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Year of publication
Subject
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Szenariotechnik 3,616 Scenario analysis 3,548 Theorie 493 Theory 490 Welt 479 World 473 Szenario 428 Deutschland 416 Germany 360 Klimawandel 360 Climate change 355 Treibhausgas-Emissionen 351 Greenhouse gas emissions 349 Strategisches Management 322 Prognose 309 EU-Staaten 302 Strategic management 302 EU countries 296 Klimaschutz 283 Climate protection 276 Forecast 272 Wirkungsanalyse 270 Impact assessment 261 Prognoseverfahren 220 Forecasting model 210 Risikomanagement 208 Risk management 200 Nachhaltige Entwicklung 175 Sustainable development 170 Simulation 163 Risiko 155 Risk 154 Energiewirtschaft 134 Energiekonsum 129 Energy consumption 129 Energy sector 123 USA 119 United States 113 Wirtschaftsprognose 110 Coronavirus 108
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Online availability
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Free 1,312 Undetermined 738 CC license 138
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 2,008 Article 1,960
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 1,568 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,568 Graue Literatur 678 Non-commercial literature 678 Working Paper 423 Arbeitspapier 383 Aufsatz im Buch 361 Book section 361 Hochschulschrift 182 Thesis 132 Collection of articles of several authors 59 Sammelwerk 59 Forschungsbericht 56 Case study 42 Fallstudie 42 Amtsdruckschrift 38 Government document 38 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 34 Aufsatzsammlung 32 Advisory report 24 Gutachten 24 Amtliche Publikation 20 Konferenzschrift 19 Bibliografie enthalten 17 Bibliography included 17 Reprint 16 Research Report 14 Conference paper 13 Konferenzbeitrag 13 Article 7 Conference proceedings 7 Collection of articles written by one author 6 Guidebook 6 Ratgeber 6 Sammlung 6 Statistik 4 Fallstudiensammlung 3 Lehrbuch 3 Statistics 3 Textbook 3
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Language
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English 3,010 German 793 Russian 63 Undetermined 28 French 21 Polish 14 Dutch 11 Slovak 6 Slovenian 6 Ukrainian 6 Serbian 5 Hungarian 4 Czech 3 Lithuanian 3 Norwegian 3 Finnish 2 Romanian 2 Bulgarian 1 Estonian 1 Croatian 1 Spanish 1
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Author
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Wright, George 20 McKibbin, Warwick J. 18 Ramírez, Rafael 18 Fernando, Roshen 17 Fink, Alexander 17 Gracht, Heiko von der 14 Kemfert, Claudia 14 Hirschhausen, Christian R. von 13 Chermack, Thomas J. 12 Clarke, Leon 12 Schiebel, Edgar 12 Stelzer, Birgit 12 Vuuren, Detlef P. van 12 Giannone, Domenico 11 Cairns, George 10 Heijden, Kees van der 10 Babbel, David F. 9 Brecht, Leo 9 Derbyshire, James 9 Massetti, Emanuele 9 Meadows, Dennis L. 9 Meadows, Donella H. 9 Mietzner, Dana 9 Riahi, Keywan 9 Ringland, Gill 9 Rozenberg, Julie 9 Sedlácek, Petr 9 Sterk, Vincent 9 Tol, Richard S. J. 9 Wallace, Stein W. 9 Wulf, Torsten 9 Burt, George 8 Felbermayr, Gabriel 8 Fischedick, Manfred 8 Holz, Franziska 8 Lenza, Michele 8 Nijkamp, Peter 8 Oei, Pao-Yu 8 Pfluger, Benjamin 8 Randers, Jørgen 8
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Institution
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European Commission / Joint Research Centre 73 Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle 14 Deutschland / Umweltbundesamt 13 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 12 OECD 12 Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung 10 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 9 Universität Ulm / Institut für Technologie- und Prozessmanagement 9 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 9 European Commission / Directorate-General for Research and Innovation 8 National Bureau of Economic Research 8 European Union Institute for Security Studies 6 Niederlande / Centraal Planbureau 6 European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training 4 European Chemicals Agency 4 European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions 4 Polski Instytut Ekonomiczny 4 Schottland / Government 4 Shaker Verlag 4 Öko-Institut 4 Books on Demand GmbH <Norderstedt> 3 Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung 3 Forschungszentrum Jülich / Programmgruppe Technologiefolgenforschung 3 Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut 3 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis 3 Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut 3 Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik 3 Urad za Makroekonomske Analize in Razvoj <Ljubljana> 3 Verlag Dr. Kovač 3 Zukunftsinstitut 3 Akademie für Politik und Zeitgeschehen 2 Basler Regio-Forum 2 Berenberg-Bank 2 Bertelsmann Stiftung 2 Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung 2 Centre for Educational Research and Innovation 2 Centre for the Study of Democracy <Sofia> 2 Club of Rome 2 Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina 2 Deutsche Akademie der Technikwissenschaften 2
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Published in...
