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Year of publication
Subject
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Potential output 2,664 Produktionspotenzial 2,567 Bruttoinlandsprodukt 706 Gross domestic product 705 Schätzung 515 Estimation 503 Wirtschaftswachstum 469 Economic growth 464 Theorie 463 Theory 461 Konjunktur 346 Business cycle 342 potential output 257 Productivity 246 Inflation 243 EU-Staaten 230 EU countries 228 Produktivität 228 Geldpolitik 226 Monetary policy 225 USA 212 United States 209 output gap 203 Deutschland 170 Time series analysis 168 Zeitreihenanalyse 168 Capacity utilization 158 Germany 158 Kapazitätsauslastung 158 Phillips curve 158 National income 150 Nationaleinkommen 150 Phillips-Kurve 145 Eurozone 130 Euro area 129 Output gap 126 Produktionsfunktion 118 Production function 116 Russia 108 Finanzpolitik 107
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Online availability
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Free 1,246 Undetermined 299 CC license 35
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 1,835 Article 1,079 Other 4 Journal 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 867 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 867 Graue Literatur 843 Non-commercial literature 843 Working Paper 719 Arbeitspapier 647 Aufsatz im Buch 148 Book section 148 Collection of articles of several authors 100 Sammelwerk 100 Amtsdruckschrift 54 Government document 54 Hochschulschrift 49 Konferenzschrift 37 Thesis 37 Conference proceedings 31 Advisory report 19 Gutachten 19 Aufsatzsammlung 17 Bibliografie enthalten 17 Bibliography included 17 Statistik 13 Mehrbändiges Werk 11 Multi-volume publication 11 Statistics 11 Article 9 Country report 9 Länderbericht 9 Conference paper 8 Forschungsbericht 8 Konferenzbeitrag 8 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 7 Case study 5 Fallstudie 5 Nachschlagewerk 5 Reference book 5 Wörterbuch 5 Amtliche Publikation 4 Research Report 4 Bericht 2
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Language
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English 2,071 German 282 Russian 178 Undetermined 141 French 76 Spanish 58 Ukrainian 28 Italian 24 Polish 14 Portuguese 13 Czech 7 Croatian 6 Romanian 6 Norwegian 5 Dutch 4 Bulgarian 3 Slovak 3 Serbian 3 Swedish 3 Arabic 2 Danish 1 Hungarian 1 Kazakh 1 Lithuanian 1 Macedonian 1 Albanian 1
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Author
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Morley, James C. 23 Wolters, Maik H. 20 Wong, Benjamin 19 Laxton, Douglas 16 Boss, Alfred 15 Ohnsorge, Franziska 14 Döpke, Jörg 13 Gern, Klaus-Jürgen 13 Kose, M. Ayhan 13 Larch, Martin 13 Ollivaud, Patrice 13 Park, Youngmin 13 Röger, Werner 13 Meier, Carsten-Patrick 12 Zhang, Fan 12 Berger, Tino 11 Borio, Claudio E. V. 11 Jannsen, Nils 11 Kappler, Marcus 11 McMorrow, Kieran 11 Quast, Josefine 11 Taheri Sanjani, Marzie 11 Çelik, Sinem Kılıç 11 Alichi, Ali 10 Beck, Günter W. 10 Fernald, John G. 10 Furlanetto, Francesco 10 Hernández de Cos, Pablo 10 Kienzler, Daniel 10 Lemoine, Matthieu 10 Oulton, Nicholas 10 Scheide, Joachim 10 Wieland, Volker 10 Basu, Susanto 9 Billmeier, Andreas 9 Caivano, Michele 9 Cette, Gilbert 9 Coe, David T. 9 Dovern, Jonas 9 Estrada, Ángel 9
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 17 Bank of Canada 16 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 14 European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs 11 Instytut Ekonomiky <Kiew> 10 Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Économiques (OCDE) 9 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 8 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 7 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 6 Schweiz / Staatssekretariat für Wirtschaft 6 International Monetary Fund 5 London School of Economics (LSE) 5 Asian Development Bank 4 Department of Economics, Fakulteit Ekonomiese en Bestuurswetenskappe 4 Directorate-General Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission 4 European Central Bank 4 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 4 Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva <Nowosibirsk> 4 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 4 Banca d'Italia 3 Frankreich / Conseil d'Analyse Economique 3 Nacionalʹna akademija nauk Ukraïny / Rada po vyvčennju produktyvnych syl Ukraïny 3 School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary 3 Sveriges Riksbank 3 Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum <Frankfurt, Main> 3 Banco Central do Brasil 2 Banco de España 2 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 2 Center for the Study of Living Standards (CSLS) 2 Centr Issledovanij i Statistiki Nauki <Moskau> 2 Centre for Economic Performance, LSE 2 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 2 Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences 2 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 2 Dipartimento del Tesoro, Ministero dell'Economia e delle Finanze 2 Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza (DEF), Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli (LUISS) 2 East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (EABER) 2 EconWPA 2 European Commission / Statistical Office of the European Union 2 Federal Planning Bureau, Government of Belgium 2
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Published in...
