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Year of publication
Subject
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Steuerschätzung 308 Tax revenue forecasting 301 Deutschland 85 Germany 83 Steuereinnahmen 81 Tax revenue 78 Prognoseverfahren 77 Forecasting model 74 USA 61 United States 60 Öffentliche Einnahmen 47 Prognose 46 Public revenue 46 Forecast 45 Theorie 39 Theory 39 Einkommensteuer 38 Income tax 38 Steuerpolitik 20 Tax policy 20 Steuerreform 19 Tax reform 18 Umsatzsteuer 17 Public budget 16 Sales tax 16 Öffentlicher Haushalt 16 Simulation 14 Haushaltsplanung 12 Public budgeting 12 Steuervergünstigung 11 Tax incentive 11 Einnahmen 10 Großbritannien 10 Revenue 10 United Kingdom 10 Ländersteuer 9 State tax 9 Steuerrecht 9 Steuerwirkung 9 Tax effects 9
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Online availability
All
Free 94 Undetermined 27 CC license 3
Type of publication
All
Article 169 Book / Working Paper 134 Journal 13
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 148 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 148 Graue Literatur 83 Non-commercial literature 83 Working Paper 42 Arbeitspapier 39 Aufsatz im Buch 20 Book section 20 Amtsdruckschrift 15 Government document 15 Statistik 9 Statistics 8 Hochschulschrift 5 Thesis 5 Advisory report 3 Gutachten 3 No longer published / No longer aquired 3 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Conference paper 2 Conference proceedings 2 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 2 Konferenzbeitrag 2 Konferenzschrift 2 Sammelwerk 2 Accompanied by computer file 1 Annual report 1 Aufsatzsammlung 1 Case study 1 Collection of articles written by one author 1 Elektronischer Datenträger als Beilage 1 Fallstudie 1 Jahresbericht 1 Sammlung 1 research-article 1
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Language
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English 204 German 99 Undetermined 4 Italian 3 French 2 Polish 2 Russian 2 Portuguese 1
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Author
All
Karrenberg, Hanns 16 Breuer, Christian 12 Büttner, Thiess 8 Kauder, Björn 8 Teichmann, Dieter 8 Truger, Achim 8 Auerbach, Alan J. 7 Gebhardt, Heinz 7 Körner, Josef 6 Lehmann, Robert 6 Rietzler, Katja 6 Boss, Alfred 5 Gravelle, Jane G. 5 Lindsey, Lawrence B. 5 Rosen, Harvey S. 5 Chatagny, Florian 4 Feenberg, Daniel 4 Finley, Grace 4 Langetieg, Patrick 4 Medalia, Carla 4 Payne, Mark 4 Plumley, Alan 4 Wu, Derek 4 Bach, Stefan 3 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 3 Creedy, John 3 Feenberg, Daniel R. 3 Gemmell, Norman 3 Göttert, Marcell 3 Leibrecht, Markus 3 Löbbe, Klaus 3 Meyer, Bruce D. 3 Ratzinger, Jürgen 3 Roth, Albert 3 Altshuler, Rosanne 2 Arndt, Christian 2 Bork, Christhart 2 Bräuninger, Michael 2 Chou, Shih-Chu 2 Danninger, Stephan 2
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 6 Neuseeland / Treasury 3 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 2 Deutschland / Bundesministerium der Finanzen 2 Großbritannien / Office for Budget Responsibility 2 Kanada / Department of Finance 2 OECD 2 USA / Congress / Budget Office 2 USA / Joint Committee on Taxation 2 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung 2 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 2 Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) 1 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 1 Deutschland / Bundesministerium der Finanzen / Referat L C 3 (Öffentlichkeitsarbeit) 1 Deutschland / Bundesministerium der Finanzen / Wissenschaftlicher Beirat 1 European Commission / Directorate-General for Taxation and Customs Union 1 Harvard Law School / International Tax Program 1 Ifo Institut 1 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Forschungsbereich Konjunktur und Finanzmärkte 1 Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung 1 Internationaler Währungsfonds 1 National Tax Association 1 Neuseeland 1 New York <Staat> 1 Parliament 1 Philippine Institute for Development Studies <Makati> 1 RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 1 Schottland / Government 1 Schweiz / Ökonomenteam 1 Staat Colorado / General Assembly 1 Staat Colorado / Legislative Council 1 Treasury, Government of New Zealand 1 USA / Congress / House of Representatives / Committee on the Budget 1 USA / Congress / House of Representatives / Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence / Subcommittee on Oversight 1 USA / Congress / Senate / Committee on Finance 1 USA / Joint Committee on Internal Revenue Taxation 1 University of Western Sydney, Nepean / Department of Economics 1 Universität Potsdam / Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät 1 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Forschungsbereich Umwelt- und Ressourcenökonomik, Umweltmanagement 1 ifo Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München e.V. 1
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Published in...
