We build forecasting models to predict second-hand car prices capable of predicting multiple car makes and models. Using a total of 141 car attributes we fit 15 machine learning models and rank their ability to accurately predict used automobile prices according to two performance criteria. In...

The consumption value of a durable good diminishes as it ages due to physical deterioration and consumers' preference for the new. We develop a model of consumer specialization and trade in the market for used durables based on imperfect substitutability. Imperfect substitutability across...

Currently, In advanced car insurance market almost reach full penetration ratios but an emerging market like the Asia market still has the potential to grow. Thailand has continued the growth of car insurance. Thailand is the second-largest car insurance market in ASEAN and has a lot of...

We analyze data on tens of thousands of alternating-offer, business-to-business negotiations in the wholesale used-car market, with each negotiation mediated (over the phone) by a third-party company. The data shows the identity of the employee mediating the negotiations. We find that who...

Globally, the transport sector contributes almost one-fourth of total carbon dioxide emissions (CO2). The road transport sector is responsible for more than 77 percent of transport-related CO2 emissions globally, with light-duty road vehicles (LDVs) encompassing passenger cars, SUVs, and pickup...

This report analyses the global trade in used cars and how the transition to electric vehicles may impact it. The analysis explores the quality and age of used vehicles traded globally and maps out how they are traded from developed economies to emerging markets. The report reviews recent...

This study explores how exposure of fraud committed by a durable-goods manufacturer affects secondary markets for that manufacturer’s products. Specifically, we examine the effect of Volkswagen’s 2015 emissions scandal (“Dieselgate”) on the used car market in Israel. Using a...

We examine used car dealers' roles as intermediaries. We present empirical evidence supporting that cars sold by dealers have higher quality: (1) dealer transaction prices are higher than private market prices and this dealer premium increases in the age of the car as a ratio and is hump-shaped...

We introduce a computationally tractable dynamic equilibrium model of the automobile market where new and used cars of multiple types (e.g. makes/models) are traded by heterogeneous consumers. Prices and quantities are determined endogenously to equate supply and demand for all car types and...

Congress and cars -- Small importers and their reactions -- The first compliance shops -- Making them pass -- The stoichiometric closed loop electronic feedback controlled breakthrough -- The boom -- More fuel on the fire -- In the workshop -- The independent labs -- The shine rubs off --...

Purpose: Purpose of the paper was to examine whether the endowment effect can be observed in the online used-cars market and to test whether it is dependent on the car in question being perceived as being more utilitaristic or hedonic car type.Methodology: Secondary data was scrapped from the...

This paper investigates the presence of odometer fraud in the used car market using a large dataset of car sale advertisements from the Czech Republic. The strategic aspects of sale decisions and the practice of rounding odometer readings, however, render the standard statistical tests for...

This study develops an automobile life-cycle analysis framework considering lifetimes of new and used passenger cars. Using the analysis framework based on the Weibull survival distributions of new and used cars, I addressed the question of how the market expansion and lifetime extension of used...

The disclosure of the VW emission manipulation scandal caused a quasi-experimental market shock in the observable quality of VW diesel vehicles. We consider a classical model for adverse selection and sorting to derive an empirically testable hypothesis about the impact of observable quality on...

This paper investigates the presence of odometer fraud in the used-car market using a unique dataset of 250,000 car-sale ads from the Czech Republic. Alternative identification techniques are discussed. However, selection into the market as well as the practice of rounding odometer readings —...

Intro -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The German Automobile and Leasing Market -- 3. Determinants of Residual Values: A Literature Review -- 4. Anchoring and Price Anomalies -- 5. The Price Effect of Supply and Demand Shocks on Secondary Markets -- 6. Conclusion.

We use more than 63,000 datapoints from a German used car market website to document systematic and substantial price drops at vintage (= year of first registration) thresholds and 10,000 km odometer marks. The latter finding replicates the findings in Lacetera et al. (2012), whereas the first...

Pricing idiosyncratic products is often challenging because the seller, ex ante, lacks information about the demand for individual items. This paper develops a model of dynamic pricing for idiosyncratic products that features the optimal stopping structure and a seller that learns about...

Debate about the appropriate design of energy policy hinges critically on whether consumers might undervalue energy efficiency, due to myopia or some other manifestation of limited rationality. We contribute to this debate by measuring consumers' willingness to pay for fuel economy using a novel...

Drawing on a data set containing 371,082 observations on new and used cars from 2008, this study employs a hedonic model to estimate the determinants of prices in the primary and secondary car markets in Germany. We are specifically interested in identifying those vehicle attributes that are...

Debate about the appropriate design of energy policy hinges critically on whether consumers might undervalue energy efficiency, due to myopia or some other manifestation of limited rationality. We contribute to this debate by measuring consumers' willingness to pay for fuel economy using a novel...

This study empirically quantifies the efficiency of a real-world bargaining game with two-sided incomplete information. Myerson and Satterthwaite (1983) and Williams (1987) derived the theoretical ex-ante efficient frontier for bilateral trade under two-sided uncertainty and demonstrated that it...

The 2009 Cash for Clunkers program aimed to stimulate consumer spending in the new automobile industry, which was experiencing disproportionate reductions in demand and employment during the Great Recession. Exploiting program eligibility criteria in a regression discontinuity design, we show...