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IMF working papers 84 IMF Working Paper 42 IMF working paper 27 Economic modelling 24 ECB Working Paper 20 IMF country report 20 OECD Economics Department Working Papers 20 NBER Working Paper 18 NBER working paper series 18 Working paper series / European Central Bank 18 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 17 European economy 15 Journal of macroeconomics 14 Working Papers / Bank of Canada 14 CESifo working papers 13 Discussion paper 13 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 13 Finance and economics discussion series 13 MPRA Paper 13 OECD Economics Department working papers 13 Economics letters 12 International economics : a journal published by CEPII (Center for research and expertise on the world economy) 12 Applied economics 11 CAMA working paper series 11 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 11 Journal of economic dynamics & control 11 Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 11 Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 11 Working paper 11 Working paper series 11 Applied economics letters 10 Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper 10 Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science forum of world issues 10 Ėkonomist : ežemesjačnyj naučno-praktičeskij žurnal 10 IMF Working Papers 9 Staff discussion paper 9 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 9 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 9 CAMA Working Paper 8 Discussion papers / CEPR 8
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 2,609 RePEc 196 EconStor 86 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 24 BASE 4
Showing 1 - 50 of 2,919
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Output gap measurement after Covid for Colombia: lessons from a permanent-transitory approach
Granados, Camilo; Parra-Amado, Daniel - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326087
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Indirect inference for the identification of star variables in macroeconomic models
Minford, Patrick; Xu, Yongdeng - 2025
Star variables, such as potential output and the neutral real interest rate, are fundamental to economic policymaking but challenging to identify due to their latent nature. Buncic, Pagan, and Robinson (2023) highlight the difficulty of identifying star variables within short macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329658
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Going NUTS : the regional impact of extreme climate events over the medium term
Usman, Sehrish; González-Torres, Guzmán; Parker, Miles - 2024
The projected increase in extreme climate events in the coming decades is likely to exacerbate the existing productivity and demographic challenges facing Europe. We study the dynamic, medium-run macroeconomic effects of heatwaves, droughts and floods in 1160 EU regions through the lens of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015179766
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Testing the waters of positive hysteresis : the effects of autonomous demand shocks on inflation, accumulation, and labor in the US economy
Di Domenico, Lorenzo; Gahn, Santiago José; Romaniello, … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014547037
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Sectorgap: an R package for consistent economic trend cycle decomposition
Streicher, Sina - 2024
Determining potential output and the output gap-two inherently unobservable variables-is a major challenge for macroeconomists. This paper presents the R package sectorgap, which features a flexible modeling and estimation framework for a multivariate Bayesian state space model identifying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014457595
Saved in:
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Demographic aging and long-run economic growth in Germany
Ochsner, Christian; Other, Lars; Thiel, Esther; Zuber, … - 2024
We study the long-run interaction between Germany’s economic growth trajectory and demographic aging. Using a comprehensive dataset, we leverage the classical production function approach to estimate potential output growth between 1970 and 2070. We account for the inherent uncertainty in our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014482654
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The macroeconomic impact of structural reforms : the case of Italy
D'Andrea, Sara; D'Andrea, Silvia; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014551414
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Macroeconomic climate : from global economy to national economy
Rădulescu, Andrei - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015116911
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The Federal Reserve's output gap : the unreliability of real-time realiability tests
Quast, Josefine; Wolters, Maik H. - 2023
Output gap revisions can be large even after many years. Real-time reliability tests might therefore be sensitive to the choice of the final output gap vintage that the real-time estimates are compared to. This is the case for the Federal Reserve's output gap. When accounting for revisions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013492758
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Estimating the output gap after COVID : an application to Colombia
Granados, Camilo; Parra-Amado, Daniel - 2023
This study examines whether and how important it is to adjust output gap frameworks during the COVID-19 pandemic and similar unprecedentedly large-scale episodes. Our proposed modelling framework comprises a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregresion with an identification setup based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014232751
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Unobserved components model(s) : output gaps and financial cycles
Guillochon, Justine; Le Roux, Julien - 2023
The Global Financial Crisis established that policymakers should consider the stage of the financial cycle to better evaluate the cyclical position of the economy when designing monetary policy decisions. If financial variables are omitted from the estimations of the output gap, a common and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014343145
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Improving output gap estimation : a bottom-up approach
Rathke, Alexander; Streicher, Sina - 2023
We propose a multivariate Bayesian state space model to identify potential growth and the output gap consistent with the dynamics of the underlying production sectors of the economy and those of inflation and the labor market. Our approach allows us to decompose economic fluctuations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014427292
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Estimating the output gap after Covid: how to address unprecedented macroeconomic variations
Granados, Camilo; Parra-Amado, Daniel - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014365290