All
National tax journal 19 Kommunale Steuer-Zeitschrift : Zeitschrift für das gesamte Gemeindeabgabenwesen ; KStZ 16 Ifo-Schnelldienst 15 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 15 Report / IMK, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung 8 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 7 Microsimulation in government policy and forecasting 6 NBER Working Paper 6 NBER working paper series 6 Fiscal studies : the journal of the Institute for Fiscal Studies 4 Proceedings of the ... annual Conference on Taxation : held under the auspices of the National Tax Association-Tax Institute of America at ... and minutes of the annual meeting held ... 4 CESifo working papers 3 Das öffentliche Haushaltswesen in Österreich : Zeitschrift der Gesellschaft für das Öffentliche Haushaltswesen 3 Ifo-Forschungsberichte 3 Kieler Arbeitspapiere 3 Proceedings / 96th Annual Conference on Taxation : Chicago, Ill., Nov. 13 - 15, 2003 ; and minutes of the Annual Meeting of the National Tax Association, Thursday, November 13, 2003 3 Public finance and management : PFM : an official journal of the Southern Public Administration Education Foundation 3 Advances in business and management forecasting 2 Artha vijñāna : journal of the Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics 2 CESifo Working Paper 2 Diskussionsbeitrag / Universität Potsdam, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, Lehrstuhl für Finanzwissenschaft 2 Ifo working papers 2 Institut Finanzen und Steuern : ifst 2 International journal of forecasting 2 International tax and public finance 2 Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 2 Kiel working paper 2 MITAX - Mikroanalysen und Steuerpolitik : Beiträge zur wissenschaftlichen Konferenz am 6. und 7. Oktober 2005 in Lüneburg 2 Public choice 2 Public finance review : PFR 2 Schriftenreihe des Rheinisch-Westfälischen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung 2 Tax modelling for economies in transition 2 The journal of the American Taxation Association : a publ. of the Tax Section of the American Accounting Association 2 [ZEW Gutachten / Forschungsberichte] 2 1993 proceedings of the eighty-sixth Annual Conference on Taxation : held under the auspices of the National Tax Association at St. Paul, Minnesota, November 7 - 10, 1993 1 AIUB business and economics working paper series 1 Acta Universitatis Wratislaviensis : AUW 1 Advances in the economics of energy and resources : a research annual 1 American business review 1 An information report 1
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 304 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 5 EconStor 3 RePEc 3 Other ZBW resources 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 316
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Federal tax revenue forecasting of Pakistan : lternative approaches
Ul Baneen, Syeda Um - 2023
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Zanzibar : ZANMOD v1.1 : 2019-2023
Haji, Haji Gora; Hemed, Issa; Kisanga, Elineema; … - 2024
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Revenue potential of passenger and goods tax (PGT) across Indian states
Mukherjee, Sacchidananda; Jadhav, Vivek; Badola, Shivani - 2024
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Sovereign collateral
Flandreau, Marc; Pietrosanti, Stefano; Schuster, Carlotta E. - In: The journal of economic history 84 (2024) 1, pp. 191-231
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Tax revenue forecast errors : wrong predictions of the tax base or the elasticity?
