Die Studie gibt einen Überblick über die aktuelle Beschäftigungssituation in den Berufen der Kinderbetreuung und deren Entwicklung seit 2013 in Nordrhein-Westfalen. Daran anschließend wird anhand von Analysen zur Verweil-, zur Verbleibsdauer und zur Erwerbsbiographie untersucht, welcher...

Vor Einführung eines flächendeckenden Mindestlohns in Deutschland im Jahr 2015 war sich die Arbeitsmarktökonomik weitgehend darin einig, dass dieses 'soziale Experiment' mit erheblichen Arbeitsplatzverlusten bezahlt werden müsste. Die Begleitforschung zur Mindestlohneinführung konnte dann...

Der Einsatz von Robotern verändert die Arbeitswelt grundlegend - doch welche spezifischen Effekte hat dies auf die Beschäftigungsstruktur? Unsere Analyse untersucht die Folgen des Robotereinsatzes anhand neuartiger Mikrodaten aus deutschen Industriebetrieben. Diese Daten verknüpfen...

Durch neue digitale Technologien verändert sich der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt. Dies gilt besonders für das Ausmaß, in dem Berufe aktuell potenziell durch den Einsatz von Computern oder computergesteuerten Maschinen ersetzbar sind, dem so genannten Substituierbarkeitspotenzial. Es beschreibt,...

Die IW-Konjunkturumfrage vom Frühjahr 2025 liefert keine empirische Grundlage für eine nennenswerte Erholung der deutschen Wirtschaft im Jahr 2025. Vielmehr weisen die Produktionserwartungen auf eine weiterhin stagnierende Wirtschaftstätigkeit hin. Die aktuelle Geschäftslage der deutschen...

This study analyzes earnings volatility in Austria from 1980 to 2018, providing a comprehensive view of individual income instability and its demographic and structural determinants. Using administrative data, we examine volatility trends by gender, age, earnings deciles, and employment...

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the global economy, with variable effects on economic growth, employment, and inflation rates in different countries and regions. Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region experienced the most severe consequences for economic growth and employment,...

The usefulness of G2P payments for supporting account activity as part of financial inclusion has been well-recognised in the literature. However, not much empirical evidence is available to support this contention. To inform the debate, the study uses repeated cross-sectional survey data for...

Existing evidence points to a positive correlation between specific regulations and income inequality at a country or regional level, but little is known about how overall regulatory burden affects inequality at the local labor market level. Our study fills this gap by measuring local exposure...

The green transition is set to transform labour markets, yet its impact remains difficult to measure. This paper critically examines the occupational approach-based on task-based measures-which is the most widely used framework among researchers and institutions for estimating green employment....

Relying on a reform that increased parental leave generosity, we estimate workplace peer effects in the use of leave, with a focus on fathers. Coworker fathers are more likely to take parental leave when exposed to a higher share of peer fathers, who are exogenously affected by the reform. This...

Bangladesh has made notable developmental progress over the past two decades. Economic growth has been among the top 10 percent globally, and poverty has been reduced by 80 percent over the same period. Exports also saw a dramatic jump from US 6.5 billion dollars in 2000 to US 57.5 billion...

This paper examines rural non-farm employment in Rajasthan, India, using multiple surveys and administrative data. The analysis covers three key aspects: individual and district-level determinants of participation in non-farm activities, the relationship between non-farm employment and household...

This paper analyzes the role of health for refugees' integration into host societies' labor markets. We exploit the quasi-random dispersal policies of refugees across regions in Germany to analyze the causal effect of health on employment. Based on regional and temporal heterogeneity in a policy...

As technological advances accelerate and labour demands shift, the ability of workers to reallocate across occupations will be crucial for shaping labour market dynamics, inequality, and effective policy design. In this paper, we develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market that...

This paper investigates the evolution of ethnic wage gaps among men and women in the UK over the period 1993-2023. The results show reductions in wage gaps among all South Asian groups, which are driven by higher educational attainment and occupational advancement. In contrast, wage gaps persist...