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The Federal Reserve's output gap : the unreliability of real-time reliability tests
Quast, Josefine; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 38 (2023) 7, pp. 1101-1111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014474421
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Estimating natural rate of interest: the case for Azerbaijan
Ramazanova, Nazrin - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014556532
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Structural reforms in the Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan : a macroeconomic assessment of their potential effects
D'Andrea, Sara; D'Andrea, Silvia; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014261252
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Structural reforms in the Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan : a macroeconomic assessment of their potential effects
D'Andrea, Sara; D'Andrea, Silvia; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014304331
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Assessing the impact of demographic composition on productivity
Guénette, Justin-Damien; Shao, Lin - 2025
We examine how demographic factors influence potential output, focusing on how the age distribution of the working-age population and the old-age dependency ratio affect aggregate productivity. Following Feyrer (2007), we emphasize that the contribution to aggregate productivity varies by age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015323684
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Generische Tourenpläne
Mumm, Harald - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326928
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A robust method to date recessions and compute output gaps : the Portuguese case
Assunção, João; Fernandes, Pedro Afonso - In: Portuguese economic journal 24 (2025) 1, pp. 101-121
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332506
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The impact of the COVID-19 shock on euro area potential output : a sectoral approach
Bandera, Nicolò; Bodnár, Katalin; Le Roux, Julien; … - 2022
The COVID-19 crisis has affected economic sectors very heterogeneously, with possible risks for permanent losses in some sectors. This paper presents a sectoral-level, bottom- up method to estimate euro area potential outputin order to assess the impact of the crisis on it. The estimates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013367033
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The impact of COVID on productivity and potential output
Fernald, John G.; Li, Huiyu - 2022 - Draft: September 15, 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013387802
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Projecting the Impact of Rising Temperatures : the role of macroeconomic dynamics
Casey, Gregory; Fried, Stephie; Goode, Ethan - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013387979
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Estimating potential output & output gap in Ethiopia : structural & statistical approches
Geremew, Anteneh - In: Birritu : is a quarterly magazine published by: the … (2022) 133, pp. 8-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013461219
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RGAP: output gap estimation in R
Streicher, Sina - 2022
Assessing potential output and the output gap is essential for policy-making and fiscal surveillance. The European Commission proposes a production function methodology that involves the estimation of two classes of Gaussian state space models. This paper presents the R package RGAP which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013256541
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Supply or demand? : policy makers' confusion in the pesence of hysteresis
Fatás, Antonio; Singh, Sanjay R. - 2022
Policy makers need to separate between temporary demand-driven shocks and permanent shocks in order to design optimal aggregate demand policies. In this paper we study the case of a central bank that ignores the presence of hysteresis when identifying shocks. By assuming that all low-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013179263
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Economic growth, total factor productivity and output gap in Sierra Leone
Kumo, Wolassa L. - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013164171
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Going NUTS: The regional impact of extreme climate events over the medium term
Usman, Sehrish; González-Torres, Guzmán; Parker, Miles - 2024
The projected increase in extreme climate events in the coming decades is likely to exacerbate the existing productivity and demographic challenges facing Europe. We study the dynamic, medium-run macroeconomic effects of heatwaves, droughts and floods in 1160 EU regions through the lens of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015199539
Saved in:
Cover Image
Sectorgap: An R package for consistent economic trend cycle decomposition
Streicher, Sina - 2024
Determining potential output and the output gap-two inherently unobservable variables-is a major challenge for macroeconomists. This paper presents the R package sectorgap, which features a flexible modeling and estimation framework for a multivariate Bayesian state space model identifying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014476253
Saved in:
Cover Image
Demographic aging and long-run economic growth in Germany
Ochsner, Christian; Other, Lars; Thiel, Esther; Zuber, … - 2024
We study the long-run interaction between Germany's economic growth trajectory and demographic aging. Using a comprehensive dataset, we leverage the classical production function approach to estimate potential output growth between 1970 and 2070. We account for the inherent uncertainty in our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014483893
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Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period
Júlio, Paulo; Maria, José R. - In: Economic modelling 139 (2024), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015189809
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Measuring the Euro Area output gap
Barigozzi, Matteo; Lissona, Claudio; Luciani, Matteo - 2024 - Last update: October 29, 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271310
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Measuring the unmeasurable: unraveling the complexities of real-time output gap estimation
Pulido-Mahecha, Karen L.; Ángel, Sergio Restrepo-; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015145531
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The influence of social, labor and economic potential on the growth of competitiveness of organizations
Salkynbayeva, Fatima; Turekulova, Assiya; Tayauova, … - In: Montenegrin journal of economics 20 (2024) 4, pp. 251-260
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015159356
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Is there hysteresis in potential output estimates?
