Aus dem einleitenden Teil: "Im Auftrag des AMS Österreich (AMS) führt das Institut Synthesis Forschung regelmäßig Analysen wie Prognosen des österreichischen Arbeitsmarktes durch (siehe dazu auch die entsprechenden AMS-Publikationen im Internet: www.ams.at/forschungsnetzwerk). Das...

Der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt zeigt sich trotz wirtschaftlicher Schwäche und der wiederkehrenden Bezeichnung von Deutschland als "krankem Mann Europas" überraschend robust. Die Beschäftigungsquote liegt mit 77,4 Prozent weiterhin auf einem hohen Niveau, doch die Zahl der offenen Stellen ist seit...

We use US longitudinal survey data to examine the role of performance pay (other than profit sharing) in worker quit decisions. We argue that performance pay should increasingly be viewed as an indicator of an internal labor market rather than of a simple contemporaneous incentive. Suggestive of...

The dynamic impact of financial market capitalisation on South Africa's unemployment and economic growth is empirically explored in this study using the finance-augmented Solow model framework. South Africa's high rate of structural unemployment and its robust financial market, which is at the...

We develop the first disaggregation of Okun's law that quantifies all of the information that is subsumed within its coefficients. The proposed method decomposes the coefficients into the sum of the direct effect of the change in output upon the unemployment rate, plus the indirect effects of...

This paper exploits that the Covid‑19 pandemic came as an unexpected shock that temporarily reduced the ratio of vacancies to seekers. We use this unique setting to understand the importance of job opportunities for the impact of unemployment on workers' careers. Compared to individuals who...

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of how regional changes in the age and education distribution of the labour force affect local and neighbourhood unemployment rates. Based on theoretical considerations, we argue that differences in job search, separation, and commuting are key...

We quantify micro and macro effects of changes in the potential benefit duration (PBD) in unemployment insurance. In Poland, the PBD is 12 months for the newly unemployed if the previous year's county unemployment rate is more than 150% of the national average, and 6 months otherwise. We exploit...

This paper exploits that the Covid-19 pandemic came as an unexpected shock that temporarily reduced the ratio of vacancies to seekers. We use this unique setting to understand the importance of job opportunities for the impact of unemployment on workers’ careers. Compared to individuals who...

We analyze the full distribution of displaced workers’ earnings losses using a new method that combines matching and synthetic control group approaches at the individual level. We find that the distribution of earnings losses is highly skewed. Average losses, as estimated by conventional event...

The paper examines the early integration of Ukrainian refugee students into Italy's education system following the Russian Federation's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Using administrative and survey data, the study presents enrollment trends, academic performance, and barriers to...

This paper examines the short- to long-term effects of large-scale refugee inflows on labour markets and anti-asylum attitudes. Using the exogenous arrival of Yugoslav refugees to Switzerland in the 1990s and municipal-level data with an instrumental variables strategy, we find that refugee...

Germany has long been portrayed as the best real-world example of an export-oriented economic model associated with a dualized labor market and welfare state. The success of this export-centered model over the last decades has typically been ascribed to competitiveness due to wage restraint and...

With the acceleration of technological advances since the 1970s, Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have begun to play an active and significant role in the global economy. Today, it is widely accepted that ICT directly or indirectly affects economic structures as well as social...

In this study we evaluate the effects of low-skilled immigration on small businesses, wages and employment in Germany. We develop a search and matching model with heterogeneous workers, cross-skill matching, and endogenous entry into entrepreneurship. The model is calibrated using German...

A Kuznets-like curve for unemployment suggests that unemployment initially rises with early economic development due to sectoral shifts but decreases as economies mature, diversify, and adapt. This explains how gross national income (GNI) per capita influences or mediates the effect of...

Purpose - This paper aims to identify the level of contribution of different levels of education to remaining in unemployment as well as the transition from unemployment to employment in Egypt. Design/methodology/approach - In this paper, transition probabilities matrix differentiated by gender,...

In a union of states with partial mobility of households and firms we analyze the setting of minimum wages against the background of unemployment insurance. We find that unemployment insurance is always efficiently organized by decentral decisions. In contrast, for symmetric states only the...

This study analyses the relationship between unemployment and economic growth at the international level, addressing the nature and decomposition of the Okun coefficient. Using World Bank data from 173 countries between 1991 and 2019, econometric techniques including decompositions and spatial...

We partner with a Public Employment Service to examine whether jobseekers can be encouraged to reskill for shortage occupations. In a large-scale field experiment involving 100,000 recently unemployed individuals, we provide information on shortage occupations and related training opportunities....

There are considerable differences in minimum wage growth between EU member states with national minimum wages. Potential sources for these differences are discrepancies in economic fundamentals and institutional differences in how minimum wages are adjusted. Using a novel dataset based on...

This paper studies a dynamic quantile model for intertemporal decisions under uncertainty, in which the decision maker maximizes the τ-quantile of the stream of future utilities, for τ ∈ (0,1). We present two sets of contributions. First, we generalize existing results in directions that are...

This paper aims to explore the relationship between firm formation and unemployment using regional and city-level Turkish data. We focus on the post-2008 financial crisis period and analyze the effects of unemployment and other control variables on firm formation at NUTS-II and NUTS-III regions...

We partner with a Public Employment Service to examine whether jobseekers can be encouraged to reskill for shortage occupations. In a large-scale field experiment involving 100,000 recently unemployed individuals, we provide information on shortage occupations and related training opportunities....

This paper provides novel insights into labor market dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent recovery period in Uruguay. Using social security administrative records, we focus on the gender-differentiated patterns of labor market transitions following the pandemic outbreak,...

Inequality is a dynamic phenomenon, and the relative and absolute positions of individuals are subject to frequent shocks. It is important to know if preventive interventions mitigate adverse inequality effects of labor market shocks. We consider individuals up to three months before the...

This paper examines the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate and economic output in Britain over 34 years. It utilizes a range of different time series techniques, including the ADF and PP unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration (ARDL model)....

This paper explores post-pandemic developments and analyses post-COVID matching dynamics in the Nordic labour markets. It also discusses the role of institutions and the policies implemented to address labour market mismatch in the region. The COVID-19 pandemic brought about a recession, with a...