This paper analyzes the unanalized topic in macroeconomic (monetary) politics, which is the emergence of the currency crisis as a consequence of targeting inflation. Many central banks adopted inflation targeting under a pressure from the IMF. Sudden depreciation of exchange rate which results...

This study investigates the relationship between national economic crises and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance across 100 countries from 1990 to 2019. While ESG frameworks have gained prominence in assessing sustainability, limited attention has been given to the role of...

This paper explores the central role of monetary governance, i.e., high politics and low politics, in protecting a currency's exchange rate and reducing its volatility during periods of global crisis. Using annual panel data from 15 developed and emerging economies between 2001 and 2023, and...

This paper examines the role of currency crash risk in explaining the persistent profitability of carry trades. Focusing on the US Dollar-Turkish Lira market, we construct three forwardlooking measures of crash risk: risk reversals, crash probabilities from option-implied distributions, and jump...

This paper challenges the prevailing view in the sovereign debt literature by arguing that sovereign debt markets, in many respects, behave similarly to other credit markets. These markets are hierarchical rather than flat, inherently hybrid in nature, blending elements of public order and...

The CFA franc devaluation on 11 January 1994 stands out as the most significant reform within the Franc Zone system since political independences of former African French colonies in 1960, yet a topic shrouded into profound taboo. So far, the economic literature has failed to draw any connection...

The paper explores the interconnections between foreign capital flows and the exchange rate regime switching in developing countries. We formulate the exchange rate regime switching as annual time series of binary/ordered variables employing de facto classification of exchange rate arrangements...

We analyze the repercussions of different kinds of uncertainty on cash demand, including uncertainty of cashless infrastructures, confidence crises of the financial system, natural disasters, political uncertainties, and inflationary crises. Based on a comprehensive literature survey and...

We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....

Foreign exchange reserves (FER), especially dollar assets, are vital for a developing country to maintain economic stability, foster growth, and protect against unexpected amendments. In recent years, particularly since the onset of COVID-19, several emerging countries have experienced...

How do capital flows affect the synchronization of two countries’ financial cycles? We obtain data onbilateral capital flows and domestic financial cycles to introduce a ”Finance Co-movement Slope” thatdescribes this relationship. We find that this slope is positive and increasing in the...

This paper analyzes the dynamics of sectoral Real Gross Value Added (RGVA) around sudden stops in foreign capital inflows. We identify sudden stop episodes statistically from changes in gross capital inflows from the financial account, and use an event study methodology to compare RGVA before...

In this study, the predictability powers of three indicators of international reserve adequacy, namely external short-term debt to total reserves, broad money to total reserves, and reserves in months of imports on currency crisis are analysed. We show that while each indicator has potential in...

Notwithstanding the role of natural disasters and pandemics in disruptions in financial transactions, a potential contagion between the cryptocurrency market and the foreign exchange market since the coronavirus 2019 pandemic remains underexplored. We examine financial contagion between nine...

We analyze the repercussions of different kinds of uncertainty on cash demand, including uncertainty of the digital infrastructures, confidence crises of the financial system, natural disasters, political uncertainties, and inflationary crises. Based on a comprehensive literature survey,...