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Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal 208 Energy economics 43 Climate policy 36 Energy strategy reviews 33 Working paper 32 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 31 Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of the International Society for Ecological Economics 28 European journal of operational research : EJOR 27 International journal of energy sector management : IJESM 26 Energy policy 25 Business planning for turbulent times : new methods for applying scenarios 24 Discussion paper 22 International journal of foresight and innovation policy : IJFIP 19 SpringerLink / Bücher 19 Advances in developing human resources : ADHR 14 Foresight and STI governance : journal of the National Research University - Higher School of Economics 14 Scenarios for success : turning insights into action 14 Climate change economics 13 EUR 13 Renewable and sustainable energy transition 13 ITOP-Schriftenreihe 12 International journal of production economics 12 Journal of air transport management 12 Technology analysis & strategic management 12 CPB document 11 Computational Management Science : CMS 11 Computers & operations research : and their applications to problems of world concern ; an international journal 11 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 10 FEEM Working Paper 10 Journal of risk management in financial institutions 10 Working paper series 10 Beiträge zur Strukturforschung 9 Discussion papers / CEPR 9 Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 9 The energy journal 9 CMCC Research Paper 8 Central Europe in transition : towards EU membership 8 Climate change 8 DIW Berlin: Politikberatung kompakt 8 International journal of energy sector management 8
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 3,759 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 146 EconStor 61 OLC EcoSci 2
Showing 1 - 50 of 3,968
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Scenario analysis for net zero : the applicability of climate neutrality studies for transitioning firms in the German building sector and energy-intensive industry
Ballesteros, Fernanda; Schütze, Franziska; Marchewitz, … - 2025 - Revised version - 15 January 2025
Various stakeholders are increasingly encouraging companies from the real economy to adopt measures facilitating their transition towards carbon neutrality. In this context, companies are expected to implement forward-looking strategies and climate-related reporting practices using scenario...
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Integrated modelling of fertilizer and climate change scenario impacts on agricultural production and nitrogen losses in Austria
Jost, Elisabeth; Schönhart, Martin; Mitter, Hermine; … - In: Ecological economics 227 (2025), pp. 1-13
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Post-growth and the lack of diversity in the scenario framework
Skaf, Rawad El - 2025
Scenarios and pathways, as defined and used in the "SSP-RCP scenario framework", are key in last decade's climate change research and in the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this framework, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) consist of a limited set of...
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Estimating the Impact of Digital Money on Cross-Border Flows : Scenario Analysis Covering the Intensive Margin
Cerutti, Eugenio - 2025
Digital money and digital payments innovations have the potential for improving cross-border payments by reducing costs, enhancing speed, and improving transparency. This note performs an empirical analysis of the potential impact of digital money on the volume and transaction costs of...
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Seychelles : Technical Assistance Report-Macroprudential Stress Testing and Climate Risk Analysis
International Monetary Fund / Monetary and Capital … - 2025
The Technical Assistance (TA) mission, conducted in Victoria, Seychelles, from May 2 to 17, 2023, assisted authorities with macroprudential stress testing and climate risk analysis. The stress testing focused on strengthening the solvency and liquidity frameworks: (i) for solvency, considering...
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The potential benefits of regionally differentiated Covid-19 policies
Thissen, Mark; Oort, Frank van; Weterings, Anet B. R. - In: Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society 18 (2025) 1, pp. 193-210
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Post-growth and the lack of diversity in the scenario framework
El Skaf, Rawad - 2025
Scenarios and pathways, as defined and used in the "SSP-RCP scenario framework", are key in last decade's climate change research and in the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this framework, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) consist of a limited set of...
