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  • Search: subject_exact:"Rational expectations"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Rational expectations 7,076 Rationale Erwartung 7,068 Theorie 4,558 Theory 4,521 Erwartungsbildung 1,263 Expectation formation 1,249 Geldpolitik 1,012 Monetary policy 1,005 rational expectations 725 Lernprozess 710 Learning process 703 USA 493 United States 484 Schätzung 443 Estimation 432 Inflationserwartung 415 Inflation expectations 412 Gleichgewichtstheorie 368 Börsenkurs 366 Share price 361 Equilibrium theory 360 Rationalität 359 Rationality 352 Prognoseverfahren 348 Forecasting model 345 Asymmetric information 331 Asymmetrische Information 322 Inflation 308 Bounded rationality 304 Begrenzte Rationalität 297 Neoklassische Synthese 273 Wechselkurs 273 Neoclassical synthesis 272 Informationsökonomik 268 Economics of information 267 Exchange rate 266 Schätztheorie 254 Estimation theory 252 Rational Expectations 251 Risiko 250
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Online availability
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Free 2,837 Undetermined 1,080 CC license 25
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 4,525 Article 3,488 Other 6
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 2,898 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 2,898 Working Paper 1,982 Arbeitspapier 1,851 Graue Literatur 1,830 Non-commercial literature 1,830 Aufsatz im Buch 268 Book section 268 Hochschulschrift 238 Thesis 190 Collection of articles written by one author 48 Sammlung 48 Bibliografie enthalten 44 Bibliography included 44 Rezension 35 Collection of articles of several authors 33 Sammelwerk 33 Systematic review 29 Übersichtsarbeit 29 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 27 Aufsatzsammlung 25 Conference paper 23 Konferenzbeitrag 23 Konferenzschrift 20 Article 11 Forschungsbericht 9 Festschrift 8 Conference proceedings 7 research-article 7 Reprint 6 Interview 4 Lehrbuch 4 Mikroform 4 Mehrbändiges Werk 3 Multi-volume publication 3 Textbook 3 Amtsdruckschrift 2 Bibliografie 2 Book review 2 Congress Report 2
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Language
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English 6,977 Undetermined 578 German 190 French 111 Spanish 83 Italian 30 Portuguese 26 Polish 7 Czech 3 Hungarian 3 Dutch 3 Norwegian 3 Swedish 3 Danish 2 Serbian 2 Bulgarian 1 Finnish 1 Croatian 1 Russian 1
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Author
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Evans, George W. 153 Honkapohja, Seppo 123 McCallum, Bennett T. 101 Orphanides, Athanasios 72 Williams, John C. 72 Hommes, Cars H. 64 Sargent, Thomas J. 62 Farmer, Roger E. A. 54 Woodford, Michael 54 Guesnerie, Roger 53 Wieland, Volker 51 Pesaran, M. Hashem 50 Kurz, Mordecai 46 Minford, Patrick 45 Vives, Xavier 41 Coenen, Günter 38 Mitra, Kaushik 36 Bullard, James B. 35 Coibion, Olivier 35 Gorodnichenko, Yuriy 35 Adam, Klaus 33 Berardi, Michele 30 Frydman, Roman 30 Buiter, Willem H. 29 Eusepi, Stefano 29 Hansen, Lars Peter 29 Milani, Fabio 28 Schaling, Eric 28 Desgranges, Gabriel 27 Sorge, Marco M. 27 Benhabib, Jess 26 Motolese, Maurizio 26 McGough, Bruce 24 MacDonald, Ronald 23 Heinemann, Maik 22 Levine, Paul 22 Preston, Bruce 22 Swensen, Anders Rygh 22 Beyer, Andreas 21 Engsted, Tom 21
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 184 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 150 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 48 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 34 International Monetary Fund 25 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 22 HAL 18 European Central Bank 15 Center for Financial Studies 13 University of Bonn, Germany 12 EconWPA 11 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 10 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 10 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 8 Suomen Pankki 8 Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research 8 CESifo 6 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 6 European University Institute / Department of Economics 6 de Nederlandsche Bank 6 Department of Economics, University of California-Irvine 5 Econometric Society 5 Federal Reserve System / Division of Research and Statistics 5 University of Exeter / Department of Economics 5 Økonomisk Institut, Københavns Universitet 5 Business School, University of Exeter 4 Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain 4 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley 4 Department of Business and Economics, Ursinus College 4 Ekonomiska forskningsinstitutet <Stockholm> 4 European Science Foundation Network in Financial Markets, c/o C.E.P.R, 77 Bastwick Street, London EC1V 3PZ. 4 Kansantaloustieteen Laitos <Helsinki> 4 Statistisk Sentralbyrå, Government of Norway 4 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA 3 Barcelona Graduate School of Economics (Barcelona GSE) 3 Center for Economic Research <Tilburg> 3 Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science (CMS-EMS), Kellogg Graduate School of Management 3 Central Bank of Cyprus 3 Centre for Economic Policy Research 3 Departament d'Economia i Història Econòmica, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona 3
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Published in...
