Die Inflationsrate in Deutschland verringerte sich im Januar 2025 wie erwartet auf 2,3 %, nachdem sie im Dezember 2024 bei 2,6 % gelegen hatte. Dabei schwächte sich der Anstieg der Preise von Nahrungsmitteln, Getränken und Tabakwaren deutlich ab (1,9 % nach 2,8 % im Dezember 2024). Auch die...

Obwohl die deutsche Inflationsrate im Dezember 2024 auf 2,6 % stieg, lag sie im Jahresdurchschnitt 2024 mit 2,2 % nur geringfügig über den 2 %, die die EZB mittelfristig anstrebt. Entscheidend für die Inflationsdynamik waren die Energiepreise, die die Inflation im Jahresdurchschnitt stark...

Die Inflationsrate in Deutschland lag im Februar 2025, wie bereits im Vormonat, bei 2,3 %. Dabei zogen die Preise für Nahrungsmittel, Alkohol und Tabakwaren verstärkt an (2,9 % nach 1,9 % im Januar 2025), während die Kernrate sich um 0,2 Prozentpunkte auf 2,6 % verringerte und die Preise für...

Mit der Abschaffung der D-Mark und der Einführung des Euro waren Hoffnungen verbunden, aber auch Befürchtungen, dass die neue Währung nicht so stabil wie die D-Mark sein könnte. Die D-Mark gehörte international über 50 Jahre zu den zwei Währungen mit den niedrigsten Inflationsraten. In...

Die EZB und die Europäische Kommission treiben die Einführung eines digitalen Euros offensiv voran. Obwohl viele Details zur technischen Ausgestaltung und Funktionalität noch offen sind, wird damit geworben, dass eine digitale Gemeinschaftswährung mit einer Reihe von Vorteilen für Europa...

This paper seeks to establish whether the monetary policy stance of Central bank of Kenya (CBK) at the turn of financial markets is pre-emptive or a cleanup. The feedback loop between monetary policy reaction and the markets' response presupposes a sequencing that runs from the former to the...

Mit 2,1 % lag die Inflationsrate in Deutschland im April 2025 erneut sehr nah am Inflationsziel der EZB und etwas niedriger als im Vormonat (2,2 %). Dabei gingen die Preise für Energie mit 5,4 % noch stärker zurück als im Vormonat (2,8 %) und der Preisauftrieb bei Nahrungsmitteln, Alkohol und...

Mit 2,2 % lag die Inflationsrate in Deutschland im März 2025 sehr nah am Inflationsziel der EZB und etwas niedriger als im Vormonat (2,3 %). Dabei zogen die Preise für Nahrungsmittel, Alkohol und Tabakwaren verstärkt an (3,3 % nach 2,9 % im Februar 2025), während die Preise für Energie mit...

Das Europäische System der Zentralbanken (ESZB) folgt in erster Linie dem Ziel der Preisstabilität. Darüber hinaus kann es weitere Ziele anstreben. Genauer gesagt kann sogar die Pflicht bestehen, eine so genannte mehrdimensionale nicht-neutrale Geldpolitik umzusetzen. Denn laut Vertrag über...

EU enlargement rounds have always been driven by political will of the parties concerned and administered through a comprehensive legal-bureaucratic procedure. There is strong political determination to carry on the accession process involving Western Balkan countries as well as Ukraine, Georgia...

This article examines the bullion and cash supply networks exploited by a pre-industrial government in times of financial, economic and material distress. The case study focuses on the monetary policy of the Republic of Venice and on the decisions taken by the main deliberative body, the Senate,...

This report offers a strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area as part of the monetary policy strategy assessment 2025. It reassesses the factors shaping the inflation and economic environment in light of the recent inflation experience, analyses changes in...

We use narrative monetary policy shocks and local projections to estimate the impact of monetary policy on consumption and investment. We use granular data to investigate how the response varies across consumption categories, investment types, and sectors. Our findings indicate that both...

In this paper we assess the implications of monetary policy shocks on the house price to rent ratio in the case of the Irish property market. Crucially, in light of the particular circumstances of the market, we allow for the interaction between monetary policy and changing credit conditions in...

Die Inflationsrate in Deutschland sank im Juni 2025 auf 2,0 %, obwohl die Energiepreise mit -3,5 % erneut weniger stark dämpften als im Vormonat ( 4,6 %). Abgeschwächt hat sich die Teuerung bei Nahrungsmitteln, Alkohol und Tabakwaren, die im Vormonat deutlich auf 3,5 % angezogen war, und zwar...

Die Inflationsrate in Deutschland verharrte im Mai 2025 bei 2,1 %, obwohl die Energiepreise mit -4,6 % weniger stark dämpften als im Vormonat (5,6 %). Entscheidend war, dass die Kernrate ohne Energie, Nahrungsmittel, Alkohol und Tabak mit 2,6 % wie erwartet niedriger ausfiel als zuvor (2,8 %)....

The steep rise in US interest rates that started in 2022 led many observers to anticipate severe difficulties for emerging market economies (EMEs). Unlike after the Volcker disinflation of the early 1980s or the bond market turmoil of 1994, however, most EMEs weathered the Fed's monetary...