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Corporate debt value under transition scenario uncertainty
Le Guenedal, Théo; Tankov, Peter - 2025
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Carbon border adjustments or climate clubs : impacts on African agricultural sectors under different cooperative scenarios
Bassi, Andrea M.; Calciolari, Francesco; Costantini, Valeria - 2025
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A scenario-based requirement analysis of R&D projects from the cross-efficiency perspective
Wang, Qinru; Yang, Qing - In: International transactions in operational research : a … 32 (2025) 5, pp. 2981-3007
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The scenario of accelerating technology commercialization at research university, a system dynamics approach
Pujotomo, Darminto; Azanizawati Ma'aram; Muhd Ikmal Isyraf - In: Journal of open innovation : technology, market, and … 11 (2025) 1, pp. 1-19
Commercializing technologies from universities is often hindered by insufficient resources, prolonged development cycles, and limited industry engagement. A Technology Transfer Office (TTO) typically supports these efforts, yet many initiatives still fail without an effective strategy. This...
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Generating sets of diverse and plausible scenarios through approximated multivariate normal distributions
Aalto, Eljas; Kuosa, Tuomo; Stucki, Max - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 320 (2025) 1, pp. 160-174
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Climate risk stress testing : a survey and classification
Reinders, Henk Jan; Schoenmaker, Dirk; Dijk, Mathijs van - 2025
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Scenarios for Scotland's Blue Economy : final report
Schottland / Government - 2025
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Regime-switching density forecasts using economists' scenarios
Moramarco, Graziano - In: Journal of forecasting 44 (2025) 2, pp. 833-845
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A large Bayesian vector autoregression of the yield curve and macroeconomic variables with no-arbitrage restriction
Lee, Sunho; Kang, Kyu Ho - 2025
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Aligning urban growth with climate goals : emission drivers and policy responses in Saudi Arabia's building sector
Belaîd, Fateh; Mikayilov, Jeyhun I. - 2025
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Steering through uncertainties : insights from LBVAR model on Hong Kong, China's economic prospects
Kim, Jungsung - 2025
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Forecasting corporate default probabilities : a local logit approach for scenario analysis
Cascarino, Giuseppe; Ciocchetta, Federica; Pietrosanti, … - 2025
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Are climate scenario analysis disclosures valued by investors?
Ding, Tongqing; Jona, Jonathan; Potter, Brad; … - In: Journal of accounting and public policy 51 (2025), pp. 1-17
Scenario analysis is a well-established management tool for developing and executing organizational strategy. While stress testing (a form of scenario analysis) has been used for policy-making and benchmarking in the banking sector, climate-related scenario analysis is a more recent development....
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Scenario analysis of the environmental impacts of breeding structure change from the perspective of farming and breeding balance in Northeast China
Zhao, Zhe; Jiang, Sijian; Zhang, Xuanchang - In: Chinese journal of population, resources and environment 23 (2025) 1, pp. 132-142
This study uses prefecture-level city statistical data from China from 2000-2022 to measure the supply and demand of livestock manure nitrogen nutrients and calculates farmland livestock carrying capacity using the nitrogen nutrient balance method. We investigate nitrogen supply and demand and...
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Climate stress test for the German banking sector : impact of the green transition on corporate loan portfolios
Gross, Christian; Kuntz, Laura-Chloé; Niederauer, Simon; … - 2025
We develop a novel stress testing framework to quantify the risks to the German banking sector from the green transition. Our methodology combines a macro-level and a micro-level approach to calculate scenario-dependent probabilities of default and losses. The macro approach leverages...
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Nature scenario plausibility : a dynamic Bayesian network approach
Colesanti Senni, Chiara; Goel, Skand - In: Ecological economics 236 (2025), pp. 1-8
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Auswirkungen der Binnenwanderung auf die regionalen Arbeitsmärkte
Schneemann, Christian; Bernardt, Florian; Kalinowski, … - Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung; Institut für …; … - 2025
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Expanding strategic vision : the role of Non-Utopian Unreal Scenarios in decision-making
Socorro Márquez, Félix O.; Reyes, Giovanni E.; … - 2025
The main goal of this study is to document the Non-Utopian Unreal Scenarios -or NUUS- and to propose a mathematical approach, presenting them as a strategic tool that seeks to contribute to decision-making processes in various fields, in addition to those already existing, such as, for example,...
