As TLTRO programs provide a direct incentive to increase lending, investigating the level of prudence applied by banks in making lending decisions is of high relevance. Relying on loan-level data, I evaluate the riskiness of lending by applying estimations in a difference-in-differences setting...

This paper applies an empirical model of corporate capital structure, optimal debt, and overleveraging to estimate overleveraging measured as the difference between actual and optimal debt. Estimated using a sample of the twenty largest pharmaceutical firms, covering the time span from 2000 to...

In this study, we investigate the impact of geopolitical risks on financial fragility of firms across 40 countries in the period from 1990 to 2022. The Altman Z-Score is used as an indicator of financial fragility, while the Geopolitical Risk Index is employed as a measure of geopolitical risk....

We propose a sentiment-based financial stress index (S-FSI) for Russia from January 2018 to June 2024. The index is based on the intensity of internet searches in Russian via Google and Yandex for terms with negative connotations about financial stability. The terms in our index form a unique...

In this paper, we analyze the impact of external uncertainty shocks on the Korean economy, focusing on Russian geopolitical risks and U.S. monetary policy uncertainty. We find that increases in external uncertainties negatively affect the Korean macroeconomy, with a particularly pronounced...

We examine hedging as a macroprudential tool in a Sudden Stops model of an economy exposed to commodity price fluctuations. We find that hedging commodity revenues yields significant welfare gains by stabilizing public expenditure, which heavily depends on these revenues. However, this added...

Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) scores serve as an index that indicates the extent to which listed companies operate an eco-friendly and cleaner production process, are responsible to society, and are transparent and accountable with their shareholders and investors. This study...

Purpose - This study investigates how the Russian invasion of Ukraine affected the stock markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries in comparison to Europe and explores the varying responses of GCC markets. Design/methodology/approach - Using an event study framework, the impact of...

Purpose This article explores the effects of monetary policy rates and interest rate structures on bank profitability. Design/methodology/approach We studied 65 Indian commercial banks over time, including economic cycles, consolidation and the Great Financial Crisis. We categorized commercial...

We analyze how financial stability concerns discussed during Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy imple- mentation and communication. Utilizing large language models (LLMs) to analyze FOMC minutes from 1993 to 2022, we measure both...

It is well-known that failing to achieve key organizational goals may pressure managers to commit fraud, but can it be a facilitating factor in cartel formation as well? The purpose of this study is to understand if firms known to have been in a cartel were under financial stress in the period...

Theory suggests that corporate and sovereign bonds are fundamentally different, also because sovereign debt has no bankruptcy mechanism and is hard to enforce. We show empirically that the two assets are more similar than you think, at least when it comes to high-yield bonds over the past 20...

We investigate the effects of debt-capital ratio and expected inflation rate on the stability of the economy using a Minsky model and reconsidering Fisher's debt-deflation theory. We have developed static and dynamic models that formalize an inflation-targeting policy. The static model reveals...

This article examines U.S. Treasury securities market functioning from the global financial crisis (GFC) through the Covid-19 pandemic given the ensuing market developments and associated policy responses. We describe the factors that have affected intermediaries, including regulatory changes,...

Some studies have provided empirical evidence that firms' high growth rates just before economic crises are negatively associated with resilience. Other authors have observed that firms that grow fast in the early phases of an external crisis are generally more resilient. This countercyclical...