We document that inflation risk in the U.S. varies significantly over time and is often asymmetric. To analyze the macroeconomic effects of these asymmetric risks within a tractable framework, we construct the beliefs representation of a general equilibrium model with skewed distribution of...

We field a series of experiments in a population-representative survey of European consumers to examine their attitudes towards the possible introduction of a digital euro. First, we show that a short video explaining the key features of the digital euro is effective in changing consumers'...

Are restrictions on fiscal policy necessary for monetary policy to be able to deliver price stability? When households are Ricardian, the net present value of future fiscal surpluses needs to equate the real value of government debt absent inflation. We show that when households are not...

We analyze the impact of negative reference rates on the interest rate behavior of more than 500 Austrian banks from 2009Q1 to 2021Q4. Using panel vector error correction analysis with the Engle-Granger procedure in two steps, we establish a cointegration vector that links bank-specific lending...

Targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTROs) helped supporting bank lending to firms and to households in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. The use of TLTRO funding for mortgage loans to households had explicitly not been included into the targeted loan categories of these schemes,...

This paper documents a new dollar channel that transmits monetary policy across borders. Exploiting unique features of the syndicated loan market for identification, we show that changes in the euro-dollar exchange rate around ECB monetary policy announcements that are orthogonal to simultaneous...

We study how heterogeneous attention to inflation across households affects the transmission of monetary policy. Using household-level surveys for the US and Australia, we first show that households' attention to inflation varies across income levels. Specifically, we find that high-income...

We investigate the interaction between monetary and macroprudential policy in affecting banks' lending and risk-taking behaviour using rich euro area credit registry data and exploiting a unique setting that combined a sharp and unexpected monetary tightening with a wave of macroprudential...

This paper investigates the role of firms in the transmission of monetary policy to individual labor market outcomes, both the intensive and extensive margins. Using German matched employer-employee administrative data, we study the effects of monetary policy shocks on individual employment and...

Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic similarity between the words in a corpus of text. We estimate the word embeddings of the European Central Bank's introductory statements at monetary policy press conferences by using a...

We study how short-term interest rate volatility affects the transmission of monetary policy. To identify exogenous changes in volatility, we exploit the pronounced heteroskedasticity visible in the time-series of euro area short-term rates over the past two and a half decades. Interacting the...

Empirical evidence for advanced economies suggests that following a monetary tightening, commercial and industrial bank loans show a positive "puzzling response". Since there is no wide evidence for the Mexican case, this paper analyzes the response of bank loans at the sectoral level after a...

The pros and cons of CBDCs have been examined in numerous writings but much less research has focused on specific economies or regions. This paper attempts to fill that gap for the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) economies. It first examines the views of central banks in the region toward...

Supply-chain bottlenecks emerged alongside unprecedented inflationary surges amid the resulting mismatches in supply and demand for goods and services throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. This study employs a local projection approach to investigate the inflationary impact of global supply-chain...

Monetary authorities globally have studied central bank digital currency (CBDC) for wholesale and retail applications since the 1990s. Besides countering private cryptocurrencies' influence, central banks have also explored other benefits of CBDC, such as improving their financial oversight,...

Using a customized survey and an information-provision experiment, we establish that loan officers' individual subjective expectations about inflation, GDP growth, and policy rates vary substantially within and across bank types and have a sizable causal effect on credit supply decisions....

The existing monetary framework of the Bank of England fails to manage supply-side shocks and financial crises effectively, which leads to economic volatility and potential policy errors. Targeting the growth path of nominal GDP would provide a more stable and predictable macroeconomic...

This study empirically investigates the impact of Inflation Targeting (IT) on nominal interest rates over the past 40 years, focusing on 10 advanced and emerging economies. By using a Binary Regime Model embedded within a Backward-Looking Taylor, our findings confirm that IT adoption has...

This paper studies the design of monetary policy in small open economies with domestic and cross-border production networks and nominal rigidities. The monetary policy that closes the domestic output gap is nearly optimal and is implemented by stabilizing the aggregate inflation index that...

In this paper, we analyse the effects on the economies of the European Union and the rest of the world, of several austerity policies implemented by the Southern European countries, i.e., Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain. In particular, we simulate the reduction in one point in the government...

The dominant role of the US dollar as a global currency allows the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to significantly influence economic and financial dynamics in other countries through mechanisms such as exchange rates, interest rates, and capital flows. This paper examines how shifts in the...

The monetary policy of the People's Bank of China (PBoC) during 2001-2023 is assessed in terms of Taylor and McCallum rules, as well as a proposed composite monetary policy rule. PBoC policy is found to be responsive to the gap between target and actual nominal GDP in the McCallum rule, as well...

Das Europäische System der Zentralbanken (ESZB) folgt in erster Linie dem Ziel der Preisstabilität. Darüber hinaus kann es weitere Ziele anstreben. Genauer gesagt kann sogar die Pflicht bestehen, eine so genannte mehrdimensionale nicht-neutrale Geldpolitik umzusetzen. Denn laut Vertrag über...

Theoretical analysis, empirical development and case studies show that room to manoeuvre stabilising macroeconomic policies during the COVID-19 crisis in the years 2020 and 2021 were fundamentally different in the Global South and Global North. The latter used extensive discretionary fiscal and...