Göttert, Marcell; Lehmann, Robert - 2021 - This version: June 14, 2021
In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012547029
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Reinsurance Revenue Forecasting Using the Singleexponential Smoothing : Application and Residualanalysis
Yousof, Haitham; Cordeir, Gauss M.; Chesneau, Christophe; … - 2023
Time series analysis is a crucial tool for predicting how reinsurance revenues will be used. Reinsurance businesses must be aware of the estimated future values of claims in order to minimise the substantial losses brought on by predicted future claims. The potential values of anticipated claims...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014361981
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Steuerschätzung : Ausgabenprioritäten setzen
Langenmayr, Dominika - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 103 (2023) 11, pp. 724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014431408
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Analysts’ Revenue Forecasts and Discretionary Revenues
Mutlu, Sunay; Wang, Weiwei; Chou, Shih-Chu - 2023
We investigate the disciplining role of analysts’ revenue forecasts on firms’ discretionary revenues. We analyze quarterly data and three-year window around the initiation of analysts’ revenue forecasts reported in IBES. Our study shows a decrease in the magnitude of discretionary revenues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014265486
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Do Accounting Earnings Provide Useful Information for State Tax Revenue Forecasts?
Welsch, Anthony; Williams, Braden; Mills, Lillian F. - 2022
State tax revenue forecasting is critical to states’ fiscal planning because many states have constitutions or laws that require a balanced budget and restrict borrowing to fund deficits. We present three main findings about state tax revenue growth forecasts and state-specific aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014082938
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Information sharing and state revenue forecasting performance
Spreen, Thomas L.; Martinez Guzman, Juan P. - In: Public budgeting & finance 42 (2022) 4, pp. 54-73
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Ansätze zur Messung der Unternehmensteuerlücke (Corporate Income Tax Gap) in Deutschland
Gstrein, David; Herold, Elena; Neumeier, Florian - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015200802
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The Accuracy of Tax Imputations : Estimating Tax Liabilities and Credits Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
Meyer, Bruce; Wu, Derek; Finley, Grace; Langetieg, Patrick - 2022
This paper calculates accurate estimates of income and payroll taxes using a groundbreaking set of linked survey and administrative tax data that are part of the Comprehensive Income Dataset (CID). We compare our estimates to survey imputations produced by the Census Bureau and those generated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013405297
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Steuerschätzung: Finanzieller Spielraum verringert
Jessen, Robin - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 102 (2022) 11, pp. 818
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VAT revenues in 2008-2020 : trends and challenges of Covid-19
Dziemianowicz, Ryta; Budlewska, Renata - In: Ekonomia i prawo 21 (2022) 1, pp. 85-102
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013173131
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Revenue Forecasting for Online Sellers
Kim, Minjae Jaden; Lee, Luis - 2022
Today, due to the growth of the E-commerce industry, forecasting revenues for online sellers is of paramount importance to investors. Globally, there are E-commerce seller aggregators such as Thrasio and Perch that acquire online sellers. For online sellers to succeed, they must carefully plan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014242986
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Microfounded tax revenue forecast model with heterogeneous population and genetic algorithm approach
Alexi, Ariel; Lazebnik, Teddy; Shami, Labib - In: Computational economics 63 (2024) 5, pp. 1705-1734
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014549204
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Tax Revenue Forecast Errors: Wrong Predictions of the Tax Base or the Elasticity?
Göttert, Marcell; Lehmann, Robert - 2021
In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012599235
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Capital Gains Taxes Under the Tax Reform Act of 1986 : Revenue Estimatesunder Various Assumptions
Lindsey, Lawrence B. - 2021
This paper examines the effect of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 on the level of capital gains realizations and tax revenue under a variety of behavioral assumptions. Independent investigations by Feldstein, Slemrod, and Yitzhaki, the Department of Treasury. Lindsey, Auten and Clotfelter, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013218729
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Tax Revenue Forecast Errors : Wrong Predictions of the Tax Base or the Elasticity?
