This note provides extensive evidence on the persistence properties of real GDP in 17 European countries and in the US over the period 1960-2023 using a fractional integration framework. The analysis suggests that in all cases shocks have permanent effects on the level of real GDP. This is...

This study examines the characteristics of Indonesia's scholarly output and its alignment with national development goals. This research focuses on three key questions: how Indonesia's research output can be categorized into driver, basic, specialized, and declining clusters; the extent to which...

First-class universities play an extremely important role in cultivating high-quality talents and technological innovation, serving as a significant indicator of a country's level of higher education development, developmental strength, and potential. However, there is little literature studying...

This study has a twofold objective. The first one is an assessment of the efficiency of monetary and capital-based macroprudential policy, defined as imposing less interest costs to loan borrowers (nonfinancial corporations and households). The second objective of this paper is the assessment of...

In this paper, we first test the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, using a large sample of approximately 190 advanced and developing countries, over a period of 34 years (1989- 2022). We find that (CO2) emissions respond positively to increasing income per capita, up...

We construct estimates of quarterly GDP for Ireland from 1950, linking to official data from 1995 onward, using a novel factor-augmented Chow-Lin interpolation. Compared to the only alternative series (OECD, 2025), our procedure exploits the variation in a large number of official quarterly...

This study involves tasking ChatGPT with classifying an "activity sentiment score" based on PMI news releases. It explores the predictive power of this score for euro area GDP nowcasting. We find that the PMI text scores enhance GDP nowcasts beyond what is embedded in ECB/Eurosystem Staff...

This paper explores the effects of monetary policy on economic growth, focusing on key economic indicators-namely, the exchange rate, interest rates, and the broad money supply (M3). To capture a comprehensive view of each country's economic landscape, additional variables such as inflation and...

The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation countries prioritised economic growth and development, but continued to face persistent challenges like poverty, inequality, and sluggish progress in attaining sustainability. Therefore, the purpose of the study was to examine the impact of...

Many countries worldwide share borders that offer several benefits, such as easier access, faster knowledge transfer, and more efficient trade diplomacy. However, reliance on land-border trade alone has not been consistently shown to increase GDP per capita or vice versa. This study investigates...

The exchange rate is among the main variables determining foreign trade, as it affects the prices of both exports and imports. Meanwhile, Okun's misery index (MI) attempts to synthesize the main issues affecting a society by combining two major macroeconomic variables - unemployment and...

South Africa has been struggling with high levels of gross debt. The COVID-19 pandemic has worsened as the government has had to adjust its budget continuously, resulting in fiscal stance and debt sustainability becoming a matter of concern. This research aims to assess the possible asymmetric...

The evolving macroeconomic landscape, shaped by the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, poses significant challenges for economies worldwide. However, Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries have demonstrated resilience and rapid recovery during crises,...

This paper presents a theory and model of long-run cycles in income inequality. The model explains the historical pattern of income distribution identified by Kuznets (1955) and Piketty (2014). It breaks with conventional marginal product theory which claims functional income distribution is...

The objective of the paper is to assess and compare the resilience of the post-Covid US and Eurozone economies. Quarterly growth rates (annualized) of the Real GDP of US and the Eurozone are forecasted between Q4 2023 and Q4 2050. Two sets of forecasts are generated: forecasts using historical...

This study examines the dynamic relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), renewable energy consumption, trade openness, and open innovation in the United States using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) methodology. The analysis covers annual data...

The empirical findings of this study suggest a significant long-term relationship between the probability of mortality due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among individuals aged 30-70 in Azerbaijan and key economic and social indicators, including Gross Domestic Product per Capita, Waged...

Considering that most countries exhibit substantial disparities between the rich and the poor, there is a demand for a fresh perspective on the dynamics of a country's development and its potential for convergence. The article represents an attempt to use a comprehensive econometric framework to...

This paper describes the recent work to strengthen the nowcasting capacity at the Central Bank of Samoa (CBS). It compiles available high-frequency datasets such as tourism receipts, agriculture market survey, remittances, among others, to nowcast real GDP in Samoa. Nowcasting enables the...

In response to a request from Saint Lucia's Central Statistics Office (CSO), a technical assistance (TA) mission was conducted from September 2-13, 2024, to support the development of experimental expenditure-based GDP (GDP-E) estimates as a complementary product to the existing production-based...

A technical assistance (TA) mission was conducted from August 5 to 9, 2024, in response to a request from the Economics and Statistics Office (ESO) of the Cayman Islands, to support the improvement and rebasing of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The primary focus was to assist in updating the base...

This paper examines the determinants of inflation differentials across member states of the African Economic Community (AEC). The results suggest that exchange rate depreciation, GDP per capita growth, price divergence, fiscal deficit, and periods of economic instability all contribute to higher...

Measurement errors in macroeconomic aggregates such as GDP have been widely lamented, particularly in low-income contexts. This study investigates the reliability of one component of national accounts, agricultural sector output. Focusing first on the case of Mozambique, we use a series of 12...

This paper analyzes the macroeconomic evolution of the European Union member states that have adopted the Euro, compared to those that continue to use national currencies, with a specific focus on the Central and Eastern European countries during the period 2018-2024. Using a quantitative and...

This study examines the interactions among the oil price, Government expenditure, money supply, real effective exchange rate, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) across Malaysia's finance, retail and wholesale, manufacturing, agriculture and overall sectors by using a Structural Vector...

Prior studies assessing welfare across countries have utilised measures that combine country-level outcomes in income and life expectancy (or average lifespan). However, this perspective remains blind to the fact that two countries may have the same life expectancy or average income but very...

This paper estimates and analyzes the distribution and composition of pre-tax national income in Germany since reunification, combining personal income tax returns, household survey data, and national accounts. We find that pre-tax national income inequality has increased since the 1990s, though...

This research aims to identify the dynamics of eco-innovations in Kazakhstan's small and medium-sized business sectors, as well as to assess the practical signifcance of these innovations for both ecology and society as a whole. To achieve this objective, a combination of methods was employed,...