In 2015, Southern Africa experienced a drought that affected approximately 30 million people across seven countries. Using a nationally representative household panel survey dataset and a remotely sensed measure of drought intensity during the 2015/16 farming season, we rigorously estimate the...

Gasspeicher sind ein zentraler Baustein für eine sichere Energieversorgung und damit für eine funktionierende Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Derzeit bietet der Markt jedoch kaum Anreize, die Gasspeicher zu nutzen oder in deren Erhalt zu investieren. Im Gegenteil: Seit November letzten Jahres...

The COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 has fostered in many countries the development of new weekly economic indices for the timely tracking of pandemic-related turmoils and other forms of rapid economic changes. Such indices often utilise information from daily and weekly economic time series that...

In September 2023, ECDC updated its COVID-19 vaccination coverage data analysis process, in view of the evolving timing and objective of the 2023-24 season vaccination campaigns. This report presents a description of COVID-19 vaccine coverage in the European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA)...

The 2024 ECDC influenza survey on national vaccination recommendations and coverage used and adapted the previous ECDC-funded survey conducted by the Vaccine European New Integrated Collaboration Effort (VENICE) project. The aim of the survey was to describe the evolution of seasonal influenza...

This study investigates the impact of seasonal climate change on rice productivity in Vietnam's Central Coast, using 26 years of data from 1996 to 2021. To achieve this objective, the study applies a Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) model to obtain robust estimates for the panel...

The establishment of common guidelines for seasonal adjustment within the European Statistical System is an essential step towards a better harmonisation and comparability of infra-annual statistics. Following the 2009 and 2015 editions which were widely accepted and implemented, the 2024...

In September 2023, ECDC updated its COVID-19 vaccination coverage data analysis process, in view of the evolving timing and objective of the 2023-24 season vaccination campaigns in the European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA). This report presents an interim description of COVID-19 vaccine...

In September 2023, ECDC updated its COVID-19 vaccination coverage data analysis process, in view of the evolving timing and objective of the 2023-24 season vaccination campaigns. This report presents an interim description of COVID-19 vaccine coverage in the European Union/European Economic Area...

This paper explores the financial stability implications of acute physical climate change risks using a novel approach focusing on a severe season associated with a series of tropical cyclone and flood events. Our approach was recently applied to study physical risks in the Mexican financial...

We study the effect of warehouse receipt financing on terms of trade for farmers. With limited access to credit and storage facilities, farmers are compelled to sell their produce immediately after harvest at unfavourable prices. Warehouse receipt systems allow farmers to obtain loans with the...

Train is a popular mode of ground transportation due to the ability to accommodate a large number of passenger, save time, avoid traffic congestion, offer cost-effective fares, and provide a relatively high level of safety. These benefits contribute to an annual increase in passenger numbers,...

Forecasting consumer prices for package holidays, which represent a major driver of the inflation rate in Germany, poses some practical challenges. With a substantial share in the underlying consumer basket, prices for package holidays exhibit strong seasonality, notable volatility, and...

Criticisms over labour practices in agricultural production often target the living and working conditions of migrant seasonal workers. This article assesses consumer preferences for apples produced under social conditions exceeding current legal standards. The analysis is based on a discrete...

This study investigates the determinants of trading activity in the U.S. corporate bond market, focusing on the effects of Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) and macroeconomic announcements. Employing the General-to-Specific (Gets) Autometrics methodology, we identify distinct behavioral...

This paper summarizes and assesses several of the most popular methods to seasonally adjust weekly data. The industry standard approach, known as X-13ARIMA-SEATS, is suitable only for monthly or quarterly data. Given the increased availability and promise of non-traditional data at higher...

The objective of the paper is to examine seasonal patterns in the performance of fuel markets in the Visegrad Group (V4) countries (i.e., the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia). Unlike numerous papers that investigate global oil markets, this study focuses on regional retail fuel...

Using quarterly temperature and sectoral value-added data for a large sample of advanced economies (AEs) and emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs), this paper uncovers nuanced effects of temperature on economic activity. For EMDEs, hotter spring and summer temperatures reduce growth...

Purpose: This paper investigates the impact of special replenishing modes within a 2-echelon inventory system under seasonal demand. Within this system, a periodic-review base-stock policy is employed. Two special replenishing modes are considered: emergency and transshipment in addition to a...

The examination of the day-of-the-week effect has been a subject of financial research for over five decades. However, findings regarding different returns on specific weekdays have remained inconclusive. We aim to address this inconsistency by extending existing theories through the...

Understanding of the macroeconomic effects of climate change is developing rapidly, but the implications for past and future inflation remain less well understood. Here we exploit a global dataset of monthly consumer price indices to identify the causal impacts of changes in climate on...

Bitcoin’s money supply algorithm was programmed so that the number of new bitcoins generated decreases geometrically, with a 50 per cent reduction approximately every four years. Because Bitcoin’s money supply algorithm is static and long-term deflationary, BTC is volatile and Bitcoin failed...

In the valuation of forest resources, the alternative uses of the land is one of the central themes. In most cases it is made without taking into account the uncertainty and the possible flexibility of the alternative use. Within these alternatives, the strategy of shifting to a more profitable...

While the Xiangjiang (XJ) River acts as an inland drinking water source, it may experience microplastics emissions originating from Changsha (CS) City. The aim of this study was to characterize the occurrence and distribution of microplastics in the XJ River during both the flooding and dry...

Internet of Things (IoT) has been transforming inventory management disruptively by linking and synchronizing inventory products together. It is one of the driving forces for the prevailing innovation of AgriTech. For fresh produce replenishment in the presence of its inherent seasonal...

Seasonal influenza is a common infectious disease that jeopardizes the health of pregnant women and may harm fetal development. I investigate the impacts of in utero exposure to seasonal influenza over the life course using nearly fifty years of flu season data in the U.S. I exploit state and...

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a substantial increase in house price growth and its seasonal amplitude. This change has presented challenges to traditional seasonal adjustment methods, such as the U.S. Census Bureau's X-12 method. This study tests for residual seasonality in three major...

This paper uses a seasonal long-memory model to capture the behaviour of the US Industrial Production Index (IPI) over the period 1919Q1-2022Q4. This series is found to display a large value of the periodogram at the zero, long-run frequency, and to exhibit an order of integration around 1. When...

Objective: The study focused on verifying the impact of the calendar and seasonal effects on the accuracy of forecasts of cash withdrawals from automated teller machines (ATMs). In this article, we investigated a possible use of the so-called trigonometric seasonality, the Box-Cox...