Göttert, Marcell; Lehmann, Robert - 2021
In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013222194
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Testing the Rationality of State Revenue Forecasts
Feenberg, Daniel; Gentry, William M.; Gilroy, David; … - 2021
In recent months, the governors of several states have suffered major political embarrassments because actual revenues fell, substantially short of the predictions in their respective budgets. Such episodes focus attention on the question of whether states do a "good" job of forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013243389
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Analysts’ Revenue Forecasts and Discretionary Revenues
Chou, Shih-Chu; Mutlu, Sunay; Wang, Weiwei - 2021
We investigate the disciplining role of analysts’ revenue forecasts on firms’ discretionary revenues. We analyze quarterly data and find evidence that initiation of analysts’ revenue forecasts reported in IBES is associated with a decrease in the magnitude of discretionary revenues. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013230223
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A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration
Feenberg, Daniel R.; Rosen, Harvey S. - 2021
Critics of Governor Michael Dukakis have suggested that this year?s $400 million overestimate of tax revenues in Massachusetts casts doubt on his putative managerial skills. In this paper, we carefully examine the entire Dukakis forecasting record. We find that the 1988 experience was "unusual?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013233039
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Tax Projections and the Budget : Lessons from the 1980s
Auerbach, Alan J. - 2021
Some economists have argued that the disincentive effects of marginal tax rate increases in the 1980s caused revenue to rise by less than had been anticipated. To evaluate the hypothesis, this paper considers OMB revenue forecasts and forecast errors for the period 1982-93. If the revenue gains...
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Republic of Tajikistan : selected issues
Internationaler Währungsfonds - 2021
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Boosting tax revenues with mixed-frequency data in the aftermath of Covid-19 : the case of New York
Lahiri, Kajal; Cheng, Yang - 2021
We forecast New York state tax revenues with a mixed-frequency model using a number of machine learning techniques. We found boosting with two dynamic factors extracted from a select list of New York and U.S. leading indicators did best in terms of correctly updating revenues for the fiscal year...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012649777
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Understanding forecasting errors in state personal income tax revenues : the role of capital gains
Ferguson, Asa; Marshall, Liam; Rork, Jonathan C. - In: Public finance review : PFR 51 (2023) 5, pp. 649-668
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When estimated economic effects fail the sniff test : tax examples
Gravelle, Jane G. - In: National tax journal 76 (2023) 3, pp. 621-645
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Analyst revenue forecasts and firm revenue misstatements
Huang, Ting-Chiao; Hairston, Stephanie - In: The European accounting review 32 (2023) 2, pp. 379-414
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Revenue forecasting of corporate income tax (CIT) in India
Mukherjee, Sacchidananda; Bhattacharya, Rudrani - In: Indian economic review : official journal of Delhi … 58 (2023) 2, pp. 329-349
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Revenue forecasting in the mining industries : a data-driven approach
Jones, Benjamin - 2020
Robust forecasting of mining sector revenues is key to effective budgeting (and broader fiscal management) in many resource-rich countries. However, this is challenging in practice, given commodity market volatility, the extended lags (and often opaque processes) between resource discoveries and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012173981
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The accuracy of tax imputations : estimating tax liabilities and credits using linked survey and administrative data
Meyer, Bruce D.; Wu, Derek; Finley, Grace; Langetieg, … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012426650
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Notwendigkeit, Potenzial und Ansatzpunkte einer Verbesserung der Dateninfrastruktur für die Steuerpolitik
Deutschland / Bundesministerium der Finanzen / …; … - 2020 - Stand: Oktober 2020
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Fortschreibung der Kapazitätsauslastung in der TFP-Berechnung : Endbericht : Kurzexpertise im Auftrag des Bundesfinanzministerium (fe 3/19)
Clemens, Marius; Kholodilin, Konstantin; Michelsen, Claus - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012485408
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The Accuracy of Tax Imputations : Estimating Tax Liabilities and Credits Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
Meyer, Bruce D. - 2020
This paper calculates accurate estimates of income and payroll taxes using a groundbreaking set of linked survey and administrative tax data that are part of the Comprehensive Income Dataset (CID). We compare our estimates to survey imputations produced by the Census Bureau and those generated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012482448
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Ergebnisse der Steuerschätzungen und „schwarze Null“ im Bund
Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 99 (2019) 11, pp. 808-810
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A new approach to measuring tax effort
Dalamagas, Basil A.; Palaios, Panagiotis; Tantos, Stefanos - In: Economies : open access journal 7 (2019) 3/77, pp. 1-25
This paper attempts to extend the theoretical and empirical methodology employed in previous literature, by proposing a utility maximization process to estimate the optimal tax revenue from a sample of 30 countries. It is shown that an optimal tax system is defined solely by two crucial...