Most households in rural Africa are involved in smallholder farming, but off-farm employment is an important additional income source for many. Previous research has analyzed links between off-farm employment and wellbeing, but mostly at the household level, not considering that household...

Die IW-Konjunkturumfrage vom Frühjahr 2025 liefert keine empirische Grundlage für eine nennenswerte Erholung der deutschen Wirtschaft im Jahr 2025. Vielmehr weisen die Produktionserwartungen auf eine weiterhin stagnierende Wirtschaftstätigkeit hin. Die aktuelle Geschäftslage der deutschen...

We study how public pensions impact lifecycle labor supply decisions. Our analysis centers on pension eligibility rules in Ecuador. We first use administrative data to document and unpack retirement spikes at eligibility ages. Next, we use survey data and regression discontinuity to investigate...

This paper models fair workweek regulations that require employers to provide employees with (1) schedule predictability via advance notice of their work schedule and premium payments for short-notice changes, and (2) access to hours meaning they must offer open hours to existing employees...

Models of female labor supply routinely assume that women have accurate expectations about post-birth employment, but little is known about whether this assumption holds. We use a 2019 state-contingent survey of 11,000 Danish women linked to administrative data to compare pre-birth beliefs to...

To promote early detection of diabetes and ameliorate the negative consequences of diabetes, some governments provide diabetes screenings. This paper contributes to the literature by being the first to investigate whether an issued warning affects the individual's employment status....

Aus dem einleitenden Teil: "Als Basis für eine mittelfristige Schätzung des Qualifizierungsbedarfs erarbeitet das Österreichische Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (WIFO) im Auftrag des AMS Österreich regelmäßig Prognosen der Beschäftigungsentwicklung nach Berufsgruppen, Branchen und...

"Making Refugee Self-Reliance Work: From Aid to Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa" advocates for the enhancement of refugee self-reliance as a strategic, humane, development approach to refugee assistance. Facilitating refugees' capacity to support themselves through gainful work not only upholds...

This study analyzes, for the first time, the effect of increases in the minimum wage on the labor market outcomes of working age adults with cognitive disabilities, a vulnerable and low-skilled sector of the actual and potential labor pool. Using data from the American Community Survey...

Gegenstand der vorliegenden Studie ist die Aktualisierung der IW-Arbeitsmarktfortschreibung mit den neuesten verfügbaren Daten bis zum Jahr 2023 auf Basis der Methodik von Burstedde (2023). Die Fortschreibung zeigt auf, wie sich Beschäftigung und Fachkräftelücke in den fünf Jahren bis 2028...

What motivates individuals to become entrepreneurs and create jobs? We develop and estimate a dynamic structural microeconometric model that accounts for both employer and non-employer entrepreneurs. Individuals in each period choose to work as an employee, as one of the two entrepreneur types,...

While extensive research on unemployment insurance (UI) has examined how benefits affect workers' job search, little is known about how eligibility conditions shape firms' hiring decisions. These conditions, often requiring a minimum work history, affect the value workers place on contracts...

This study analyzes, for the first time, the effect of increases in the minimum wage on the labor market outcomes of working age adults with cognitive disabilities, a vulnerable and low-skilled sector of the actual and potential labor pool. Using data from the American Community Survey...

While the Draghi report primarily focuses on increasing labour productivity, it also makes a compelling case for mitigating the decline in the workforce by using the untapped potential of labour force participation and employment. Forward-looking analyses of the EU labour force require taking...

The way we work is changing due to developments associated with the digital and green transition as well as demographic change, as a driver of current and future labour shortages. As these transitions impact job content, tasks and processes, they will change how people work, the skills needed to...

We examine the relationship between economic development and female labor force participation, with a focus on the impact of gender norms. Analyzing quasi-random variation in provincial exports in reunified Vietnam from 2002 to 2018, we find that a positive economic shock led to a significant...

This chapter analyzes the distinct adjustment paths of U.S. labor markets (places) and U.S. workers (people) to increased Chinese import competition during the 2000s. Us- ing comprehensive register data for 2000-2019, we document that employment levels more than fully rebound in trade-exposed...