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Journal of economic dynamics & control 168 NBER working paper series 166 NBER Working Paper 163 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 149 IMF Working Papers 136 Economics letters 116 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 93 Journal of economic theory 72 Journal of monetary economics 70 Journal of macroeconomics 65 Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory 61 Macroeconomic dynamics 61 CESifo working papers 51 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 50 Applied economics 49 CEPR Discussion Papers 48 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 45 Economic modelling 44 Working paper 44 European economic review : EER 41 Journal of mathematical economics 41 The economic journal : the journal of the Royal Economic Society 40 Working paper series / European Central Bank 37 Bank of Finland research discussion papers 36 Discussion paper 36 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 36 Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an internat. society for the advancement of economic theory in its relation to statistics and mathematics 36 The American economic review 35 Discussion papers / CEPR 34 The review of economic studies 34 Finance and economics discussion series 31 International economic review 29 MPRA Paper 29 Journal of international money and finance 28 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 26 ECB Working Paper 25 Discussion paper series 24 Revue d'économie politique 24 Games and economic behavior 23 Journal of econometrics 21
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 6,978 RePEc 806 EconStor 143 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 62 BASE 15 ArchiDok 8 Other ZBW resources 7
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Showing 1 - 50 of 8,019
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Price and quantity competition in a hotelling linear market model with network connectivity
Toshimitsu, Tsuyoshi - 2024
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Is less really more? : asymmetries in peer effects for binary outcomes
Lambotte, Mathieu - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014578561
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Spooky boundaries at a distance : inductive bias, dynamic models, and behavioral macro
Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi; Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015078630
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Spooky boundaries at a distance : inductive bias, dynamic models, and behavioral macro
Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi; Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; … - 2024
In the long run, we are all dead. Nonetheless, when studying the short-run dynamics of economic models, it is crucial to consider boundary conditions that govern long-run, forward-looking behavior, such as transversality conditions. We demonstrate that machine learning (ML) can automatically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015050745
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"De Gustibus" and disputes about reference dependence
Campos-Mercade, Pol; Götte, Lorenz; Graeber, Thomas Wilhelm - 2024
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Equilibrium with asymmetric information and restricted participation : the no-arbitrage characterization
Boisdeffre, Lionel de - 2024
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Frictionless house-price momentum
Fève, Patrick; Moura, Alban - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014428525
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A short history in defence of adaptive learning
Eusepi, Stefano; Preston, Bruce - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014432552
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Frictionless house-price momentum
Fève, Patrick; Moura, Alban - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014432856
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Expectations and stock market in Nepal
Sedhain, Roshan; Shijin, S. - In: Vision : the journal of business perspective 27 (2023) 5, pp. 671-679
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Organising thinking about disinflation policy
Pol, Eduardo J. - In: Economic papers 42 (2023) 1, pp. 92-106
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Rationality and biases : insights from disaggregated firm-level inflation expectations data
Reid, Monique; Siklos, Pierre L. - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014333377
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Modeling inflation expectations in forward-looking interest rate and money growth rules
Chen, Zhengyang; Valcarcel, Victor J. - In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 170 (2025), pp. 1-21
We propose a novel approach that directly embeds rational expectations (RE) into a low-dimensional structural vector autoregression (SVAR) without the need for any mapping to a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Beginning from a fully specified “consensus” structural model,...