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Welsh taxes outlook
Großbritannien / Office for Budget Responsibility - London : Office of Budget Responsibility - December 2019-
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For better or worse? : revenue forecasting with machine learning approaches
Chung, Il Hwan; Williams, Daniel W.; Do, Myung Rok - In: Public performance & management review 45 (2022) 5, pp. 1133-1154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013493128
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The accuracy of tax imputations : estimating tax liabilities and credits using linked survey and administrative data
Meyer, Bruce D.; Wu, Derek; Finley, Grace; Langetieg, … - In: Measuring distribution and mobility of income and wealth, (pp. 459-498). 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015187381
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Ansätze zur Messung der Unternehmensteuerlücke (Corporate Income Tax Gap) in Deutschland
Gstrein, David; Herold, Elena; Neumeier, Florian - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013341980
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IMK - Steuerschätzung 2018-2022 : hohe Einnahmen, viele Vorhaben, aber keine Strategie
Rietzler, Katja; Teichmann, Dieter; Truger, Achim - 2018 - Abgeschlossen am 23.04.2018
Nach der IMK-Steuerschätzung steigen die Steuereinnahmen bis 2022 anhaltend kräftig mit jährlichen Zuwachsraten über 4%. Das Steueraufkommen beträgt 912,8 Mrd. Euro im Jahr 2022, also 23,2 Mrd. Euro mehr als der Arbeitskreis "Steuerschätzungen" im November 2017 prognostiziert hat. Diese...
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Geringe Mehreinnahmen beim Steueraufkommen der nächsten Jahre erwartet : zu den Ergebnissen der Steuerschätzung vom Oktober 2018
Marcell, Göttert - In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 71 (2018) 22, pp. 42-46
Der Arbeitskreis "Steuerschätzungen" hat seine Steueraufkommensprognosen leicht nach oben revidiert. Ausschlaggebend waren die geänderte Einschätzung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Lage durch die Bundesregierung und der gute Verlauf des Steueraufkommens der vergangenen Monate. Sie dürfte in...
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Devolved income tax: forecasting by tax bands
Mathews, Paul - 2018
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Does revenue-expense matching play a differential role in analysts' earnings and revenue forecasts?
Kim, Robert; Kim, Sangwan - In: The British accounting review : the journal of the … 53 (2021) 5, pp. 1-25
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An evaluation of the State of Iowa revenue forecasts, 1995 - 2017
Orazem, Peter F. - 2017
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IMK-Steuerschätzung 2017-2021 : staatliche Handlungsfähigkeit nicht aufs Spiel setzen
Rietzler, Katja; Scholz, Birger; Teichmann, Dieter; … - 2017
Die Steuereinnahmen werden auch in den kommenden Jahren weiter spürbar zulegen. In diesem Jahr fällt der Zuwachs wegen Steuerrechtsänderungen und Sondereffekten mit 2 % jedoch gering aus. Im Jahr 2021 dürften die gesamten Steuereinnahmen nur geringfügig unter dem im November 2016 vom...
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A review of tax revenue forecasting models for the Scottish housing market
Cameron, Scott - Schottland / Government - 2017
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Überprüfung der Methoden für die Einnahmenschätzung der direkten Bundessteuer
Köthenbürger, Marko; Chatagny, Florian - 2016
Wie steht es um die Qualität der Schätzungen der direkten Bundessteuer durch die Eidgenössische Steuerverwaltung (ESTV) und die Finanzverwaltung (EFV)? Die KOF hat im Auftrag der beiden Verwaltungen deren Einnahmeprognosen einer Analyse unterzogen. Die Überprüfung der Schätzmethode der...
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The effect of inflation and interest rates on forward-looking effective tax rates
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung - 2016
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IMK-Steuerschätzung 2016-2020 : stabile Einnahmenentwicklung, Erbschaftsteuerreform nur Flickwerk
Rietzler, Katja; Scholz, Birger; Teichmann, Dieter; … - Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung - 2016
Aus der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Prognose des IMK resultieren bei den Steuereinnahmen in den Jahren 2016 bis 2020 deutliche Mehreinnahmen im Vergleich zu den Ergebnissen des Arbeitskreises "Steuerschätzungen" vom November 2015. Angesichts großer fiskalischer Herausforderungen kommt das...
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