The paper examines the effect of macroeconomic imbalances on bank lending with emphasis on the exchange rate movement, inflation differential and fiscal deficit. In the study, bank lending is modelled by gross loans and advances, assets quality and risk appetite. The panel GMM model results show...

This paper analyses the impact of various macroeconomic shocks - including aggregate demand, supply, monetary policy, real exchange rate, and budget deficit deviation shocks - on Romania's economy using a VAR model with Bayesian inference. The study captures the period following the adoption of...

This paper seeks to determine the interaction mechanism between the domestic imbalance and the external imbalance in Kenya and why it matters for banks. Whenever an economy has is on a path of soaring fiscal and current account deficits like Kenya has been over the past decade, concerns on the...

The paper examines the effect of macroeconomic imbalances on bank lending with emphasis on the exchange rate movement, inflation differential and fiscal deficit. In the study, bank lending is modelled by gross loans and advances, assets quality and risk appetite. The panel GMM model results show...

Using high-frequency macro data from a financially deregulated regime, this paper examines whether there is any evidence of financial crowding out in India. The macroeconomic channel through which financial crowding out occurs is the link between the fiscal deficit and the interest rate...

This article models banking under the condition of fiscal dominance or monetised-fiscal deficits, and explains why resource-based economies experience a financial resource curse. The evidence shows that commodity price shocks engender premature deindustrialisation, reduce loan-deposit ratios and...

This paper proposes that the South African Reserve Bank should pursue a 3% inflation target, instead of the current 4.5% midpoint of a 3%-to-6% target range. Doing so may also result in lower inflation volatility, thereby reducing nominal exchange rate risk for investment and trade, and may thus...

This paper analyzes Liechtenstein's fiscal framework, highlighting its successful consolidation following the global financial crisis. The study examines the budget balance rule that anchors fiscal policy, benchmarking key fiscal indicators against European peers. Findings reveal Liechtenstein...

We implement a two-step analysis of fiscal and external causality patterns using a data set covering the 27 EU countries in the period 2002Q1-2023Q4. In the 1st step, we compute fiscal and external sustainability time-varying coefficients, modelling the cointegration relationship between...

This study examines the relationship between energy transition and government debt in 15 developing countries using a dynamic generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation backed by a theoretical background. Results show that government debt is highly persistent, with past debt strongly...

This paper investigates the implications of the European Union's revised fiscal governance framework for Italy, a country facing the dual challenge of high public debt and persistent economic stagnation. Using a Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) macroeconometric model of the Italian economy (MITA), we...

The first section provides a brief review of developments in key macroeconomic variables since 2000. These include the usual target variables of economic growth, inflation, external balance and employment as well as intermediate target variables of fiscal balance, savings and investment. Section...

Through fiscal reaction functions, we investigate fiscal sustainability for five European country-group panels and check for a change in fiscal behaviour after countries adopted the euro as their currency. Using annual data for the period between 1990 and 2021, we identify evidence of average...

This paper provides a novel way for instructors to teach about the perils of a large National Debt, which is currently $36 trillion. We provide a detailed lesson plan that utilizes balloons to illustrate the possible paths a society can take to address this issue. The lesson plan consists of an...

We develop a simple two-period principal-agent model in which a present-biased government, the agent, chooses public investment levels given a deficit rule imposed by the principal. The principal sets a deficit cap to curb current debt-financed consumption. In doing so, it also reduces long-term...

The paper explores the impact of inflation on the validity of the twin deficits hypothesis (TDH) in the Eurozone countries, focussing on how different inflation levels influence twin deficit existence (i.e., a positive relation between fiscal and current account deficit) and how inflation...

The objective of this study is to evaluate the fiscal sustainability of Local Government Units (LGUs) in the Visegrad Group economies (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia; the V4), focusing on three key hypotheses: (1) LGUs in the V4 are involved in so-called Ponzi games; (2) the adverse...

Romania has maintained an external deficit continuously since 1990, which represents a vulnerability of the economy. The subject analysed is important because Romania is trying to keep under control and limit the negative effects of this imbalance, especially in the context of the process of...

Ausgabenelastizitäten messen die Reaktion der verschiedenen Komponenten der Staatsausgaben auf den Konjunkturzyklus. Sie sind wichtige Inputs für fiskalische Prognosen und sind im Kontext der Fiskalregeln relevant, da Elastizitätsschätzungen in die Bestimmung des fiskalischen Spielraums...

Fiscal rules are argued to be important for sound and sustainable fiscal policies and have been increasingly adopted over the last 20 years. As increased fiscal pressure and fiscal risks urge countries to address the public debt legacy left by recent economic crises, fiscal rules come under...

Using a continuous time dynamic model of growing economy we will show the following results. 1) When people derive utility from their money holding (or government bond holding) along with their consumption, a budget deficit is essential to achieve and maintain full employment under stable prices...

We explored the fiscal impacts of climate-related phenomena in the Philippines and offer policy recommendations for creating a climate-resilient economy. By employing a threepronged empirical approach (i.e., time series, panel data, cross-section analyses), we probed on the nuanced interplay of...

Purpose - The paper examines the asymmetric effects of fiscal deficits on selected macroeconomic variables in Nigeria, which include economic growth, exchange rates and inflation. The existing works of literature are premised on symmetry assumptions with dichotomous findings. In such situations,...