Roa Rozo, Julián - In: Economics letters 234 (2024), pp. 1-3
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015065953
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Understanding macroeconomic dynamics: insights from output gaps and firm surveys
Mühlebach, Nina - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015327336
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Output Gap Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy Adjustment in Real-Time in Emerging Economies
Cattelan, Giacomo - 2024
Uncertainty around the real-time output gap has important implications for fiscal policy. This study uses successive vintages of the World Economic Outlook for emerging markets (EMs) during 1998-2022 to examine the reaction of discretionary fiscal policy to uncertain economic cycle in real-time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015328228
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Workforce aging and potential output growth
Esposito, Mathilde - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015130409
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Determinants of price markups at japanese firms and implications for productivity
Aoki, Kōsuke; Hogen, Yoshihiko; Ito, Yojiro; Kanai, Kenji - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015183379
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Public debt and economic growth in Arab countries : structural or short-term benefits?
Chafik, Omar; Sirag, Abdalla; Anwar Hasan Abdullah Othman - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014505067
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Wege aus der Wachstumsschwäche : Analysen Wachstumspotenzial
Grimm, Veronika; Kroeger, Thilo; Ochsner, Christian - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 104 (2024) 3, pp. 180-186
Deutschland erlebt derzeit einen erheblichen Rückgang seines Produktionspotenzials. Wesentliche Ursache ist die demografische Alterung und insbesondere der Eintritt der geburtenstarken Jahrgänge (Baby-Boomer) in den Ruhestand. Das verfügbare Arbeitsvolumen wird darüber hinaus durch niedrige...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014511829
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Potential output estimates for the Swiss economy : model selection and sensitivity analysis
Glocker, Christian; Kaniovski, Serguei - Schweiz / Staatssekretariat für Wirtschaft - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014511872
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Trend-cycle decomposition after COVID
Kamber, Güneş; Morley, James C.; Wong, Benjamin - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014520421
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Lagging behind : the hysteresis of austerity
Tafuro, Andrea - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 66 (2024) 1, pp. 327-368
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014519403
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Mind the output gap : the new technocratic politics of EU fiscal rules in Italy
Locatelli, Camilla - 2024
The sovereign debt crisis triggered a process of reforms in European economic governance that pushed for technocratic handling of budget decisions following standardized procedures, target measures, and indicators for fiscal monitoring. This shift, aimed at producing more stability and less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015081045
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Assessing potential output and the output gap in Australia
Bishop, James; Hua, Jessica; Omidi, Shayan; Zhou, Xuan; … - In: Bulletin / Reserve Bank of Australia (2024), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015083608
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Public investment and potential output
Suresh, Neetha; Ghaw, Rachel; Obeng-Osei, Ronnie; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015051491
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A Markov-Switching DSGE model for measuring the output gap in Brazil
Oliveira, Eleonora de; Palma, Andreza Aparecida; … - In: Latin American journal of central banking : LAJCB 5 (2024) 1, pp. 1-15
The output gap, while inherently unobservable, plays a pivotal role in informing policymakers due to its significant implications for forecasting inflation rates and understanding the mechanisms of monetary policy transmission. Traditional filters frequently employed in estimating the output gap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015055077
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Nowcasting the output gap with shadow rates
Dubbert, Tore; Kempa, Bernd - In: Economics letters 236 (2024), pp. 1-3
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015071841
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The impact of climate, socio-political and COVID-19 shocks on Tunisia's potential growth
Dridi, Kamel - 2024
This study estimated Tunisia's potential growth with a Cobb-Douglas production function using an unobservable component model within structural changes context for the period 1989-2023. It investigated the major shocks' effects on the potential growth and its components. In contrast with most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015073301
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