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Soft landing and inflation scares
Bullard, James B.; Grimaud, Alex; Salle, Isabelle; … - 2025
We discuss the timing and strength of the Fed's reaction to the recent inflation surge within an estimated macroeconomic model where long-run inflation expectations are heterogeneous and can lose their anchoring to the target. The resulting inflation scare worsens the real cost of disinflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015191492
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Behavioral impulse responses
Kelly, Bryan T.; Malamud, Semyon; Siriwardane, Emil N. - 2025 - This version: November 7, 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015196772
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Frequency and severity of current account reversals : an analysis with a rational expectations regime switching DSGE model
Hamano, Masashige; Murakami, Yuki - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015323637
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Change in farmer expectations from information surprises in the corn market
Fiechter, Chad; Kuethe, Todd; Langemeier, Michael R.; … - In: American journal of agricultural economics 107 (2025) 1, pp. 231-247
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Long-run inflation expectations
Fisher, Jonas D. M.; Melosi, Leonardo; Rast, Sebastian - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329827
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The rationality bias
Hagenhoff, Tim; Lustenhouwer, Joep; Tsionas, Efthymios G. - 2025
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The effects of fiscal policy when planning horizons are finite
Lustenhouwer, Joep; Mavromatis, Kostas - 2025
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Bond supply expectations and the term structure of interest rates
Billio, Monica; Busetto, Francesca; Dufour, Alfonso; … - In: Journal of international money and finance 150 (2025), pp. 1-27
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Momentum mechanisms under heterogeneous beliefs
Yan, Yu; Tong, Yan; Wang, Yiming - 2025
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Household income expectations : the role of shocks and aggregate conditions
Bucciol, Alessandro; Easaw, Joshy Z.; Trucchi, Serena - 2025
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How do we learn about the long run?
Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, Emanuel; … - 2025
Using a novel and unique panel dataset of individual-level professional forecasts at short, medium, and very-long horizons, we provide new stylized facts about survey forecasts. We present direct evidence that forecasters use multivariate models in an environment with imperfect information about...
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Long-run inflation expectations
Fisher, Jonas D. M.; Melosi, Leonardo; Rast, Sebastian - 2025
Professional forecasters' long-run inflation expectations overreact to news and exhibit persistent, predictable biases in forecast errors. A model incorporating overconfidence in private information and a persistent expectations bias-which generates persistent forecast errors across most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015323365
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Aggregate implications of heterogeneous inflation expectations : the role of individual experience
Pedemonte, Mathieu; Toma, Hiroshi; Verdugo, Esteban - 2025
We explore the implications of heterogeneous, history-dependent inflation expectations in a general equilibrium setting. We propose an experience-based expectations-augmented Kalman filter to represent consumers' heterogeneous inflation expectations, where heterogeneity arises from an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015396106
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Uncertainty in the formation of inflation expectations in Japan : an analysis using the macroeconomic model Q-JEM
Fukunaga, Ichiro; Kishaba, Yui; Shibata, Nao; Yoneyama, … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330643
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Higher order expectations, learning, and sentiment pricing dynamics
Li, Jinfang - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015359880
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Belief distortions and disagreement about Iinflation
Pagano Giorgianni, Giuseppe; Patella, Valeria - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332461
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Uncovering attention heterogeneity
Boccanfuso, Jérémy; Neri, Luca - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373959
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Fiscal forecasting rationality among expert forecasters
Chocobar, Belen; Claeys, Peter; Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 3, pp. 941-959
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Monetary policy expectations and financial Markets : a Quantile-on-Quantile connectedness approach
Naifar, Nader - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015374402
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Tell me something I don't already know : learning in low- and high-inflation settings
Weber, Michael; Candia, Bernardo; Afrouzi, Hassan; … - In: Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an … 93 (2025) 1, pp. 229-264
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015401150
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Household income expectations : the role of unexpected income changes and aggregate conditions
Bucciol, Alessandro; Easaw, Joshy Z.; Trucchi, Serena - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015404006
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Strategic Foundations of Rational Expectations
Barelli, Paulo; Govindan, Srihari; Wilson, Robert - 2022
We study an economy with traders whose payoffs are quasilinear and their private signals are informative about an unobserved state parameter. The limit economy has infinitely many traders partitioned into a finite set of symmetry classes called types. It has a unique rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014029999
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Asymmetric Information, Disagreement, and the Valuation of Debt and Equity
Banerjee, Snehal; Breon-Drish, Bradyn M.; Smith, Kevin - 2022
We study the prices of a firm's debt and equity in a market where investors have private information and may exhibit differences of opinion. We show how debt and equity valuations, and the impact of public information and distress risk on these valuations, depend upon disagreement and the...
