Keynes' General Theory was a massive step forward relative to classical economics, but it was also a step backward in its denial of the conflictual nature of capitalism. There is need to understand Keynes' technical contributions regarding the workings of monetary economies, but also need to...

In this contribution, we review the research on the variety of macroeconomic demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism, on the regime shifts in the course of and after the 2007-09 crises, the drivers of these shifts and on the emerging stagnation tendencies. Results of this...

This paper studies two formal models of long run growth with a medium-run distributive cycle, both of which feature causal links from the rise in inequality to a deterioration of long run macroeconomic performance. Both versions feature an endogenous income-capital ratio: one through the...

The shock of the pandemic and subsequent overlapping crises has led to a reversal in development by exacerbating the challenges facing the most vulnerable 75 economies eligible for concessional loans and grants from the World Bank's International Development Association (IDA). Over 2020-24, per...

We review post-Keynesian assessments of the macroeconomic demand and growth impacts of financialisation. First, we examine the channels of influence of financialisation on distribution and on the different components of private aggregate demand, i.e. investment, consumption and net exports....

Zu Beginn des Jahres 2024 zeigen Stimmungsindikatoren etwas aufgehellte Aussichten für die internationale Konjunktur. Dabei war die weltweite Produktionsdynamik noch bis Ende 2023 zurückgegangen. Ursachen waren hohe Inflation, restriktive Geldpolitik und in Europa der russische Krieg gegen die...

Zu Beginn des Jahres 2024 zeigen Stimmungsindikatoren etwas aufgehellte Aussichten für die internationale Konjunktur. Dabei war die weltweite Produktionsdynamik noch bis Ende 2023 zurückgegangen. Ursachen waren hohe Inflation, restriktive Geldpolitik und in Europa der russische Krieg gegen die...

We review post-Keynesian assessments of the macroeconomic demand and growth impacts of financialisation. First, we examine the channels of influence of financialisation on distribution and on the different components of private aggregate demand, i.e. investment, consumption and net exports....

The shock of the pandemic and subsequent overlapping crises has led to a reversal in development by exacerbating the challenges facing the most vulnerable 75 economies eligible for concessional loans and grants from the World Bank's International Development Association (IDA). Over 2020-24, per...

This paper first presents a dynamic model that features both real and monetary aspects of international trade and is capable of dealing with both full employment and secular unemployment. The model is then utilized to examine the effect of a tariff on the terms of trade, the trade pattern, real...

This article aims to examine the recent rise and fall of productivity in Argentina through a subsystems approach. Specifically, indicators based on hyper vertically integrated (HVI) sectors for Argentina are developed using OECD Input-Output Tables. The analysis spans the period 2004-2019,...

This paper presents a classical-Keynesian one sector model of labor-constrained growth that explains secular stagnation as the result of structural change. Structural change is defined as an exogenous increase in the employment share of stagnant activities, which exhibit no or low labor...

It can hardly be denied that perhaps the most serious challenge to mankind has not yet been addressed properly by post-Keynesianism: the over-stretching of our planetary boundaries. Most of the resources which we need to sustain our lives are non-renewable and, therefore, limited. And most of...

Keynes' General Theory was a massive step forward relative to classical economics, but it was also a step backward in its denial of the conflictual nature of capitalism. There is need to understand Keynes' technical contributions regarding the workings of monetary economies, but also need to...

We assess the quantitative relevance of expectations-driven sovereign debt crises, focusing on the Southern European crisis of the early 2010’s and the Argentine default of 2001. The source of multiplicity is the one in Calvo (1988). Key for multiplicity is an output process featuring long...

This study examines the ways in which firms recover from stagnation or sales decline, with a focus on two key aspects: traditional high‑growth companies and growth restarts within the framework of organizational life cycle theory. Analyzing a dataset of 1883 Russian firms from 2013 to 2021,...

After reviewing trends in economic growth studies since the mid-1980s, this paper argues the importance of interdisciplinary studies in growth studies. In addition, I present several hypotheses from the perspective of interdisciplinary research on the "long-term stagnation of the Japanese...

This paper replicates the study "A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation" by Eggertsson et al. (2019) using the Dynare toolkit. Replication is important as it confirms the results of the original article, provides a user-friendly version using Dynare (Adjemian et al.,...

Using a Bayesian mixed effects model on a large firm-level panel we show that the investment slowdown is a long-standing feature across 21 advanced economies since 1999. We find a flattening in the investment-q relationship over time, as firms become less responsive to investment opportunities....

We assess the quantitative relevance of expectations-driven sovereign debt crises, focusing on the Southern European crisis of the early 2010s and the Argentine default of 2001. The source of multiplicity is the one in Calvo (1988). Key for multiplicity is an output process featuring long...

It can hardly be denied that perhaps the most serious challenge to mankind has not yet been addressed properly by post-Keynesianism: the over-stretching of our planetary boundaries. Most of the resources which we need to sustain our lives are non-renewable and, therefore, limited. And most of...

We assess the long-run growth effects of automation in the overlapping generations framework. Although automation implies constant returns to capital and, thus, an AK production side of the economy, positive long-run growth does not emerge. The reason is that automation suppresses wage income,...

This article addresses Japan's economy, its new economic policy package, which is known as Abenomics. The centerpiece of Abenomics has been the three "economic arrows" targeted at aggressive monetary policy, flexible fiscal policy, and growth strategy. This article focuses on Abenomics and shows...

This paper argues the mainstream economics profession is threatened by theories of the financial crisis and ensuing stagnation that attribute those events to the policies recommended and justified by the profession. Such theories are existentially threatening to the dominant point of view....

In this contribution, we review the research on the variety of macroeconomic demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism, on the regime shifts in the course of and after the 2007-09 crises, the drivers of these shifts and on the emerging stagnation tendencies. Results of this...

Finanzkrisen der jüngsten Zeit zeichnen sich durch einen starken Gleichlauf der Entwicklung der Kreditvergabe am privaten Immobilienmarkt mit der Entwicklung der Immobilienpreise aus. Der Aufsatz untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen Immobilienpreisen, Verschuldung, Finanzkrisen und den...

This paper studies two formal models of long run growth with a medium-run distributive cycle, both of which feature causal links from the rise in inequality to a deterioration of long run macroeconomic performance. Both versions feature an endogenous income-capital ratio: one through the...

This paper develops a two-country Kaleckian model in which "Northern" firms invest a fixed fraction of total investment in foreign affiliates in the low-wage "South" in order to offshore the production of intermediate goods over time and lower overall labour costs. On the back of this setup...

A large literature has reopened the secular stagnation hypothesis, first proposed near the end of the great depression as a warning for anemic growth resulting from long run trends in population aging. In this paper, I explore the relationship between population age structure and growth in:...

We argue that economic collapses can result from the adoption by political actors of strategies that generate severe negative economic externalities for society. We establish the conditions for political conflict to become economically destructive and develop a diagnostics toolkit to identify...

We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is that it also recognizes the reactions of government...

In our article we review the secular stagnation hypothesis, firstly postulated by Hansen (1939), to describe the current macroeconomic dynamics faced by developed economies. Based in the existing literature, we elaborate on a workable definition of secular stagnation founded on four pillars:...