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Analyse der makroökonomischen Effekte unterschiedlicher Szenarien auf der Grundlage langfristiger Gaslieferverträge
Böheim, Michael; Kettner, Claudia; Streicher, Gerhard; … - Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2025
Ziel des Projektes war die Analyse der makroökonomischen Effekte unterschiedlicher Szenarien auf der Grundlage der langfristigen Gaslieferverträge von Österreich mit Russland. Die makroökonomischen Effekte der einzelnen Szenarien wurden mit dem WIFO-Modell ADAGIO (A DynAmic Global Input...
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Emissionen entkoppeln sich von Wirtschaftsleistung : Schätzung der österreichischen Treibhausgasemissionen auf der Grundlage der mittelfristigen Konjunkturprognose 2025 bis 2029
Sommer, Mark; Sinabell, Franz; Scheiblecker, Marcus - Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2025
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EU capabilities in space : scenarios for space security by 2050
Pataki, Zsolt G. - Europäisches Parlament / Generaldirektion … - 2025
Space holds promise for both economic prosperity and the attainment of strategic goals. The EU's future role in space is contingent on fast-changing geopolitical dynamics, which can range from peaceful cooperation to heightened competition or conflict among global powers. Given the importance of...
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Why researchers should be cautious about using PLS-SEM
Henseler, Jörg; Schuberth, Florian; Lee, Nick; … - In: Industrial marketing management : the international … 128 (2025), pp. A8-A15
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Scenarios for wind capacity deployment in Colombia by 2050 : a perspective from system dynamics modeling
Osorio, S.; Dyner, Isaac; Sanint, E. A.; Aristizábal, … - In: Renewable and sustainable energy transition 6 (2025), pp. 1-13
Over the past few decades, there has been significant development in actions aimed at global energy transition, with the goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The energy sector plays a significant role in this endeavor, contributing 76% of the world's total emissions. Considering...
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Clean Energy Technology Observatory, Impacts of enhanced learning for clean energy technologies on global energy system scenarios : energy system modelling for clean energy technology scenarios
Schmitz, Andreas (contributor); Schade, Burkhard (contributor) - European Commission / Joint Research Centre - 2025
This study examines the impacts of enhancing technology progress in clean energy technologies on the global energy system and economy. The analysis focuses on eight thematic technology groups, including wind, solar, batteries, hydrogen and fuel cells, carbon capture, direct air capture and...
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Energy system implications of demand scenarios and supply strategies for renewable transportation fuels
Wulff, Niklas; Aliabadi, Danial Esmaeili; Hasselwander, … - In: Energy strategy reviews 58 (2025), pp. 1-12
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the transport sector is among the hardest challenges in transforming energy systems to zero emissions. Transport energy demands are driven by an interplay of social behavioral, technical factors, political decisions and economic conditions, motivating...
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Freihandel, anyone? : Effekte handelspolitischer Szenarien zwischen der Schweiz und den USA
Christen, Elisabeth; Felbermayr, Gabriel; Mahlkow, Hendrik - Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2025
Die Studie analysiert die potenziellen wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen verschiedener handelspolitischer Szenarien zwischen der Schweiz und den USA. Die USA sind nach der Europäischen Union der wichtigste Handelspartner der Schweiz, der auch mittelfristig hohe Wachstumsaussichten bietet. Mithilfe...
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Building sustainable futures : the bio-based fertilizer case-study
Abitabile, Carla; Arzeni, Andrea; Cisilino, Federica; … - In: Bio-based and applied economics 14 (2025) 1, pp. 3-17
Bio-based fertilizers (BBFs) can be a solution for converting agricultural waste into new products useful for increasing organic matter in the soil, thus reducing the consumption of mineral fertilizers. This can contribute to the ecological transition launched by the European Commission for the...
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Macroeconomic impacts of climate change under NGFS Scenarios
Kim, Young-Han; Yu, Bok-Keun - 2025
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Scenario synthesis and macroeconomic risk
Adrian, Tobias; Giannone, Domenico; Luciani, Matteo; … - 2025
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Pathways for reducing carbon emissions in county-level transportation : a life cycle perspective and multi-scenario analysis
Xie, Xiaohuan; Zhong, Yuelin; Li, Shengyuan; Gou, Zhonghua - In: Energy strategy reviews 58 (2025), pp. 1-15
Energy-related carbon emissions from the transportation sector are one of the major obstacles to achieving global carbon reduction targets. Current research on transportation energy mainly focuses on the energy end-use stage, with a lack of simulations covering both the front-end and end-use...