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Information aggregation with heterogeneous traders
Deck, Cary A.; Jun, Tae In; Razzolini, Laura; Reid, Tavoy - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013393412
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A new test for market efficiency and uncovered interest parity
Baillie, Richard; Diebold, Francis X.; Kapetanios, George; … - 2022 - This draft: November 3, 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013502181
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Spooky Boundaries at a Distance: Inductive Bias, Dynamic Models, and Behavioral Macro
Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi; Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; … - 2024
In the long run, we are all dead. Nonetheless, when studying the short-run dynamics of economic models, it is crucial to consider boundary conditions that govern long-run, forward-looking behavior, such as transversality conditions. We demonstrate that machine learning (ML) can automatically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015096900
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Households’ subjective expectations : disagreement, common drivers and reaction to monetary policy
Ferreira, Clodomiro; Pica, Stefano - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015175858
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A subjective interpretation of Liu-Liu's credibility measures and expectations
Petturiti, Davide - In: Fuzzy optimization and decision making : a journal of … 23 (2024) 1, pp. 63-91
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014500832
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Dynamic sparse restricted perceptions equilibria
Audzei, Volha; Slobodyan, Sergey - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015158155
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Sovereign risk under diagnostic expectations
Niemann, Stefan; Prein, Timm M. - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015138101
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Understanding Expectations Formation for Hand-to-Mouth Households : Lessons from the Financial Crisis
Ekici, Tufan; Geiger, Martin; Zachariadis, Marios - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015144229
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Uncovering subjective models from survey expectations
Hou, Chenyu; Wang, Tao - 2024 - This Version: September, 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271923
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Solving stochastic OLG models using Chebyshev parameterized expectations
Ozbilgin, Murat; Kirkby, Robert - 2024
This paper presents an efficient solution method for solving stochastic overlapping generations (S-OLG) models. We use the Chebyshev parameterized expectation algorithm (C-PEA) developed by Christiano and Fisher (2000) to solve the life cycle block of S-OLGs. The method is well suited for this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014578231
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Tell me something I don't already know : learning in low and high-inflation settings
Weber, Michael; Candia, Bernardo; Afrouzi, Hassan; … - 2024
Using randomized control trials (RCTs) applied over time in different countries, we study whether the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show that as inflation rose in advanced economies, both households and firms became more attentive and informed about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014490479
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Existence of monotone equilibria in large double auctions
Barelli, Paulo; Govindan, Srihari - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 19 (2024) 2, pp. 565-582
We provide a shorter proof of the main result in Reny and Perry (2006, Econometrica) by establishing a lower semicontinuity property of auctions as the number of traders goes to infinity, leveraging existence of equilibria in the limit auction. Our proof also eliminates two of the assumptions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014576684
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Supply shocks in the fog : the role of endogenous uncertainty
Antonova, Anastasiia; Matvieiev, Mykhailo; Poilly, Céline - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015130404
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Classification shifting using income-decreasing special items : measurement and valuation issues
Abdalla, Ahmed M.; Clubb, Colin D. B. - In: Review of accounting studies 29 (2024) 3, pp. 2871-2926
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015133800
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