" approach. The model generates Phillips styled inflation - unemployment dynamics that are a hybrid of Keynesian and NAIRU dynamics. Conflict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014546893
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The unemployment-inflation trade-off revisited: The Phillips curve in COVID times
Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Giannoni, Marc Paolo; … - 2024
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment, ut*, in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014581875
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Downward nominal rigidities and bond premia
Gourio, François; Ngo, Phuong - 2024
We develop a parsimonious New Keynesian macro-finance model with downward nominal rigidities to understand secular and cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014581904
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Sixty Years of Global Inflation: A Post-GFC Update
Auer, Raphael; Pedemonte, Mathieu; Schoenle, Raphael - 2024
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor model and in a sample spanning up to 56 countries during the 1960-2023 period. Over the entire period, a first global factor explains approximately 58% of the variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015047278
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Inflation and income distribution in Brazil from a Kaleckian perspective
Rolim, Lilian - In: European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: … 21 (2024) 2, pp. 279-308
This article shows that income inequality and inflation in Brazil are multidimensional phenomena linked to the unemployment rate and to the foreign sector. Consequently, the relationship between inflation and income distribution depends on the source of inflationary pressures, as evident in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015077195
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Wage Setting in Times of High and Low Inflation
Gödl, Maximilian; Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel - 2024
The recent surge in inflation led many unions and firms to alter their bargaining and wage-setting policies. Using novel German firm-level survey data, we document the extent of state dependence in wage setting across firms and workers during periods of high and low inflation. We find state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015097127
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U.S. wage-price dynamics, before, during and after COVID-19, through the lens of an empirical econometric model
Bårdsen, Gunnar; Nymoen, Ragnar - 2024
We specify an empirical model of US inflation which has the dynamics of wage and price setting at its core. In the dynamic wage equation an equilibrium-correction term connects the wage level to industrial prosperity indicators. In that way, the role of wage setting in the dynamics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015054212
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Accounting for inflation dynamic in a fully optimizing macroeconomic framework : evidence from the US states
El Omari, Salaheddine; Benlagha, Noureddine - In: Applied economics 56 (2024) 5, pp. 582-598
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014440100
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Monetary policy rules and the inequality-augmented Phillips curve
Rolim, Lilian; Carvalho, Laura; Lang, Dany - In: Economic modelling 139 (2024), pp. 1-23
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015189429
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Inflation, unemployment, and inequality : beyond the traditional Phillips Curve
Rolim, Lilian - In: Review of political economy 36 (2024) 4, pp. 1381-1396
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193369
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Strike while the iron is hot - optimal monetary policy with a nonlinear Phillips curve
Karadi, Peter; Nakov, Anton; Nuño, Galo; Pasten, Ernesto; … - 2024 - This version: September 30, 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015173710
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Good policy or good luck? : why inflation fell without a recession
Ferguson, Thomas; Storm, Servaas - In: International journal of political economy : a journal … 53 (2024) 4, pp. 311-341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015178534
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What drives the recent surge in inflation? : the historical decomposition roller coaster
Bergholt, Drago; Canova, Fabio; Furlanetto, Francesco; … - 2024 - This version: April 8, 2024
What drives the recent inflation surge? To answer this question, one must decompose inflation fluctuations into the contribution of structural shocks. We document how whimsical such a historical shock decomposition can be in standard vector autoregressive (VAR) models. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015179381
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The optimal inflation target : bridging the gap between theory and policy
Adam, Klaus; Weber, Henning - 2024
Many central banks worldwide announce numerical inflation targets, typically ranging from zero to two percent in advanced economies and higher in developing countries. Historically, a significant gap existed between the inflation targets pursued by central banks and those recommended by academic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015205425
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Measured inflation and the new-Keynesian model
Christiano, Lawrence J.; Eichenbaum, Martin S.; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015211912
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The unemployment-inflation trade-off revisited : the Phillips curve in COVID times
Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Giannoni, Marc Paolo; … - 2024
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the inflation surge is attributed to temporary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014501075
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Wage and price inflation : an industry-level study
Buzaglo-Baris, Shira - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015154422
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The inflation accelerator
Blanco, Andrés; Boar, Corina; Jones, Callum; Midrigan, … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015135976
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Introduction to the policy forum on the Phillips curve
Tsiaplias, Sarantis - In: The Australian economic review 57 (2024) 3, pp. 271
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015137902
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The Phillips curve in Australia in the era of inflation targeting
Mallick, Debdulal - In: The Australian economic review 57 (2024) 3, pp. 272-282
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015137903
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