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Looking-forward to net zero : how agent's expectations and policy choices drive economic outcomes in climate scenarios
Cornforth, Ed; Greef, Lea de; Sánchez Juanino, Patricia - 2025
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Is Russian gas still needed in the European Union? : Model-based analysis of long-term scenarios
Barner, Lukas; Holz, Franziska; Hirschhausen, Christian … - In: Energy strategy reviews 58 (2025), pp. 1-10
Aligned with the war in Ukraine, Russia has significantly withheld natural gas exports to Europe since 2021. As there are no EU-wide sanctions on imports of Russian natural gas, the Ukraine transit as well as imports via Turkey and LNG have remained active during 2022-24. However, the...
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Examining the application possibilities and economic issues of an alternative drive chain in Hungary : scenario analysis
Boldizsár, Adrienn; Török, Ádám; Szander, Norina - In: Logistics 9 (2025) 2, pp. 1-17
Background: A societal shift in attitudes is going to be required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the field of transportation, which is crucial to the level of mitigation that can be achieved. There is increasing pressure on policymakers to address climate change and, in turn, to promote...
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Mental models of the stock market
Andre, Peter; Schirmer, Philipp; Wohlfart, Johannes - 2024
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
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Population projections, the flow of new households and structural housing demand
Bergin, Adele; Egan, Paul - 2024
This report provides estimates of structural (demographic) housing demand at a regional level. Any assessment of structural future housing demand relies on assumptions around (1) population growth, (2) headship rates (the typical household size) and (3) rates of obsolescence of the housing...
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Nachfragetrends im deutschen Brief- und Paketmarkt und deren Auswirkungen auf den Universaldienst
Thiele, Sonja - 2024
Deutschland liegt bei der Digitalisierung im Ländervergleich mit Dänemark, den Niederlanden und Schweden um mehrere Jahre zurück. Insbesondere fehlt ein System für sichere elektronische Kommunikation, das allen Bürgerinnen und Bürgern offensteht, sowie an breit akzeptierten Lösungen für...
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Mental models of the stock market
Andre, Peter; Schirmer, Philipp; Wohlfart, Johannes - 2024
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014380344
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Forecasting the climate-conflict risk in Africa along climate-related scenarios and multiple socio-economic drivers
Conigliani, Caterina; Costantini, Valeria; Paglialunga, … - In: Economic modelling 141 (2024), pp. 1-15
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Computing optimal mitigation plans for force-majeure scenarios in dynamic manufacturing chains
Ackermann, Heiner; Diessel, Erik; Helmling, Michael; … - In: Operations research forum 5 (2024) 2, pp. 1-35
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Assessing future energy GHG emission scenarios at regional scale
Banja, Manjola (contributor); Pagani, Federico (contributor) - European Commission / Joint Research Centre - 2024
This feasibility study investigates the utilization of the Integration of EDGAR and POLES (EDGAR-POLES) model to assess future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenarios within energy-related sectors, focusing on the impact of alternative energy scenarios options from the POLES model. With the aim...
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Countering cyber-enabled hybrid interference in the Western Balkans : a scenario-based approach
Kovalčíková, Nad'a (contributor);  … - European Union Institute for Security Studies - 2024
This analytical report provides an overview of cyber-enabled hybrid interference in the Western Balkans, along with recommendations on how to improve approaches to effectively counter these threats. To this end, the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS) designed and conducted a...
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Climate neutrality : policy scenarios for emissions trading
Raude, Marie (contributor); Heinrich, Lea (contributor);  … - European University Institute - 2024
Achieving climate neutrality by 2050 requires tailored approaches for each sector, with an in-depth assessment of the technical, political, and social feasibility of relying on an emissions trading system (ETS). - To ensure a cohesive decarbonisation strategy, interaction effects between the EU...
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POTEnCIA CETO 2024 scenario : energy system modelling for clean energy technology scenarios
Frederik Neuwahl (contributor); Wegener, Moritz (contributor) - European Commission / Joint Research Centre - 2024
This report describes the POTEnCIA CETO 2024 Scenario, which showcases how the deep decarbonisation of the EU's energy system can be achieved from an energy technology perspective in alignment with the general objectives of the European Climate Law. The scenario has been modelled using the...
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